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Category: stocks

As G20 ‘Binary Nightmare’ Looms, Here Are The Key CTA Levels To Watch

November 27, 2018October 20, 2021

“Yeah…this is gonna be a binary nightmare to trade.”

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1 Comment on As G20 ‘Binary Nightmare’ Looms, Here Are The Key CTA Levels To Watch

2018’s Star Analyst Makes The Case For A 2019 Earnings Recession

November 27, 2018November 27, 2018

There’s a simple formula.

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2 Comments on 2018’s Star Analyst Makes The Case For A 2019 Earnings Recession

From Black Monday To The Dot-Com Bust To The GFC: A Visual History Of The S&P After Rate Cuts

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

“Was there ever a time when the Fed cut rates and stocks screamed higher immediately? Nah.”

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1 Comment on From Black Monday To The Dot-Com Bust To The GFC: A Visual History Of The S&P After Rate Cuts

Mike’s Back: Analyst Who Predicted Tech ‘Rain Storm’ Releases 2019 U.S. Equity Outlook

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

The man with the plan.

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1 Comment on Mike’s Back: Analyst Who Predicted Tech ‘Rain Storm’ Releases 2019 U.S. Equity Outlook

Bear Market Bounces And CTA Pinball Ahead Of Event Risk-Strewn Calendar

November 26, 2018

“This risk then becomes that today’s CTA Equities re-leveraging sees another de-leveraging wave”…

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1 Comment on Bear Market Bounces And CTA Pinball Ahead Of Event Risk-Strewn Calendar

Here’s What Goldman Says Would Happen To Markets If The Fed Delivered A 150bp Rate ‘Shock’

November 25, 2018October 20, 2021

It all depends on your definition of “shock”, now doesn’t it?

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3 Comments on Here’s What Goldman Says Would Happen To Markets If The Fed Delivered A 150bp Rate ‘Shock’

Exodus: Retail Investors Run Screaming To Cash As Hedge Fund Exposure Plunges To 2017 Lows

November 22, 2018October 20, 2021

On the bright side, at least “cash” actually yields something these days. 

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hedge funds3 Comments on Exodus: Retail Investors Run Screaming To Cash As Hedge Fund Exposure Plunges To 2017 Lows

When They Go High, SocGen Goes Low: Why One Bank Sees The S&P Falling To 2,400

November 21, 2018

The question is whether SocGen will be forced to revise up their target or whether the rest of the Street will end up catching down to the bank’s reality.

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1 Comment on When They Go High, SocGen Goes Low: Why One Bank Sees The S&P Falling To 2,400

Heresy! For The First Time In 16 Years, Buy-The-Dip Has Failed

November 20, 2018November 19, 2020

Way back in April, two months after investors too young to remember a time when

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4 Comments on Heresy! For The First Time In 16 Years, Buy-The-Dip Has Failed

‘VaR-Down’, ‘Impossible’ Moves And Systematic Deleveraging: Nomura’s McElligott Documents Manic Market Mayhem

November 20, 2018

Welcome to modern markets.

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6 Comments on ‘VaR-Down’, ‘Impossible’ Moves And Systematic Deleveraging: Nomura’s McElligott Documents Manic Market Mayhem

Goldman On 2019: Risk Has Returned, Raise Your Cash Allocation

November 20, 2018October 22, 2021

Occam’s razor. “TINA” is dead. And all that.

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3 Comments on Goldman On 2019: Risk Has Returned, Raise Your Cash Allocation

Trader Demands You Show Same Amount Of Respect For QT Days As You Do Great White Sharks

November 19, 2018November 19, 2018

“…this is how I view Quantitative Tightening days. Traders, investors and portfolio managers should respect these periods.”

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2 Comments on Trader Demands You Show Same Amount Of Respect For QT Days As You Do Great White Sharks

‘It Doesn’t Matter Until It Does’: An Update On Liquidity In U.S. Equity Futures

November 19, 2018

One of the disconcerting things about markets in 2018 is the proliferation of “this doesn’t matter until it does” stories. 

