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Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Dolce > Dick’s

May 25, 2022May 25, 2022

As the old adage goes, “Nordstrom giveth and Dick’s taketh away.” Shares of the former

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4 Comments on Dolce > Dick’s

New Zealand Housing Bubble At Risk From RBNZ Super-Hawks

May 25, 2022May 30, 2022

The knives are still out for policy doves globally, notwithstanding the first nods to a

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1 Comment on New Zealand Housing Bubble At Risk From RBNZ Super-Hawks

Ackman Blasts Fed, Says Stocks, Economy May ‘Crash’, ‘Collapse’

May 24, 2022May 25, 2022

“There is no prospect for a material reduction in inflation unless the Fed aggressively raises

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11 Comments on Ackman Blasts Fed, Says Stocks, Economy May ‘Crash’, ‘Collapse’

New Home Sales Dive As Prices Go Parabolic

May 24, 2022May 31, 2022

It finally happened. The US housing market finally cracked. New home sales plunged an astounding

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9 Comments on New Home Sales Dive As Prices Go Parabolic

Surveys Show US Economy Slowing In Real Time

May 24, 2022May 25, 2022

A report showing a veritable plunge in new home sales wasn’t the only US data

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2 Comments on Surveys Show US Economy Slowing In Real Time

For US Retailers, ‘Better-Than-Feared’ Is The New ‘Good’

May 24, 2022May 25, 2022

“Better-than-feared” was about all analysts were able to muster on Tuesday, when Best Buy cut

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2 Comments on For US Retailers, ‘Better-Than-Feared’ Is The New ‘Good’

Goldman Knows Just What Stocks Need To Rally

May 24, 2022May 25, 2022

Goldman knows just what the market needs to hear in order to rebound sustainably. Spoiler

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2 Comments on Goldman Knows Just What Stocks Need To Rally

Chinese Stocks Now Deaf To Party Promises

May 24, 2022May 24, 2022

It wasn’t so long ago — two months, actually — that policymakers in Beijing retained

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4 Comments on Chinese Stocks Now Deaf To Party Promises

Snap Back To Reality

May 24, 2022May 29, 2022

Far be it from me to suggest Snap has a better read on the outlook

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6 Comments on Snap Back To Reality

Will ‘The Big Change’ Macro Theory Go Bust?

May 23, 2022May 25, 2022

In “Trial By Fire: Are Corporate Profits About To Plunge?” I made a casual observation

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8 Comments on Will ‘The Big Change’ Macro Theory Go Bust?

So, You’re Finally Awake To America’s Inventory Problem

May 23, 2022June 4, 2022

It wasn’t so long ago that the idea of “excess” anything seemed patently absurd. The

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5 Comments on So, You’re Finally Awake To America’s Inventory Problem

Summer ‘Earnings Reset’ May See S&P Tumble To 3400

May 23, 2022May 24, 2022

“It’s too early to get bullish,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson said Monday. At this point,

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4 Comments on Summer ‘Earnings Reset’ May See S&P Tumble To 3400

Biden Forgets ‘Words Matter’ On Taiwan

May 23, 2022May 30, 2022

Markets looked poised to stabilize Monday, amid a lack of new downside catalysts. There’s plenty

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8 Comments on Biden Forgets ‘Words Matter’ On Taiwan

A Recession. Just Not Today

May 22, 2022May 26, 2022

In the week ahead, traders and investors will scrutinize results from a bevy of big-name

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1 Comment on A Recession. Just Not Today

An ‘Important Regime Shift’ (And A Word On Hindsight)

May 22, 2022May 23, 2022

Remember when the pandemic was deflationary? That seems absurdly quaint in 2022. But we’d do

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5 Comments on An ‘Important Regime Shift’ (And A Word On Hindsight)

Trial By Fire: Are Corporate Profits About To Plunge?

May 22, 2022June 2, 2022

I dare say earnings reports from retailers will be among the most important macro events

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Leave a Comment on Trial By Fire: Are Corporate Profits About To Plunge?

Will The Crypto Collapse Spill Over? It’s Complicated

May 21, 2022May 23, 2022

When cryptocurrencies took another leg lower this month following the collapse of Terra’s algorithmic stablecoin

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10 Comments on Will The Crypto Collapse Spill Over? It’s Complicated

The Shock That Surely Isn’t ‘Priced In’

May 21, 2022May 22, 2022

If you were so inclined, you might argue that two of this year’s three shocks

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8 Comments on The Shock That Surely Isn’t ‘Priced In’

Bulls, Bears And Animal Spirits

May 21, 2022May 22, 2022

It’s not technically a bear market. At the worst levels on Friday, the S&P was

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10 Comments on Bulls, Bears And Animal Spirits

S&P Bear Market: What If Jeremy Grantham Was Right?

May 20, 2022May 27, 2022

I’ve talked quite a bit about valuations lately. Specifically: How far and how fast they’ve

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4 Comments on S&P Bear Market: What If Jeremy Grantham Was Right?

The Week Retail Died

May 20, 2022May 21, 2022

This week will go down as one of the most abysmal stretches ever for US

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6 Comments on The Week Retail Died

China’s ‘Record’ Rate Cut And Xi’s Mission Impossible

May 20, 2022May 21, 2022

“China cuts a mortgage reference rate by most on record.” Sounds dramatic, no? Unfortunately, the

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7 Comments on China’s ‘Record’ Rate Cut And Xi’s Mission Impossible

‘Unambiguous’ Buy Signal Overshadowed By Stagflation Reality

May 20, 2022May 21, 2022

The stock market “basically dropped by one US economy in six months,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett

Read More

8 Comments on ‘Unambiguous’ Buy Signal Overshadowed By Stagflation Reality

US Stocks Could Fall 40% In Worst Case, Deutsche Bank Says

May 19, 2022May 25, 2022

If the current malaise on Wall Street is a non-recession correction, it’s an unusually long

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5 Comments on US Stocks Could Fall 405 In Worst Case, Deutsche Bank Says

Goldman’s Clients ‘Constantly’ Asking About Recession

May 19, 2022May 20, 2022

“A recession is not inevitable,” Goldman’s David Kostin reiterated, in a new note. “But clients

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6 Comments on Goldman’s Clients ‘Constantly’ Asking About Recession

Fed’s George Talks Stock Selloff. McElligott Sees ‘Real-Time Downshift’

May 19, 2022May 20, 2022

“Bleeders all over the place,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Thursday, as the recession choir sang.

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8 Comments on Fed’s George Talks Stock Selloff. McElligott Sees ‘Real-Time Downshift’

Existing Home Sales Drop Again. More Declines Called ‘Imminent’

May 19, 2022May 21, 2022

More cracks in the foundation? Or perhaps it’s “just a supply thing.” You can write

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3 Comments on Existing Home Sales Drop Again. More Declines Called ‘Imminent’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • n3utra on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • WMD on Dissembling Strategery
  • derek on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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