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Category: reflation

It’s Falling Apart: Reflation Trade Shrivels Up And Dies As Markets Sour On Risk

March 27, 2017March 27, 2017

Well, the dollar is under pressure on Monday, just as we said it would be

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“Hope”: Health Bill Failure Isn’t Death Knell For Trump Trade, One Bank Says

March 24, 2017March 24, 2017

We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: one-way bets and crowded trades are

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One Chart Explains How Much The Health Care Vote Matters For Markets

March 24, 2017

Ultimately, what the media prints and, in turn, what people read shapes investor psychology. It’s probably fair to say that plastering “Dow Hits 20,000” all over the front pages of national newspapers helped accelerate inflows into popular retail equity vehicles like SPY earlier this year.

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No Vote On Health Care Bill Is Another Blow To Trump Trade

March 23, 2017

“And like that, it’s gone”…

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If You Think This Is A “Correction,” I Guess The Media Called It

March 23, 2017

So we can debate the extent to which Tuesday’s “blip” on an otherwise rosy-looking equity

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Trump Trade In Focus: All Eyes On Healthcare Bill As Yellen Lurks In Background

March 23, 2017

It’s do or die for the reflation narrative.

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I’m No Chart Whiz, But About That Whole Reflation Thing…

March 22, 2017March 22, 2017

Reflation frustration?

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Stock Selloff Goes Global

March 22, 2017March 22, 2017

Investors “needed a good reason to take profit, and here it is.”

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“Death By A Thousand Cuts”

March 22, 2017March 22, 2017

“The market didn’t collapse. It went down. In the scheme of life, this is nothing. On the other hand, death by a thousand cuts has to be acknowledged at some point. “

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R.I.P. Trump Trade: You Really Only Need Two Charts

March 21, 2017March 21, 2017

“Bigly.”

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Trader Warns: Fed Meeting Will Be “Death Knell” For Reflation Trades

March 13, 2017March 13, 2017

Dammit Mark, didn’t you learn anything from Goldman’s overnight note on commodities? When reality doesn’t reflect

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1 Comment on Trader Warns: Fed Meeting Will Be “Death Knell” For Reflation Trades

So Yeeahhh… About That Reflation Thing

March 9, 2017

“While investors may return to the reflation narrative again, it’ll take more than a few political speeches to get them there.”

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“I Think It’s Safe To Say Everyone Will Take A Glass Half-Full Approach”

March 9, 2017

“I think it’s safe to say that given the current mood among traders, they will be squarely focused on the glass half-full elements rather than grasp at signs for temperance.”

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Chaos

March 6, 2017March 6, 2017

Well I think it’s safe to say that geopolitical risk – which the naive among

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High Cotton: Commodity Bets Soar To Records, Hogs Still Skeptical

March 5, 2017

“Bullish bets on oil, copper and cotton futures all hit record levels in January, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that goes back to 2006. That was the first time in nearly a decade that this cross section of materials and resources established new highs simultaneously.”

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“It’s The Reflation Trade, Baby!” These Are The Levels To Watch On Friday

March 3, 2017

“If two-year Treasury yields close above 1.3% but 10-year yields linger below 2.5%, then a hike is expected but it’s being perceived as a potential policy mistake. If we close above both levels, it’s the reflation trade, baby.”

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It’s Circus Time! Everything You Need To Know About Tuesday’s Big Event

February 26, 2017

As you probably know, Donald Trump is going to address Congress on Tuesday and as

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Reflation Frustration

February 24, 2017February 24, 2017

This is probably a decent time to start asking yourself if the narrative still makes

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Can You Hear Me Now?

February 23, 2017

So one of the things I’ve been harping on since the release of the Fed

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Markets To Trump: “Show Me The Damn Money, Already”

February 20, 2017

Is the White House serious about tax reform and fiscal stimulus, or was that all bullsh*t designed purely to get the President elected so Steve Bannon could implement his social agenda and promote nationalism?

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Chart Check (A First)

February 15, 2017

Misplaced optimism?

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