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Category: VIX

The Week When Everything Else Snapped.

March 6, 2020March 7, 2020

“Wild” is an inadequate adjective.

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oil, OPEC3 Comments on The Week When Everything Else Snapped.

And I’ll Dance With You In Vienna.

March 5, 2020March 6, 2020

“There’s a tree where the doves go to die”…

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oil, OPEC5 Comments on And I’ll Dance With You In Vienna.

We’re All Momentum Traders Now

March 5, 2020March 6, 2020

“We are all subject to the same risk management parameters.”

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7 Comments on We’re All Momentum Traders Now

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘One Left Tail Down, One To Go’

March 4, 2020March 4, 2020

The ever-present COVID-19 tape bomb risk notwithstanding…

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘One Left Tail Down, One To Go’

Sometimes, The Entire Edifice Simply Implodes

March 1, 2020March 1, 2020

“Which investors drove this selloff?” Another market “whodunnit”.

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5 Comments on Sometimes, The Entire Edifice Simply Implodes

What Just Happened? The Historic Selloff Explained By Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

February 29, 2020February 29, 2020

Stability breeds instability.

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4 Comments on What Just Happened? The Historic Selloff Explained By Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

All Bets Are Off.

February 28, 2020February 28, 2020

“Unimaginable violence” and emergency intervention…

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4 Comments on All Bets Are Off.

REDRUM.

February 27, 2020October 14, 2021

Pavlov is still missing.

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4 Comments on REDRUM.

Dominoes.

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“The market does show some fragility”.

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4 Comments on Dominoes.

Werewolves, Emergency Rate Cuts And Peak COVID-19 Panic

February 24, 2020February 24, 2020

A watershed moment?

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6 Comments on Werewolves, Emergency Rate Cuts And Peak COVID-19 Panic

The Daisy Chain, ‘Crash-Up’, Equity Slingshot Setup Is Back In Play: McElligott

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

This makes the market especially “vulnerable” to good news.

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2 Comments on The Daisy Chain, ‘Crash-Up’, Equity Slingshot Setup Is Back In Play: McElligott

Macro Tourist Wants To Talk About Vanna White (And Also Volatility)

January 27, 2020January 27, 2020

“…it is becoming more of a self-reinforcing process with changes in VIX causing changes in the underlying asset”.

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2 Comments on Macro Tourist Wants To Talk About Vanna White (And Also Volatility)

‘Just As A Heavy Object Warps Spacetime’: All Hail The 4 Vol-Suppressing Forces

January 17, 2020January 17, 2020

“Aggregate gamma on the S&P 500 was positive for more than three-fourths of 2019”.

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1 Comment on ‘Just As A Heavy Object Warps Spacetime’: All Hail The 4 Vol-Suppressing Forces

Will 2020 Be The Year ‘Politicians’ Implied Vol’ Finally Overwhelms Central Banks?

December 15, 2019December 15, 2019

“…there have been periods during which volatility has returned, but central banks have largely succeeded in beating back the turmoil”.

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1 Comment on Will 2020 Be The Year ‘Politicians’ Implied Vol’ Finally Overwhelms Central Banks?

‘Perspective Is Not A Static Concept’: Kocic Delivers 2020 Vol. Outlook And It Is Quite Something

December 11, 2019December 12, 2019

“A consequence of our reaction to the underlying informational overload”.

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Leave a Comment on ‘Perspective Is Not A Static Concept’: Kocic Delivers 2020 Vol. Outlook And It Is Quite Something

Nomura’s McElligott On A Possible ‘Impulse Gap Higher’

December 10, 2019

“The market has [a lot of] protection which will get sold”.

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Leave a Comment on Nomura’s McElligott On A Possible ‘Impulse Gap Higher’

Marko Kolanovic Delivers 2020 Outlook, Sees Higher Stocks, Better Macro

December 9, 2019December 9, 2019

“At the depth of the market selloff last December, we set a controversial S&P 500 price target of 3,100 for 2019”.

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Leave a Comment on Marko Kolanovic Delivers 2020 Outlook, Sees Higher Stocks, Better Macro

All’s Well That Ends In A Blistering Jobs Rally

December 6, 2019December 6, 2019

Frankly, this was an unnerving week, payrolls aside.

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1 Comment on All’s Well That Ends In A Blistering Jobs Rally

Gamma ‘Close To The Cliff’, Raising Risk Of ‘Asymmetric Move Higher In Volatility’

December 5, 2019December 5, 2019

Mind the gravitational field.

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2 Comments on Gamma ‘Close To The Cliff’, Raising Risk Of ‘Asymmetric Move Higher In Volatility’

Here’s What’s Behind The ‘Relentless Bid For Stocks’

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

All of this is playing out against a backdrop defined by a (rare) dearth of news flow…

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6 Comments on Here’s What’s Behind The ‘Relentless Bid For Stocks’

The World According To Charlie: Nomura’s McElligott On Macro, Markets And Gamma As The Most Powerful Flow In The Universe

November 18, 2019November 19, 2019

“I view the world from the lens of volatility.”

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2 Comments on The World According To Charlie: Nomura’s McElligott On Macro, Markets And Gamma As The Most Powerful Flow In The Universe

‘Sudden Selloff’ Not Likely, But ‘Hedging Is Still Timely’, Goldman Says

November 13, 2019November 13, 2019

“Monitoring conditions”…

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Leave a Comment on ‘Sudden Selloff’ Not Likely, But ‘Hedging Is Still Timely’, Goldman Says

On Wall Street, A Summer Meltdown

August 23, 2019August 23, 2019

… stunned traders, disillusioned investors and indifferent algos looked haplessly to one another for answers. 

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oil9 Comments on On Wall Street, A Summer Meltdown

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott On China Tariffs: ‘September Selloff Window May Be Pulled Forward’

August 23, 2019August 23, 2019

“The pieces were already aligning”.

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Leave a Comment on Nomura’s Charlie McElligott On China Tariffs: ‘September Selloff Window May Be Pulled Forward’

Nomura’s McElligott Explains What Tariff News ‘Very Clearly’ Means For US Stocks

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

“…this re-pricing lower in the VIX complex should drive powerful second-order impacts”.

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6 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Explains What Tariff News ‘Very Clearly’ Means For US Stocks

With ‘Crash’ Bets Bid And Downside Risks Lingering, Nomura’s McElligott Talks Possible ‘Quiet’ Period

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

That said, risks come back into play starting in late August.

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Leave a Comment on With ‘Crash’ Bets Bid And Downside Risks Lingering, Nomura’s McElligott Talks Possible ‘Quiet’ Period

Nomura’s McElligott: Stocks ‘Quite Tense’, Systematic Selling Likely Not Clear Amid ‘Recession Pricing’ In Bonds

August 7, 2019August 7, 2019

Hot takes, coming right up.

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott: Stocks ‘Quite Tense’, Systematic Selling Likely Not Clear Amid ‘Recession Pricing’ In Bonds

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Monthly Letters

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