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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Crossing The Rubicon On Global Bond Yields

October 6, 2018October 19, 2021

“The cost of global capital would rise further”…

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A Terrible Trio Of Margin Headwinds For 2019

October 6, 2018

A triple threat.

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3 Comments on A Terrible Trio Of Margin Headwinds For 2019

30° Of Separation And Cheshire Cat’s Revenge

October 6, 2018October 19, 2021

“We’re all mad here”.

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2 Comments on 30° Of Separation And Cheshire Cat’s Revenge

Susan Collins Saves Kavanaugh Nomination, But At What Cost?

October 5, 2018October 7, 2018

The fact that Kavanaugh’s fate was ultimately decided by a woman would have been poetic justice. But…

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8 Comments on Susan Collins Saves Kavanaugh Nomination, But At What Cost?

‘It’s The Steepener, Stupid’, And Why A ‘Rogue’ Inflation Beat Is The Biggest Tail Risk

October 5, 2018

As ever, the risk is that we get “proof” that fears of an inflation shock are not entirely unfounded.

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2 Comments on ‘It’s The Steepener, Stupid’, And Why A ‘Rogue’ Inflation Beat Is The Biggest Tail Risk

Republicans Lose Murkowski During Kavanaugh Cloture Vote, All Eyes On Collins Announcement

October 5, 2018October 5, 2018

Down to the wire.

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Trump Says George Soros Is Funding ‘Elevator Screamers’

October 5, 2018October 5, 2018

“#Troublemakers”

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3 Comments on Trump Says George Soros Is Funding ‘Elevator Screamers’

Jobs Report Misses Mark, Earnings Growth Inline, Unemployment Rate Hits 3.7%

October 5, 2018October 5, 2018

Steel yourselves.

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1 Comment on Jobs Report Misses Mark, Earnings Growth Inline, Unemployment Rate Hits 3.7%

Asian Tech Stocks Smoked Amid Fresh Escalations In Simmering Trump-China Feud

October 5, 2018

All of this is going to inflame trade tensions.

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2 Comments on Asian Tech Stocks Smoked Amid Fresh Escalations In Simmering Trump-China Feud

Dollar Guns For Best Streak Of The Year Ahead Of Make-Or-Break Jobs Report

October 5, 2018

Can you feel the tension?

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1 Comment on Dollar Guns For Best Streak Of The Year Ahead Of Make-Or-Break Jobs Report

‘I Said Things I Shouldn’t Have Said’: Brett Kavanaugh Wants You To Know You Can Trust Him Now

October 4, 2018October 19, 2021

“I hope everyone can understand that I was there as a son, husband and dad.”

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2 Comments on ‘I Said Things I Shouldn’t Have Said’: Brett Kavanaugh Wants You To Know You Can Trust Him Now

Deutsche’s Kocic: ‘We’re Not Very Far From The Red Zone’ On Equity-Bond Correlations

October 4, 2018

“This is the most feared scenario. And, to make things interesting, we are not very far from this regime.”

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1 Comment on Deutsche’s Kocic: ‘We’re Not Very Far From The Red Zone’ On Equity-Bond Correlations

‘Why Are Higher Yields Not Impacting Stocks Here?!’: Nomura’s McElligott Answers

October 4, 2018

“This is what happens when”…

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Russia’s Notorious GRU Exposed In Choreographed Announcements From UK, Netherlands, Australia, U.S.

October 4, 2018October 5, 2018

“The GRU’s actions are reckless and indiscriminate.”

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Goldman Asks: How Likely Is A ‘Balanced Bear’?

October 4, 2018

“…the length of the current bull market in balanced equity/bond portfolios is now the longest on record.”

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Bond Blowup Continues As Stars Align For Nuclear Selloff

October 4, 2018October 4, 2018

“The underlying message is that the US economy isn’t just in fine fettle, it’s on fire.”

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‘It Will Not Be Made Public’: Kavanaugh FBI Report To Be Kept Secret (Or Not)

October 3, 2018October 19, 2021

But don’t worry, it will leak.

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3 Comments on ‘It Will Not Be Made Public’: Kavanaugh FBI Report To Be Kept Secret (Or Not)

Reflation Madness! Treasury Selloff Turns Unruly As U.S. Economy Is Screeching Tea Kettle

October 3, 2018

Boy, we’re really in the heat of things now. 

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2 Comments on Reflation Madness! Treasury Selloff Turns Unruly As U.S. Economy Is Screeching Tea Kettle

Marko Kolanovic: $1.5 Trillion In Market Value Was Lost This Year Following Powell Speeches

October 3, 2018October 19, 2021

“…the equity market likely implies that the Fed is underestimating various risks.”

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Trader: Ignore The ‘Druckenmiller Is Bearish’ Headlines

October 3, 2018November 13, 2018

“I laughed when I saw the headlines from all the other traders who did the same. “

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Trump Does A Great Blasey Ford Impression – Maybe Because He’s Seen A Lot Of Sexual Assault Victims Up Close

October 3, 2018

“I had one beer”…

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Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Market’s Skepticism On Higher Inflation Is A Mispriced Risk’

October 3, 2018

“This could further escalate the rates selloff in unruly fashion”.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Market’s Skepticism On Higher Inflation Is A Mispriced Risk’

‘I’ve Never Seen It Done’: Trump Mystified By Use Of Core Finance Principle In NYT Tax Fraud Expose

October 3, 2018October 19, 2021

“The Failing New York Times did something I have never seen done before”…

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1 Comment on ‘I’ve Never Seen It Done’: Trump Mystified By Use Of Core Finance Principle In NYT Tax Fraud Expose

People Take Break From Selling Italian Assets To Make Sure They Still Have Some To Sell Later

October 3, 2018October 19, 2021

“Either this is the people’s budget or it’s not worth it.”

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Inflation In Turkey Soars To Laughable 25%, Real Rates Now Negative Again

October 3, 2018

Turkey isn’t out of the woods yet. 

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One Trader Doesn’t See Much Difference Between Italy And The U.S. On Fiscal Policy

October 2, 2018November 13, 2018

“The world is changing. Deficits are the new normal and Italy’s latest salvo is just one of many changes that will happen in the coming months and years.”

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1 Comment on One Trader Doesn’t See Much Difference Between Italy And The U.S. On Fiscal Policy

Surprise! Donald Trump’s Past Is A Giant Fraud In Every Sense Of The Word

October 2, 2018October 3, 2018

Well, Donald Trump is in (more) trouble.

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4 Comments on Surprise! Donald Trump’s Past Is A Giant Fraud In Every Sense Of The Word

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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