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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Adam Schiff Issues ‘Friendly Subpoenas’ To Deutsche Bank, Others In Russia Probe

April 15, 2019September 30, 2019

“As part of our oversight authority”…

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1 Comment on Adam Schiff Issues ‘Friendly Subpoenas’ To Deutsche Bank, Others In Russia Probe

It’s Quiet – But Is It Too Quiet?

April 15, 2019April 15, 2019

Lifelessly adrift – again…

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2 Comments on It’s Quiet – But Is It Too Quiet?

Trump Vows To Forge Ahead With Possibly Illegal, Definitely Stupid, Migrant Bus Plan

April 15, 2019November 1, 2021

Let us count all the ways this could backfire.

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3 Comments on Trump Vows To Forge Ahead With Possibly Illegal, Definitely Stupid, Migrant Bus Plan

FOCMO And ‘The Art Of The Threat’

April 15, 2019April 15, 2019

“Or to spell it out”…

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1 Comment on FOCMO And ‘The Art Of The Threat’

Scholars Mnuchin, Bartiromo ‘Analyze The Law’, Warn Public How ‘Dangerous’ Releasing Trump’s Taxes Would Be

April 15, 2019April 15, 2019

Steve Mnuchin is busy, so don’t bother him, ok?

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10 Comments on Scholars Mnuchin, Bartiromo ‘Analyze The Law’, Warn Public How ‘Dangerous’ Releasing Trump’s Taxes Would Be

Goldman Delivers A ‘Meh’

April 15, 2019April 15, 2019

This seems somewhat uninspiring.

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Data Dependent: Full Week Ahead Preview

April 14, 2019April 15, 2019

Good news is good news (again), but that means the flipside holds, too.

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Hypothetical ‘$2 Trillion Disasters’ And What Not…

April 14, 2019

There’s some hyperbole going on here…

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1 Comment on Hypothetical ‘$2 Trillion Disasters’ And What Not…

Trump Says Fed Should Drive Dow To 36,000, Says QE Should Have Never Been Stopped

April 14, 2019April 14, 2019

“If the Fed had done its job properly, which it has not”…

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9 Comments on Trump Says Fed Should Drive Dow To 36,000, Says QE Should Have Never Been Stopped

Goldman: Trump Likely To Win In 2020, But…

April 14, 2019April 14, 2019

“…something unusual has occurred among the American electorate.”

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After The Biggest Pre-Season EPS Cut In Three Years, Here’s What Matters During Earnings Season…

April 13, 2019

This may be wholly self-evident/tautological, but…

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Mario Draghi Says He’s Concerned About Fed Independence Amid Trump Attacks

April 13, 2019

“…the whole credibility of monetary policy hinges on that.”

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3 Comments on Mario Draghi Says He’s Concerned About Fed Independence Amid Trump Attacks

Trump Wades Even Further Into History’s Darkest Waters With Pardon Promise, Omar Tweet

April 13, 2019April 14, 2019

The spiral…

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2 Comments on Trump Wades Even Further Into History’s Darkest Waters With Pardon Promise, Omar Tweet

Apparently, It’s A Binary Choice: ‘Cash Out, Or Go All In”

April 13, 2019April 13, 2019

Narrator: It’s not that simple.

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4 Comments on Apparently, It’s A Binary Choice: ‘Cash Out, Or Go All In”

‘Apocalypse Postponed’

April 12, 2019

But for how long?

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2 Comments on ‘Apocalypse Postponed’

Stephen Moore – Who Can’t Handle Erin Burnett – Incurs Terrible Wrath Of Elizabeth Warren

April 12, 2019April 12, 2019

“For one, you have repeatedly made substantive, inaccurate claims about important aspects of the economy”…

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8 Comments on Stephen Moore – Who Can’t Handle Erin Burnett – Incurs Terrible Wrath Of Elizabeth Warren

The Path To Dark Places – Trump, Miller Wanted To Round Up Immigrants, ‘Bus Them’ To Sanctuary Cities

April 12, 2019November 1, 2021

“The idea has been raised by 1-2 principals”…

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6 Comments on The Path To Dark Places – Trump, Miller Wanted To Round Up Immigrants, ‘Bus Them’ To Sanctuary Cities

Parsing China’s ‘Monster Prints’

April 12, 2019April 12, 2019

If it’s good news on the “reflation” narrative you seek, blockbuster credit growth and export data will do.

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JPMorgan Beats, As Revenue Tops Highest Estimate, FICC Good Enough

April 12, 2019April 12, 2019

Good enough?

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Is This A ‘Reflation’ Day Or A ‘Growth Scare’ Day?

April 11, 2019April 11, 2019

The macro narrative is now bifurcated.

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1 Comment on Is This A ‘Reflation’ Day Or A ‘Growth Scare’ Day?

‘You Can Make A Reincarnated Steve Jobs The Next CEO’, And Other Highlights From Goldman’s Buyback Chat With Aswath Damodaran

April 11, 2019November 1, 2021

“Business history is full of unintended consequences of legislation.”

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3 Comments on ‘You Can Make A Reincarnated Steve Jobs The Next CEO’, And Other Highlights From Goldman’s Buyback Chat With Aswath Damodaran

One Bank Marvels At ‘The Strongest Reach-For-Yield Tailwind Since The GFC’

April 11, 2019

“Who would imagine that 2019 Q1 would have been the strongest quarter since the global financial crisis.”

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‘Growth-Phobiacs’ And Rates That Will ‘Never Rise Again’

April 11, 2019April 11, 2019

Let’s just call this what it is.

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3 Comments on ‘Growth-Phobiacs’ And Rates That Will ‘Never Rise Again’

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Brings Some ‘Real Heat’, Talks Fed’s ‘New Playbook’, Another ‘Reflation Run’

April 11, 2019April 11, 2019

“But for the real ‘HEAT’ of today’s note”…

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5 Comments on Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Brings Some ‘Real Heat’, Talks Fed’s ‘New Playbook’, Another ‘Reflation Run’

Albert Edwards Voted ‘Leave’ (And Why You Should Always Call On The Guy With The Shaggy Beard Wearing The Anorak)

April 11, 2019April 11, 2019

“The honest answer is that I simply don’t know and that is why I was jumping up and down in my seat waving my hand.”

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1 Comment on Albert Edwards Voted ‘Leave’ (And Why You Should Always Call On The Guy With The Shaggy Beard Wearing The Anorak)

It Only Gets Worse From Here For Steve Mnuchin…

April 10, 2019November 1, 2021

Mnuchin in the hot seat.

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5 Comments on It Only Gets Worse From Here For Steve Mnuchin…

Fed Minutes: Most Say Outlook, Risks Warrant Leaving Rates Unchanged For The Remainder Of 2019

April 10, 2019April 10, 2019

And other musings from March’s dovish surprise…

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6 Comments on Fed Minutes: Most Say Outlook, Risks Warrant Leaving Rates Unchanged For The Remainder Of 2019

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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