Russia-Ukraine: How Much Risk Is Priced In?
"How much is priced in?"
Whenever something bad happens (or looks like it might happen soon), analysts ask that question. Usually, it's impossible to answer, but stating as much isn't an option. On any short-term horizon, trading is just gambling, only worse, because with most games of chance, it's actually possible to quantify the odds. Not so much with geopolitical uncertainty.
"We are asked increasingly how much (Ukraine/Russia) geopolitical risk premium is now priced into a range of global
I am just (patiently) waiting for a grounded perspective and sanity to return to the markets. We seem to be in the “overreaction” phase of processing the Russia/Ukraine situation.
The current situation is uncertain with a wide range of possible outcomes. As such markets are not overreacting.
Anyone else think Putin looks not-well in the picture H. used in the header?
Yeah but when was it Taken..???
After he swallowed the Donetsk Republic?
This is the classical under reaction at this point in time but it was predictable . I still maintain that this crisis finds a resolution because irregardless of the nasty rhetoric The Russian request could probably have been at least been temporarily satisfied by simply taking the loaded gun (NATO) away from Putin’s head and doing it in a way that does not repeat the Historical precedents that were set during the Soviet collapse in the 1900’s… Be reminded ,however, if sanctions are a weapon so is Energy .