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Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Fed ‘LOLables’: Nomura’s McElligott On When Rising Real Rates Will Become A Problem

January 13, 2021January 13, 2021

When it comes to client inquiries, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott hears the following more than any

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4 Comments on Fed ‘LOLables’: Nomura’s McElligott On When Rising Real Rates Will Become A Problem

Mitch McConnell Ponders Personally Relegating Trump To Dustbin Of Political History

January 13, 2021January 19, 2021

We’d all be remiss not to take note when reports indicate that Mitch McConnell has

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9 Comments on Mitch McConnell Ponders Personally Relegating Trump To Dustbin Of Political History

First Time For Everything And The ‘360-Degree Tapering Debate’

January 13, 2021January 13, 2021

There’s a first time for everything, and Donald Trump was poised to become the first

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1 Comment on First Time For Everything And The ‘360-Degree Tapering Debate’

US Inflation Steady, As Benign CPI Report Damps Inflation Rancor

January 13, 2021January 13, 2021

Inflation in the US matched estimates for December, data out Wednesday showed. The latest read

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Leave a Comment on US Inflation Steady, As Benign CPI Report Damps Inflation Rancor

Old Mac’Donald’

January 12, 2021January 12, 2021

Markets plodded along Tuesday, exhibiting a familiar sense of annoyed apprehension. In simple terms: Anyone

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1 Comment on Old Mac’Donald’

The ‘Totally Appropriate’ Tail Risk

January 12, 2021January 20, 2021

It’s not likely that Americans, as a body politic, will come to any kind of

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6 Comments on The ‘Totally Appropriate’ Tail Risk

Here’s When Higher Yields Will ‘Become A Problem,’ According To One Bank

January 12, 2021January 13, 2021

When will rising US bond yields become a problem for equities and risk assets more

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3 Comments on Here’s When Higher Yields Will ‘Become A Problem,’ According To One Bank

Whose Fault Is This, Anyway?

January 12, 2021January 13, 2021

An unchanged landscape provided for nothing in the way of resolution Tuesday, as investors and

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29 Comments on Whose Fault Is This, Anyway?

Despite Virus Mutation, ‘Unprecedented Riot’ In D.C., Goldman Says World In ‘Home Stretch’

January 12, 2021January 18, 2021

I’ve used the “light”/”tunnel” analogy. Goldman calls it the “home stretch.” However you choose to

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7 Comments on Despite Virus Mutation, ‘Unprecedented Riot’ In D.C., Goldman Says World In ‘Home Stretch’

Beneath The Cloud Of Abject Insanity

January 11, 2021January 12, 2021

I’m not sure you could call it “angst,” exactly. Coming off the weekend, US markets

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8 Comments on Beneath The Cloud Of Abject Insanity

Breakeven ‘Overshoot’ Belies Lingering Disinflationary Probability, One Bank Says

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021

Is the move in breakevens overdone? One bank thinks the answer is “maybe.” If you

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2 Comments on Breakeven ‘Overshoot’ Belies Lingering Disinflationary Probability, One Bank Says

Where We Are & Where We Could Be Going

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021

You can thank, in part anyway, the virtuous volatility compression feedback loop for US equities’

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11 Comments on Where We Are & Where We Could Be Going

Bitcoin, ‘Reliable Store Of Value,’ Collapses 20% In 48 Hours

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021

Bitcoin collapsed on Monday, although “collapse” is a relative term when you’re talking about something

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4 Comments on Bitcoin, ‘Reliable Store Of Value,’ Collapses 204 In 48 Hours

Overcooked?

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021

Risk sentiment felt a bit frail to kick off the new week, but analysts seem

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2 Comments on Overcooked?

‘A Kind Of Madness’

January 10, 2021January 11, 2021

“We want you to be assured that we will not support candidates who do not

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24 Comments on ‘A Kind Of Madness’

In Brief: What The Blue Sweep Means For US Stocks

January 10, 2021January 11, 2021

Following the Georgia runoffs, anyone whose forecast for the US economy and, relatedly, for asset

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4 Comments on In Brief: What The Blue Sweep Means For US Stocks

Markets Eye Key Data Amid Rising Bond Yields, December Jobs Debacle

January 10, 2021January 11, 2021

While headlines will invariably revolve around Donald Trump in the new week, the market will

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Leave a Comment on Markets Eye Key Data Amid Rising Bond Yields, December Jobs Debacle

‘It’s Not Clear What He May Do’: America Ponders Perilous Final Days Of Trump Presidency

January 10, 2021January 11, 2021

All eyes will be on Washington this week as Nancy Pelosi ponders the risk-reward calculus

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19 Comments on ‘It’s Not Clear What He May Do’: America Ponders Perilous Final Days Of Trump Presidency

‘Early Warning Signs’ For The End Of Speculative Excess

January 9, 2021January 11, 2021

Everything’s a bubble. That’s a refrain you’ve probably heard quite a bit lately. Admittedly, it’s

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2 Comments on ‘Early Warning Signs’ For The End Of Speculative Excess

Why Goldman Is Bullish On The US Economy Under Democratic Management

January 9, 2021January 11, 2021

One of the many unfortunate side effects of this week’s drama on Capitol Hill was

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1 Comment on Why Goldman Is Bullish On The US Economy Under Democratic Management

This Week ‘Made An Illegible, Long-Running Process Legible Instantaneously’

January 9, 2021January 11, 2021

“It made an illegible, long-running process legible instantaneously by the force of an unprecedented act,”

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7 Comments on This Week ‘Made An Illegible, Long-Running Process Legible Instantaneously’

@realDonaldTrump: A Requiem

January 8, 2021January 11, 2021

On Friday evening, Jack Dorsey finally pulled the plug on Donald Trump and, symbolically, on

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11 Comments on @realDonaldTrump: A Requiem

All’s Well That Ends… Well?

January 8, 2021January 9, 2021

The first week of 2021 ended with US equities higher, but we’re really stretching the

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6 Comments on All’s Well That Ends… Well?

‘Obscene’ Wealth Gains And The ‘Natural End To Nihilistic Bull Markets’

January 8, 2021January 11, 2021

“We’ll know if it’s a bubble by the end of Q1,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett wrote,

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6 Comments on ‘Obscene’ Wealth Gains And The ‘Natural End To Nihilistic Bull Markets’

Here’s The Real Problem With December’s Jobs Report

January 8, 2021January 11, 2021

I suppose one read-through from December’s jobs report is simply that the case for more

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4 Comments on Here’s The Real Problem With December’s Jobs Report

US Jobs Market Slams Into Reverse Amid Carnage In Leisure And Hospitality

January 8, 2021January 8, 2021

The US labor market slammed into reverse last month, December’s hotly-anticipated NFP report showed. The

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Leave a Comment on US Jobs Market Slams Into Reverse Amid Carnage In Leisure And Hospitality

Global Stocks Run Away From Reality. And Who Can Blame Them?

January 8, 2021January 8, 2021

Global equities ended the first week of the new year in full-on melt-up mode. You

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • derek on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • NY Jeff on What’s What And WTF?
  • SeaTurtle on Oil, Dammit!
  • George Ponderevo on The Arbitrageur

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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