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Featured

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Hooray! China’s Manufacturing Sector Unexpectedly Leaps Back Into Expansion

November 29, 2019December 1, 2019

The market will take it, that’s for sure.

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1 Comment on Hooray! China’s Manufacturing Sector Unexpectedly Leaps Back Into Expansion

The Macro Tourist Presents: A 10-Sigma Fiscal Policy Event

November 29, 2019November 29, 2019

“President Obama’s reputation as being loose with the purse strings is especially ironic”.

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1 Comment on The Macro Tourist Presents: A 10-Sigma Fiscal Policy Event

Beyond The ‘Bull Market In Everything’

November 29, 2019December 1, 2019

If everything is overvalued, where can you turn for safety in a pinch?

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As Gold Closes Out Bad Month, Someone Bets On $4,000 By 2021

November 29, 2019

All is hardly lost for carefully-polished doorstops.

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The White House Is Lying. China Is Not Going To Be Buying $50 Billion Of US Farm Products Per Year

November 29, 2019August 30, 2020

Far-fetched.

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3 Comments on The White House Is Lying. China Is Not Going To Be Buying $50 Billion Of US Farm Products Per Year

Trump Is Winning The Financial Asset War With China. Time For Another Escalation?

November 29, 2019November 29, 2019

After all, we’re “playing with the house’s money”.

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Spotted In Europe: Green Shoots

November 29, 2019November 29, 2019

Just in time to wither and die, probably.

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‘There’s No Obvious Trigger’: Hong Kong Shares Dive In Last Day Of Eventful Month

November 29, 2019November 29, 2019

Frankly, the month could have gone worse for local shares.

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Bank Of Korea Serves Up Another Reminder Of Sluggish Global Economy, Even As Rates Kept On Hold

November 28, 2019November 30, 2019

Just call it another casualty of the trade war.

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‘This Fed Put Comes With A Knock-Out Feature’: One Bank’s Caveat To An Otherwise Bullish 2020 Call

November 28, 2019

A cautionary note.

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2 Comments on ‘This Fed Put Comes With A Knock-Out Feature’: One Bank’s Caveat To An Otherwise Bullish 2020 Call

Albert Edwards To America On Thanksgiving: Japanification Is Right Around The Corner

November 28, 2019

“But what if the reverse happens?”

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5 Comments on Albert Edwards To America On Thanksgiving: Japanification Is Right Around The Corner

China May Ban Entry To Some US Lawmakers As Fallout From Hong Kong Bill Begins

November 28, 2019November 28, 2019

“Based on what I know”…

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Our Fiscal Future: MMT And Stimulus At The Limits Of Central Bank Omnipotence

November 27, 2019November 28, 2019

The topic du jour.

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4 Comments on Our Fiscal Future: MMT And Stimulus At The Limits Of Central Bank Omnipotence

Trump Begrudgingly Joins Pro-Democracy Cause In Hong Kong, All Eyes On China Retaliation

November 27, 2019November 28, 2019

“Today, I have signed into law S. 1838, the ‘Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act of 2019′”.

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1 Comment on Trump Begrudgingly Joins Pro-Democracy Cause In Hong Kong, All Eyes On China Retaliation

Giuliani Negotiated $200,000 Contract With Ukraine Prosector Who Conspired Against Marie Yovanovitch

November 27, 2019November 27, 2019

And yes, diGenova and Toensing were involved, sources say.

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1 Comment on Giuliani Negotiated $200,000 Contract With Ukraine Prosector Who Conspired Against Marie Yovanovitch

Macro Tourist, Alleged Canadian, Is ‘Getting More Bearish On Canada Every Day’

November 27, 2019November 27, 2019

“I’m bearish. Bigly.”

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1 Comment on Macro Tourist, Alleged Canadian, Is ‘Getting More Bearish On Canada Every Day’

Trump Now Proud Owner Of Second-Worst November Chicago PMI Print In 17 Years

November 27, 2019November 27, 2019

Congrats!

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As NATO Faces Irrelevance, Trump Blamed In Brussels For Stoking Existential Crisis In Europe

November 27, 2019

“For the first time in history, there is an American president who is openly against a united Europe”.

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4 Comments on As NATO Faces Irrelevance, Trump Blamed In Brussels For Stoking Existential Crisis In Europe

MAGA Economy Is Healthier Than We Thought. Kinda, Sorta, Maybe.

November 27, 2019November 27, 2019

Curb your enthusiasm (assuming you were enthusiastic).

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Trump Risks Brutal Market Letdown With Trade Brinksmanship

November 27, 2019November 27, 2019

“We have traded up on such optimism before, only to then be let down”.

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2 Comments on Trump Risks Brutal Market Letdown With Trade Brinksmanship

PPI Deflation Bites In China, As Industrial Profits Sink Most On Record

November 26, 2019November 27, 2020

Entrenched PPI deflation took a toll on profits for industrial enterprises in China last month,

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Why One Bank ‘Remains Resolutely Pessimistic’ About 2020

November 26, 2019November 27, 2019

If they’re right, they will look like geniuses.

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1 Comment on Why One Bank ‘Remains Resolutely Pessimistic’ About 2020

Donald Trump Is Cordially Invited To Attend First Public Impeachment Hearing Next Week

November 26, 2019November 26, 2019

Meanwhile, the president pardoned the Thanksgiving turkey.

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6 Comments on Donald Trump Is Cordially Invited To Attend First Public Impeachment Hearing Next Week

Barclays: ‘Our Mini-Bubble Melt-Up Scenario’ Appears To Be Materializing

November 26, 2019

Thank the “easy soft patch”.

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Stocks Better Be Right About The Macro. Otherwise, It’s Wile E. Coyote Time

November 26, 2019October 18, 2021

“Beep, beep”.

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1 Comment on Stocks Better Be Right About The Macro. Otherwise, It’s Wile E. Coyote Time

Nomura’s McElligott Explains The ‘Perfect Virtuous Feedback Loop’ As Gamma Gravity Pins Equities

November 26, 2019November 26, 2019

“Intraday movement is squelched”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Explains The ‘Perfect Virtuous Feedback Loop’ As Gamma Gravity Pins Equities

Kellyanne Conway Accidentally Throws Cold Water On Trade Deal With Errant Fox & Friends Remarks

November 26, 2019November 26, 2019

“He could have had a deal in May”.

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3 Comments on Kellyanne Conway Accidentally Throws Cold Water On Trade Deal With Errant Fox & Friends Remarks

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • WeeblesWobble (ButTheyDon'tFallDown) on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China
  • Xeger on The Arbitrageur
  • Rizzo Jonez on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China
  • WMD on Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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