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Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Wage-Price Spiral Beckons As Americans Quit By The Millions

March 29, 2022April 13, 2022

Job openings barely budged and the quit rate rose in February, closely watched data out

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7 Comments on Wage-Price Spiral Beckons As Americans Quit By The Millions

Inflation Goes From ‘Nonissue’ To National Obsession In Six Months

March 29, 2022April 3, 2022

A gauge of US consumer confidence improved in March despite — and I don’t know

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3 Comments on Inflation Goes From ‘Nonissue’ To National Obsession In Six Months

McElligott On ‘Burning’ Macro And Stocks ‘Just Winning On All Fronts’

March 29, 2022March 30, 2022

“Stuff is breaking,” macro assets are chaotic and “burning,” but “goofy-ol’” stocks continue to press

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Dramatic Moves, Someone To Hang

March 29, 2022March 29, 2022

Recep Tayyip Erdogan himself presided over the latest round of peace talks between Ukraine and

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5 Comments on Dramatic Moves, Someone To Hang

Breaking: Fed Finds Cause Of Soaring Inflation

March 28, 2022April 13, 2022

The Fed knows who to blame for the highest US inflation in a generation. Spoiler

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7 Comments on Breaking: Fed Finds Cause Of Soaring Inflation

‘Public Enemy Number One’ And Why Stocks Are Vulnerable

March 28, 2022March 29, 2022

Equity investors need to answer one simple question: Will Jerome Powell follow through? Weeks of

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7 Comments on ‘Public Enemy Number One’ And Why Stocks Are Vulnerable

G-7 Answers Putin’s Rubles-For-Gas Demand: No

March 28, 2022March 29, 2022

Last week, Vladimir Putin had an idea. Like most of his ideas lately, it wasn’t

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1 Comment on G-7 Answers Putin’s Rubles-For-Gas Demand: No

VIX ‘Too Low’ As Data, Seasonal Buyback Lull Loom

March 28, 2022March 29, 2022

Markets may lose a key pillar of support just as equities appeared to find their

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4 Comments on VIX ‘Too Low’ As Data, Seasonal Buyback Lull Loom

‘Literally Parabolic’: Historic Bond Rout Worsens, Yen Plunges

March 28, 2022March 28, 2022

The hyperbole flowed freely Monday as the worst global bond rout in modern history accelerated.

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7 Comments on ‘Literally Parabolic’: Historic Bond Rout Worsens, Yen Plunges

Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock

March 27, 2022March 28, 2022

Fatalism pervades much of the macro commentary, and you don’t need to listen too closely

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4 Comments on Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock

Traders Await Crucial US Data As Biden Confronts Dismal Polls

March 27, 2022April 1, 2022

A slate of top-tier US data greets market participants in the new week, as equities

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7 Comments on Traders Await Crucial US Data As Biden Confronts Dismal Polls

Regime Change

March 27, 2022March 28, 2022

“As you’ve heard us say, repeatedly, we do not have a strategy of regime change

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5 Comments on Regime Change

‘Diamond Hands And Buybacks’ To Drive Stock Demand: Goldman

March 26, 2022March 28, 2022

One of the many “mysteries” of recent US equity strength is the solid performance of

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3 Comments on ‘Diamond Hands And Buybacks’ To Drive Stock Demand: Goldman

Three Months In Web3: What I Learned

March 26, 2022May 28, 2022

“There’s something apocalyptic about it,” someone told me this week. We weren’t talking about the

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19 Comments on Three Months In Web3: What I Learned

Royals Versus Ragtags

March 26, 2022March 27, 2022

If you’re curious to know why the Saudis aren’t more responsive when it comes to

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8 Comments on Royals Versus Ragtags

Fed Needs You To Believe Panic Equals Credibility

March 25, 2022April 3, 2022

Only twice during the past 50 years have US consumers been more concerned about reduced

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5 Comments on Fed Needs You To Believe Panic Equals Credibility

Perfect Storm Brewing For US Housing Bubble

March 25, 2022March 26, 2022

More cracks in the foundation. Pardon the pun. Again. Two days after data showed new

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14 Comments on Perfect Storm Brewing For US Housing Bubble

Key Indicator Flashes Rare ‘Buy’ Signal. But There Are Caveats

March 25, 2022March 26, 2022

For the first time since the depths of the original pandemic selloff, a widely-cited indicator

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3 Comments on Key Indicator Flashes Rare ‘Buy’ Signal. But There Are Caveats

German Business Confidence ‘Nosedives’ In Record Collapse

March 25, 2022March 25, 2022

“Sentiment in the German economy has collapsed,” Ifo President Clemens Fuest proclaimed on Friday. The

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1 Comment on German Business Confidence ‘Nosedives’ In Record Collapse

‘Largely Replaceable’: Putin’s Energy Is Expendable After All

March 25, 2022April 1, 2022

As expected, the US and the EU announced a political accord aimed at freeing Europe

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14 Comments on ‘Largely Replaceable’: Putin’s Energy Is Expendable After All

Stocks: Don’t Believe Everything You Read

March 24, 2022March 25, 2022

Nearly three months into 2022, US equities are largely indecipherable. There’s nothing unusual about market

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7 Comments on Stocks: Don’t Believe Everything You Read

What Steve Mnuchin Saw

March 24, 2022March 25, 2022

Most citizens in advanced economies aren’t accustomed to economic suffering. That’s a generalization, of course.

Read More

12 Comments on What Steve Mnuchin Saw

Ambiguous US Data Has Ominous Undertones

March 24, 2022March 25, 2022

Mixed data provided little in the way of clarity as traders and investors pondered an

Read More

10 Comments on Ambiguous US Data Has Ominous Undertones

US Economy Expanding Rapidly, Alternative Facts Suggest

March 24, 2022March 24, 2022

Not all the data was ominous. Preliminary US PMIs for March suggested the world’s largest

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Leave a Comment on US Economy Expanding Rapidly, Alternative Facts Suggest

Putin Puts Russian Stock Market On Path To Total Obscurity

March 24, 2022March 30, 2022

Vladimir Putin managed to reopen the Russian stock market. Sort of. 33 out of 50

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5 Comments on Putin Puts Russian Stock Market On Path To Total Obscurity

Why The Fed May Only Deliver Half Its Planned Rate Hikes

March 23, 2022March 24, 2022

How much is too much? That’s the question everyone wants answered vis-à-vis Fed tightening at

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9 Comments on Why The Fed May Only Deliver Half Its Planned Rate Hikes

Putin Demands Rubles For Gas, Refused Nabiullina Resignation

March 23, 2022April 3, 2022

If you’ve been “unfriendly” to Russia lately, you may need to pay Vladimir Putin in

Read More

5 Comments on Putin Demands Rubles For Gas, Refused Nabiullina Resignation

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Dissembling Strategery
  • Engineer on Mona Lisa’s Smirk
  • Engineer on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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