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Category: Markets

MAGA Economy Gets Mixed Review In GDP Report, While Trump’s 3% ‘Miracle’ Is Wiped Off The Board

July 26, 2019July 26, 2019

And the punchline…

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The VIX Is Very Low To Be This Close To A Historic Fed Meeting

July 26, 2019

Cheap options for “plain English”.

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3 Comments on The VIX Is Very Low To Be This Close To A Historic Fed Meeting

The Most Dramatic Pivot Since The Crisis

July 26, 2019July 26, 2019

“…counting the impacts of the QE-unwind since 2014, the degree of tightening has been severe”.

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Will It Be Enough?

July 25, 2019July 26, 2019

We need to reflate with more “vigor”.

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David Vs. Goliath: Einhorn Takes On The US Corporate Debt Bubble

July 25, 2019November 14, 2021

“Good luck, we’re all counting on you”.

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4 Comments on David Vs. Goliath: Einhorn Takes On The US Corporate Debt Bubble

Turkey’s Recently Decapitated Central Bank Gives Erdogan Massive Rate Cut

July 25, 2019July 25, 2019

Markets were on edge headed into today’s CBT meeting.

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Just When You Thought It Couldn’t Get Any Worse For Germany, Business Expectations Crumble To 2009 Levels

July 25, 2019July 25, 2019

From worse to worser.

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1 Comment on Just When You Thought It Couldn’t Get Any Worse For Germany, Business Expectations Crumble To 2009 Levels

Markets Have Moved From ‘Central Bank Put’ To ‘Mini-Goldilocks’. Now, The Risk Of Another Regime Shift Is Rising

July 24, 2019July 25, 2019

Even in a benign situation, a rotation could catch lopsided positioning woefully offsides.

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4 Comments on Markets Have Moved From ‘Central Bank Put’ To ‘Mini-Goldilocks’. Now, The Risk Of Another Regime Shift Is Rising

‘This Could Trigger An Actual Recession’: Folks Are Getting Worried About Germany

July 24, 2019

“…at this point though, the manufacturing slowdown in the EZ is so real that it risks dragging Services with it”.

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5 Comments on ‘This Could Trigger An Actual Recession’: Folks Are Getting Worried About Germany

‘From Bad To Worse’: Yields Plunge To Record Lows As German Manufacturing Falls Off A Cliff

July 24, 2019July 24, 2019

This “raises the risk of the euro area’s largest member state entering a mild technical recession”.

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5 Comments on ‘From Bad To Worse’: Yields Plunge To Record Lows As German Manufacturing Falls Off A Cliff

(Anti)Trust Me – Again

July 23, 2019July 24, 2019

The bottom line is the same as it was last month

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1 Comment on (Anti)Trust Me – Again

Nomura’s McElligott Returns, Talks ‘The Halcyon Cross-Asset Short Vol Trading Environment’

July 23, 2019

The market zeitgeist is largely unchanged.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Returns, Talks ‘The Halcyon Cross-Asset Short Vol Trading Environment’

UBS CEO Very Worried About Asset Bubbles, Says ‘Cutting Rates To Infinity’ Not Great For You (Or Him)

July 23, 2019July 23, 2019

“I hope the US won’t follow that”.

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Boris Johnson And Other Fun Tuesday Notables

July 23, 2019July 23, 2019

BoJo takes over and other notables from across the globe.

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Elizabeth Warren: An Economic Crash Is Coming

July 22, 2019

“The country’s economic foundation is fragile. A single shock could bring it all down”.

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17 Comments on Elizabeth Warren: An Economic Crash Is Coming

‘The Algo Is Agnostic’: Here’s What Happens When You Run NLP On 30 Years Of Fed Communications

July 21, 2019

Parsing central bank communications is more art than science. Or at least it was until now.

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2 Comments on ‘The Algo Is Agnostic’: Here’s What Happens When You Run NLP On 30 Years Of Fed Communications

Matches: Full Week Ahead Preview

July 21, 2019July 22, 2019

There are lots of matches just waiting to be struck. 

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Goldman Says You’re Probably Too Obsessed With American Manufacturing

July 21, 2019

Keep it in perspective.

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Why Risk Assets Are Immune To Crazy Politics

July 20, 2019July 20, 2019

Whistling past the graveyard since 2009.

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4,000 Conference Call Transcripts Reveal The 2 Main Factors Behind Sour Sentiment

July 20, 2019July 20, 2019

The upshot is…

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In Markets, Summer Melt-Up To Meltdown?

July 20, 2019July 21, 2019

You can hardly blame anyone who’s nervous

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6 Comments on In Markets, Summer Melt-Up To Meltdown?

Jim Bullard Says He Wants Jay Powell’s Job, And What John Williams Was Really Trying To Say

July 19, 2019July 19, 2019

“If it were up to Neel Kashkari”…

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Fed Officials Succeed In Thoroughly Confusing Markets Just In Time For Pre-Meeting Blackout

July 19, 2019July 19, 2019

Silence is golden.

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Turkey Dodges US Sanctions Bullet As Local Stocks Head Into 2nd Bull Market Of 2019

July 18, 2019July 18, 2019

Teflon Tayyip?

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Looming Catalysts And A Bad Macro Picture Are ‘Incongruous With Very Low Volatility’: Goldman

July 18, 2019July 18, 2019

The second half of 2019 is likely to be “catalyst-rich”.

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Morgan Stanley Delivers Passable Results Despite Trading Stumbles

July 18, 2019July 18, 2019

With its peers on the books, Morgan Stanley was up to bat with Q2 results on Thursday.

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For Some Emerging Markets, It’s Time To Cut While The Cuttin’s Good

July 18, 2019July 18, 2019

South Korea and Indonesia cut rates as the Fed opens door to EM easing.

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