With French election risk front and center, and having spent what is probably an inordinate
Day: February 12, 2017
Bad Chinese
By now, you’re probably aware that China is in a tough spot. As I’m fond
“This Time, The Experts Aren’t Exaggerating”: A Former Goldmanite’s Warning To Markets
“Both of these inferences are wrong. The risk of a President Le Pen is far lower than the ex ante risk of Brexit or President Trump was last year, but the consequence of her winning would be far worse.”
Chart Check Double Feature (Reflation Nation)
Time and again I’ve emphasized the importance of watching cross-asset correlations and positioning data as
This Is What BofAML’s Clients Are Most Concerned About…
Surprise, surprise…
Whatever You Do, “Don’t Ignore Him”: One Bank’s Advice On President Trump
“A weaker USD, lower yields, strong equities, low vol and strong EM suggest that markets do not expect US fiscal stimulus this year, but also do not expect trade protection. We strongly disagree”…
Asleep At The Wheel: “Clients Are Asking If Our Models Are Updating Properly”
Assuming this “asleep at the wheel” dynamic can’t persist for much longer, spreads have to either compress further or blow out. Which do you think is more likely?
This Is How Much A Stronger Dollar Hurts Multinationals
If you have multinational US corporate behemoths in your portfolio, you’re probably acutely aware of
Fitch Blasts Trump: He’s “A Risk To International Economic Conditions”
In a further testament to the impact the resurrection of nationalism will likely have on markets, Fitch was out Friday warning that Trump’s policies could well prove catastrophic for the rest of the world.
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