Aggressively Hawkish Dots Should Overshadow Fed Pause
The Fed on Wednesday pressed the pause button on the most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in
Crowded Trades And Painful Scenarios
It comes as no surprise that the most crowded trade on the planet is long
No Country For Call Sellers
US equities came into the June FOMC meeting not just in melt-up mode, but in
Albert Edwards: Greedflation Raises Risk Of Deeper, Longer Recession
Analysts and investors pleased with resilient corporate profits aren’t factoring in the macro read-through of
Producer Prices Bolster Case For Cooler US Inflation
In a boon to the Fed’s inflation-fighting efforts, pipeline price pressures abated more than expected
Fed Confronts Cash-Fueled Stock Melt-Up
“Cash is seemingly burning a hole in the pocket of investors again,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott
‘Should’ve Known Better’: Companies Still Have An Inventory Problem
Everything is obvious in hindsight, so we should perhaps hesitate before we insist that policymakers
Markets Are Giving Up On China’s Recovery Story
While editorializing around reports that top Chinese policymakers are mulling new stimulus measures to bolster
Core Inflation 2.5 Times Target Seen Clearing Way For Fed Pause
Mercifully for a Fed leadership that’d prefer to take a break from raising rates (if
What $700 Billion Sees For Rates, Inflation And The Economy
Fund managers expect a soft landing. They also expect a recession. If that seems contradictory
China Stimulus Week
China stimulus rumblings were louder on Tuesday. The PBoC telegraphed an MLF cut later this
Kolanovic Stays Bearish. Recession Likely Needed To Tame Inflation
It’ll probably take a recession to restore price stability. That’s according to JPMorgan analysts led
The August Risk
If you’re wondering whether the nascent bull market in US equities risks making the Fed’s
Melt-Ups, Crash-Ups And Vol Bleeders
The rebuilding of positioning across broad equities amid the S&P’s trek into bull market territory
Fed Consumer Survey Paints Mixed Picture On Eve Of FOMC
I’d like to tell you the latest vintage of the New York Fed’s consumer survey
Ominous Harbinger Or Sunny Bellwether?
Last month, at the height of the A.I. frenzy, big-cap US tech’s outperformance to domestic
‘The Bear Market Is Still Alive,’ Wilson Says
Not everyone is on board with the idea that the bear market in US equities
Deutsche’s Kocic Details Trading ‘Paralysis,’ Disappearing RV
A “toxic combination” of factors has conspired to create “stifling” trading conditions in rates, where
What To Expect From The June FOMC Meeting
Barring a large upside surprise in CPI figures due Tuesday, the Fed will likely pause
Truly Data Dependent?
“If Fed policy were truly data dependent, the case for a rate increase at the
No ‘Pausing’ For A Determined ECB
The Fed isn’t the only game in town this week. In addition to the June
Was The Bull Market Over Before It Started?
One, but certainly not the only, criticism of the newly-minted “bull market” in US equities
Goldman Raises S&P Target As US Stocks Cling To Bull Market
Goldman’s David Kostin has seen enough. With the S&P in an ostensible bull market amid
A Market Timing Reality Check
They say the most important things in life are free. Sometimes, they’re also the most
‘Officially Over’: Subramanian Calls Time On Bear Market
“The bear market is officially over.” So said BofA’s Savita Subramanian on Friday, in a
Will The Flows Floodgates Reopen For Stocks?
Sympathetic as I (pretty plainly) am to the bear case for an equity market trading
Bubbly Bulls, Boring Bears And ‘Blah, Blah, Blah’
“Blah, blah, blah.” That’s how BofA’s Michael Hartnett described the bear case for equities with
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