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Category: Markets

Blistering Jobs Report Blindsides US Rates

February 2, 2024February 4, 2024

Needless to say, Friday’s astoundingly strong read on the US labor market rippled across the

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1 Comment on Blistering Jobs Report Blindsides US Rates

Bubble Spotting

February 2, 2024February 3, 2024

The price action in 2024 suggests we’re either coming out of a recession or in

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3 Comments on Bubble Spotting

Amazon, Apple, Meta Tout Results With Tech Rally On The Line

February 1, 2024February 2, 2024

Amazon reported what the company described as a record-breaking holiday quarter in results released after

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9 Comments on Amazon, Apple, Meta Tout Results With Tech Rally On The Line

The Commercial Real Estate Reckoning Is Here

February 1, 2024March 4, 2024

The best argument against the contention that the next financial crisis will be triggered by

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13 Comments on The Commercial Real Estate Reckoning Is Here

BoE Projects Above-Target Inflation Through 2026 Even As It Softens Stance

February 1, 2024February 1, 2024

The Bank of England kept rates on hold Thursday as expected, but the dissents included

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Wanted: More Confidence

January 31, 2024February 1, 2024

The Fed’s looking for “greater confidence” that inflation is moving sustainably down to 2%. That

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6 Comments on Wanted: More Confidence

Fed Pushes Back Against March Rate Cut Speculation

January 31, 2024February 8, 2024

The Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday. Obviously. January’s gathering was a placeholder meeting as

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2 Comments on Fed Pushes Back Against March Rate Cut Speculation

What’s Behind New York Community Bancorp’s Very Bad Day

January 31, 2024March 4, 2024

The Fed could’ve done without a flare-up in the heretofore dormant regional banking crisis ahead

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12 Comments on What’s Behind New York Community Bancorp’s Very Bad Day

Treasury Refunding Event Risk Clears Without Drama

January 31, 2024February 8, 2024

Janet Yellen surprised markets earlier this week when Treasury cut its borrowing estimate for the

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Xi’s Stock Market Hits Five-Year Low As PMIs Trundle

January 31, 2024January 31, 2024

It’s not working out for Xi Jinping. Not on the macro-market front, anyway. PMI data

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5 Comments on Xi’s Stock Market Hits Five-Year Low As PMIs Trundle

Microsoft And Alphabet: Good Enough?

January 30, 2024January 31, 2024

Microsoft and Alphabet delivered what looked to be decent results after the bell in the

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1 Comment on Microsoft And Alphabet: Good Enough?

McElligott Revisits The Thanksgiving Turkey Parable

January 29, 2024January 30, 2024

“We all should understand that generic / naked vol-selling is the proverbial ‘picking up pennies

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Treasury Refunding May Be Biggest Event Risk In Packed Week

January 28, 2024January 31, 2024

There’s no shortage of key events for markets and traders this week, but the most

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1 Comment on Treasury Refunding May Be Biggest Event Risk In Packed Week

What To Expect From The January FOMC Meeting

January 28, 2024January 31, 2024

Jerome Powell’s probably grateful that rate-cut pricing, both for the March FOMC meeting and for

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EM Stocks See Biggest Inflow Ever Amid China Stimulus Bets

January 26, 2024January 28, 2024

Investors were buying emerging market stocks over the last week. A record $12.1 billion flowed

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3 Comments on EM Stocks See Biggest Inflow Ever Amid China Stimulus Bets

‘Free Money Machine’ Borrowing Hit $168 Billion Before Fed Slammed Door

January 25, 2024February 8, 2024

A month ago, I called readers’ attention to what I dubbed the “free money Fed

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4 Comments on ‘Free Money Machine’ Borrowing Hit $168 Billion Before Fed Slammed Door

Tesla Flags Slower Growth, Omits Delivery Target

January 24, 2024January 25, 2024

Tesla is “between two major growth waves,” the company said on Wednesday afternoon in the

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2 Comments on Tesla Flags Slower Growth, Omits Delivery Target

China Frees Up $140 Billion With Rate Cut In Bid To Halt Stock Rout

January 24, 2024February 8, 2024

China’s taken to pre-announcements lately. Last week, Premier Li Qiang revealed the headline annual growth

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2 Comments on China Frees Up $140 Billion With Rate Cut In Bid To Halt Stock Rout

Netflix Delivers Huge Subscriber Beat After Unveiling Wrestling Deal

January 23, 2024January 24, 2024

As a longtime Netflix customer, I can’t say I’m excited about the opportunity to stream

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9 Comments on Netflix Delivers Huge Subscriber Beat After Unveiling Wrestling Deal

Kolanovic Flags Multiplying Risks For Markets ‘Priced To Perfection’

January 23, 2024January 24, 2024

Rate cuts from the Fed could extend the cycle, further delaying the inevitable, but the

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6 Comments on Kolanovic Flags Multiplying Risks For Markets ‘Priced To Perfection’

Chinese Sources Pitch Media On 2 Trillion-Yuan Stock Rescue

January 23, 2024January 24, 2024

“There’s an old saying in Tennessee — I know it’s in Texas, probably in Tennessee

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3 Comments on Chinese Sources Pitch Media On 2 Trillion-Yuan Stock Rescue

Wilson Goes For Quality As ‘Highest-Probability Winner’

January 22, 2024January 23, 2024

In the latest Weekly, I asked if good news was good again. The context was

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Interminable Selloff Drives Key Index Of Chinese Stocks Near 20-Year Low

January 22, 2024January 23, 2024

I employ the phrase “interminable malaise” at fairly regular intervals, often in the context of

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3 Comments on Interminable Selloff Drives Key Index Of Chinese Stocks Near 20-Year Low

$26 Trillion Market At Crossroads With ‘Easy Money’ Made

January 21, 2024January 23, 2024

The “easy money has already been made in bonds,” one mainstream financial media headline published

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1 Comment on $26 Trillion Market At Crossroads With ‘Easy Money’ Made

How Long Before The Fed Bill Comes Due For Corporates?

January 21, 2024January 22, 2024

How long before the most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in a generation finally bites corporates? It’s

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3 Comments on How Long Before The Fed Bill Comes Due For Corporates?

Summit Push

January 19, 2024February 8, 2024

The S&P 500 hit a new record on Friday. Some readers (most, I hope) will

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2 Comments on Summit Push

‘Where The Puck Is Going’

January 19, 2024January 20, 2024

January’s price action is “sloppy,” but no one’s especially enthusiastic about fighting the Fed. That

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1 Comment on ‘Where The Puck Is Going’

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