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1 Comment on ‘It Doesn’t Matter Until It Does’: An Update On Liquidity In U.S. Equity Futures

‘The Big Low’: Analyst Who Predicted Short Vol. Blowup Delivers Top Trades For 2019

November 18, 2018November 18, 2018

“The Big Low” and a “V-shaped trajectory”.

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1 Comment on ‘The Big Low’: Analyst Who Predicted Short Vol. Blowup Delivers Top Trades For 2019

Rates Volatility And The Indoor Trampoline

November 17, 2018

Amid the storm, there’s one place where volatility isn’t showing up…

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2 Comments on Rates Volatility And The Indoor Trampoline

‘Extreme Greeks’ Set Stage For ‘Insane’ Price Action: Nomura’s McElligott

November 15, 2018October 20, 2021

Violent chop and a binary event.

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3 Comments on ‘Extreme Greeks’ Set Stage For ‘Insane’ Price Action: Nomura’s McElligott

‘Even Messier’: Nomura’s McElligott Conducts Post-Mortem After Bloody Monday On Wall Street

November 12, 2018November 12, 2018

“A sloppy situation within the U.S. Equities space is getting even messier”.

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hedge funds5 Comments on ‘Even Messier’: Nomura’s McElligott Conducts Post-Mortem After Bloody Monday On Wall Street

Why We’re ‘More Vulnerable Now’: Modern Market Structure Meets Low ‘Ammo’

November 11, 2018

Fragility and a lack of policy breathing room.

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7 Comments on Why We’re ‘More Vulnerable Now’: Modern Market Structure Meets Low ‘Ammo’

‘At First Sight Things Don’t Look Encouraging’: Goldman’s Bull/Bear Indicator Stuck Near 49-Year High

November 10, 2018November 10, 2018

Time to panic?

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Leave a Comment on ‘At First Sight Things Don’t Look Encouraging’: Goldman’s Bull/Bear Indicator Stuck Near 49-Year High

Beware The ‘Tightening Tantrum’ And Fear The ‘Lights-Out’ Trade

November 9, 2018

Before you get too swept up in the prospects for a squeeze higher in equities into year-end, don’t forget this…

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2 Comments on Beware The ‘Tightening Tantrum’ And Fear The ‘Lights-Out’ Trade

Someone Get Kevin Hassett On The Phone, Goldman Is Predicting A Sharp Drop In S&P 500 Earnings Growth

November 8, 2018

This is just kind of “the way it is”, so to speak.

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2 Comments on Someone Get Kevin Hassett On The Phone, Goldman Is Predicting A Sharp Drop In S&P 500 Earnings Growth

Marko Kolanovic Lists Multiple Bullish Catalysts For Stocks Following Midterms

November 7, 2018January 8, 2022

“We still think that the market will move higher into the year-end, and investors may have to participate on the upside.”

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1 Comment on Marko Kolanovic Lists Multiple Bullish Catalysts For Stocks Following Midterms

Here’s What Wall Street Thinks Of The Midterm Election Outcome

November 7, 2018November 7, 2018

So far, so good for Wall Street’s midterm election forecasts. 

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1 Comment on Here’s What Wall Street Thinks Of The Midterm Election Outcome

A Cross-Asset Guide To The U.S. Midterms

November 6, 2018

What to expect – or not.

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1 Comment on A Cross-Asset Guide To The U.S. Midterms

Losing Your ‘Balance’.

November 6, 2018November 6, 2018

Is this the end of the “balanced bull”?

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Trader Brings You A Quick, Animated S&P Midterm Election Chart

November 5, 2018November 13, 2018

“Without further ado, here are the eighteen mid-term election periods since 1946.”

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3 Comments on Trader Brings You A Quick, Animated S&P Midterm Election Chart

Goodbye ‘Goldilocks’, Hello Lackluster Returns And Higher Volatility

November 5, 2018

You don’t know what you’ve got ’til it’s gone.

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2 Comments on Goodbye ‘Goldilocks’, Hello Lackluster Returns And Higher Volatility

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