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Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

A Bridge (To Nowhere?)

December 1, 2020December 2, 2020

Speaking to Congress on Tuesday, Jerome Powell said it’s “premature” to pull back on support

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5 Comments on A Bridge (To Nowhere?)

Cookin’ With Grease And Pushin’ On A String: Nomura’s McElligott On 2021 Outlook

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

On Monday, while documenting what I generically described as “a month to remember” (usually I

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5 Comments on Cookin’ With Grease And Pushin’ On A String: Nomura’s McElligott On 2021 Outlook

‘Let’s Hope’: The OECD’s Latest Outlook And The Absurdity Of The Austrian ‘Reset’

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

Six months after declaring COVID-19 “a global health crisis without precedent in living memory” and

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11 Comments on ‘Let’s Hope’: The OECD’s Latest Outlook And The Absurdity Of The Austrian ‘Reset’

Manufacturing Employment Index Back Below 50 As ISM Decelerates From Peak

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

ISM manufacturing, the first of this week’s top-tier data out of the US, was a

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1 Comment on Manufacturing Employment Index Back Below 50 As ISM Decelerates From Peak

For All The Hyperinflation Talk, There Sure Is A Lot Of Deflation Going Around

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

At a time when too many market participants are seemingly terrified of hyperinflation (or at

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12 Comments on For All The Hyperinflation Talk, There Sure Is A Lot Of Deflation Going Around

Recoveries And Trust Issues

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

Global equities were buoyant to start the final month of 2020, rebounding from an uninspired

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Leave a Comment on Recoveries And Trust Issues

Great Challenges, Big Dreams

November 30, 2020December 1, 2020

A month chock-full of fireworks and milestones closed on a somewhat muted note, as equities

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Leave a Comment on Great Challenges, Big Dreams

A Month To Remember

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

November 2020 will go down in the history books for a variety of reasons. First,

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2 Comments on A Month To Remember

You Can Add Record-Low Investment Grade Corporate Bond Yields To November’s Milestones

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

November scarcely needed another market milestone, having offered up a veritable cornucopia already, but I’ll

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1 Comment on You Can Add Record-Low Investment Grade Corporate Bond Yields To November’s Milestones

The Biggest Worry For Everyday People Is No Obstacle For ‘Blissful’ Financial Markets

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

It’s probably not a stretch to suggest that outside of some unforeseen mutation in COVID-19

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1 Comment on The Biggest Worry For Everyday People Is No Obstacle For ‘Blissful’ Financial Markets

Wall Of ‘What, Me Worry?’

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

Global equities looked to take a step back Monday, in cautious trading on the last

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4 Comments on Wall Of ‘What, Me Worry?’

It’s All Relative: Stocks And Bonds In A Crazy World

November 29, 2020November 30, 2020

It’s all relative. That universally applicable old adage (you can always find a use for

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6 Comments on It’s All Relative: Stocks And Bonds In A Crazy World

Macro Tourist: Post-COVID World Will Be Defined By Rolling Bubbles

November 29, 2020November 29, 2020

[Editor’s note: The following excerpts are from a much longer piece by Kevin Muir, formerly

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6 Comments on Macro Tourist: Post-COVID World Will Be Defined By Rolling Bubbles

In Funhouse Mirror Fixed Income Market, Zero Is No Obstacle

November 29, 2020

Last week, Riccardo Fraccaro, cabinet undersecretary to Italian Premier Giuseppe Conte, suggested the ECB should

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Leave a Comment on In Funhouse Mirror Fixed Income Market, Zero Is No Obstacle

Back To Work

November 29, 2020November 29, 2020

The US is poised to get back to business coming off a holiday which this

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3 Comments on Back To Work

America’s Economic Model Is Unsustainable. Empower The 4

November 28, 2020November 29, 2020

You don’t have to be an economist to understand it, but as far as simple

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21 Comments on America’s Economic Model Is Unsustainable. Empower The 4

They Used To Pull The Bull Out, And They Used To Eat It

November 28, 2020November 28, 2020

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: I love reading copy sometimes. “Hitting

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5 Comments on They Used To Pull The Bull Out, And They Used To Eat It

50% Of Population In Major Developed Markets Will Be Vaccinated By May, Goldman Projects

November 27, 2020November 27, 2020

Right, but when? That’s the question the whole world wants answered when it comes to

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10 Comments on 5010 Of Population In Major Developed Markets Will Be Vaccinated By May, Goldman Projects

Iran Suffers Another Grievous Blow As Fakhrizadeh Assassinated In Drive-By

November 27, 2020November 27, 2020

“A scientist has been the victim of an assassination attempt in an armed attack by

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2 Comments on Iran Suffers Another Grievous Blow As Fakhrizadeh Assassinated In Drive-By

Back To The Tinderbox

November 27, 2020November 28, 2020

Headed into December, one key part of the year-end, melt-up thesis is that realized volatility

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2 Comments on Back To The Tinderbox

The Dark Before Dawn

November 27, 2020November 27, 2020

There was little in the way of fresh news in the market coming off the

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3 Comments on The Dark Before Dawn

Biden Was Elected. And Stocks Didn’t Crash.

November 26, 2020November 29, 2020

It makes sense — sort of. When you assess the incoming economic data and the

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5 Comments on Biden Was Elected. And Stocks Didn’t Crash.

Italian Official Has An Idea For The ECB: Just Cancel The Bonds You Bought

November 26, 2020November 29, 2020

In comments that are sure to rankle critics of the current policy conjuncture that finds

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5 Comments on Italian Official Has An Idea For The ECB: Just Cancel The Bonds You Bought

Christmas Bubbles

November 26, 2020November 29, 2020

Caution crept into global markets Thursday, as investors appear suddenly reticent after a month of

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6 Comments on Christmas Bubbles

Give Thanks

November 25, 2020November 29, 2020

A lackluster pre-Thanksgiving session stateside found the dollar falling to the lowest since April of

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10 Comments on Give Thanks

The Fed Talked Quite A Bit About QE Options Earlier This Month, November Minutes Show

November 25, 2020November 25, 2020

The prospect of a Janet Yellen Treasury and the public spat between Steve Mnuchin and

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2 Comments on The Fed Talked Quite A Bit About QE Options Earlier This Month, November Minutes Show

If Your Income Drops, How Do You Keep Consuming?

November 25, 2020November 25, 2020

Personal incomes fell much more than expected in October, the BEA said Wednesday. The 0.7%

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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