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Category: Markets

Powell Press Conference Showed Why Fed Should Stop Talking

September 22, 2022September 23, 2022

If you took anything away from the past 24 hours in markets, it should probably

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2 Comments on Powell Press Conference Showed Why Fed Should Stop Talking

Meanwhile, In Turkey!

September 22, 2022September 30, 2022

If the situation weren’t so burdensome for the populace, I’d say you have to admire

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4 Comments on Meanwhile, In Turkey!

Bank Of England’s Perilous High-Wire Act Continues

September 22, 2022September 25, 2022

The Bank of England raised rates for a seventh consecutive meeting on Thursday, escalating a

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Japan Goes To War With Kuroda’s BoJ Over Plunging Yen

September 22, 2022September 28, 2022

The Bank of Japan is now effectively at war with the Japanese finance ministry, an

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5 Comments on Japan Goes To War With Kuroda’s BoJ Over Plunging Yen

Powell Wishes He Could Wish Away Inflation. Alas…

September 21, 2022September 22, 2022

The Fed has reached the lowest level of restrictive policy, Jerome Powell said Wednesday, during

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13 Comments on Powell Wishes He Could Wish Away Inflation. Alas…

A Hawkish 75?

September 21, 2022September 27, 2022

The Fed on Wednesday delivered a third consecutive 75bps rate hike, escalating a historic and,

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3 Comments on A Hawkish 75?

100 Or Bust

September 20, 2022September 21, 2022

Back in July, when the Bank of Canada aimed a 100bps rocket-propelled grenade at the

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3 Comments on 100 Or Bust

Is Kuroda Putting His Personal Legacy Above Japan’s National Interest?

September 20, 2022September 26, 2022

Telling the same yen story over and over again is admittedly a bit tedious, but

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2 Comments on Is Kuroda Putting His Personal Legacy Above Japan’s National Interest?

JPMorgan, Kolanovic Still ‘Cautiously Optimistic’

September 19, 2022September 20, 2022

The run up in terminal rate pricing and accompanying increase in US real yields are

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Paulie Walnuts And The Triumphant Return Of Cash

September 19, 2022September 20, 2022

I left the car running. I always do. It’s still scorching hot around here, and

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15 Comments on Paulie Walnuts And The Triumphant Return Of Cash

Mission Impossible: What To Expect From The Fed

September 18, 2022September 22, 2022

All eyes turn to the Fed in the new week. Not that traders weren’t already

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4 Comments on Mission Impossible: What To Expect From The Fed

‘The World Doesn’t Work Like That’

September 18, 2022September 19, 2022

“The world doesn’t work like that.” That’s what Zoltan Pozsar told Bloomberg earlier this month

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8 Comments on ‘The World Doesn’t Work Like That’

The Double-Barreled Threat To Stocks

September 17, 2022September 19, 2022

A near constant theme in these pages — a perpetual topic du jour, if you’ll

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2 Comments on The Double-Barreled Threat To Stocks

US Home Prices Are Destined To Fall

September 17, 2022September 24, 2022

Mortgage rates in the US rose above 6% last week for the first time since

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9 Comments on US Home Prices Are Destined To Fall

Goldman Raises US Recession Odds. Cuts Growth Outlook

September 17, 2022September 18, 2022

The implied outlook for US economic growth is now “somewhat worse.” That’s according to Goldman,

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6 Comments on Goldman Raises US Recession Odds. Cuts Growth Outlook

Bulls Stare Into Dark Abyss As Event Risks Loom

September 16, 2022September 24, 2022

It wasn’t a good week to be a bull. Images of FedEx’s largest one-day plunge

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4 Comments on Bulls Stare Into Dark Abyss As Event Risks Loom

S&P Could Fall 40% In ‘Severe Hawkish’ Scenario

September 16, 2022September 17, 2022

If we assume the likes of Bill Dudley, Larry Summers and Olivier Blanchard are correct

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4 Comments on S&P Could Fall 404 In ‘Severe Hawkish’ Scenario

FedEx May Be Wile E. Coyote Moment For Economy, Markets

September 16, 2022September 22, 2022

Wall Street will spend the final day of a somewhat tedious week fretting over FedEx,

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8 Comments on FedEx May Be Wile E. Coyote Moment For Economy, Markets

Breaking Point

September 16, 2022September 21, 2022

Markets moved closer to what felt like a breaking point Friday. FedEx’s bleak remarks on

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1 Comment on Breaking Point

Normal Is War

September 15, 2022September 16, 2022

In just two years, everything changed. The pandemic, and then, a ground war in Europe,

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8 Comments on Normal Is War

Meanwhile, In Japan…

September 15, 2022September 16, 2022

On Thursday, markets were “treated” to another “Econ 101” lesson. While previewing this week’s slate

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3 Comments on Meanwhile, In Japan…

Here’s ‘Who’ Sold During 2022’s Worst Stock Plunge

September 14, 2022September 15, 2022

If you’re looking to assign blame for US stocks’ worst day of 2022, you can

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5 Comments on Here’s ‘Who’ Sold During 2022’s Worst Stock Plunge

UK Inflation Nightmare Rolls On, But Truss Blunts Worst-Case

September 14, 2022September 14, 2022

Inflation moderated in the UK last month. Not that it matters. It’s small comfort to

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2 Comments on UK Inflation Nightmare Rolls On, But Truss Blunts Worst-Case

Economists, Celebrities And Reals

September 14, 2022September 15, 2022

Notwithstanding a tough session in Asia, there was no sign of an out and out

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When 50-50 Is 100

September 13, 2022September 14, 2022

One, among many, critical dynamics that most market participants either don’t understand or don’t fully

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Nomura Calls For 100 Basis Point Fed Hike Next Week

September 13, 2022September 14, 2022

During a year that’ll be remembered by markets and enshrined in textbooks for the most

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10 Comments on Nomura Calls For 100 Basis Point Fed Hike Next Week

Inflation Shock Hands US Stocks Worst Day Of 2022

September 13, 2022September 14, 2022

Risk assets weren’t enamored with another disconcerting US inflation report. US equities crumbled after data

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