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Category: Markets

What Even Is Tesla These Days?

July 23, 2025July 24, 2025

Remember Tesla? That’s the car company Elon Musk runs when he’s not… well, when he’s

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6 Comments on What Even Is Tesla These Days?

Alphabet’s Spending Plan In Focus After Very Solid Quarter

July 23, 2025July 24, 2025

Alphabet kicked off Magnificent 7 results with what looked like a solid beat. The company

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1 Comment on Alphabet’s Spending Plan In Focus After Very Solid Quarter

The Fundamentals Are Sound

July 22, 2025July 23, 2025

The fundamentals are sound. Said everyone in the days and weeks before every market crash

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1 Comment on The Fundamentals Are Sound

Stocks’ Advice On Tariff Man: Just Ignore Him

July 21, 2025July 23, 2025

Equity investors, for better or worse, have stopped listening to Donald Trump’s tariff threats. The

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1 Comment on Stocks’ Advice On Tariff Man: Just Ignore Him

What Do Trump, Bessent And Warsh Have In Mind For The Fed?

July 21, 2025July 22, 2025

The writing’s on the wall, and it’s so large by now that Stevie Wonder could

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8 Comments on What Do Trump, Bessent And Warsh Have In Mind For The Fed?

Powell Persecution Is Martin Niemöller Moment For Wall Street

July 21, 2025July 22, 2025

Nobody has to “explain” anything to Donald Trump. Not you, not me and certainly not

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7 Comments on Powell Persecution Is Martin Niemöller Moment For Wall Street

Watch Tokyo

July 20, 2025July 21, 2025

We may have a problem in Tokyo. Last week, I contextualized another steep selloff in

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1 Comment on Watch Tokyo

‘Who’ To Thank For Stocks’ Blind Eye To Powell Drama

July 19, 2025July 21, 2025

I try to strike a healthy balance between characterizing (“caricaturing” is probably more apt on

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6 Comments on ‘Who’ To Thank For Stocks’ Blind Eye To Powell Drama

Sorry, Chris. He’s Still Not Going To Pick You

July 18, 2025July 20, 2025

Poor Chris Waller. If there’s anything more pathetic than a man pandering to another man

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3 Comments on Sorry, Chris. He’s Still Not Going To Pick You

It’s Too Early To Fade US Stock Melt-Up, Popular Strategist Says

July 17, 2025July 19, 2025

We’re in inning seven of the current equity market melt-up, which is to say it

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3 Comments on It’s Too Early To Fade US Stock Melt-Up, Popular Strategist Says

The End Of Fed Independence May Be Nigh

July 16, 2025July 17, 2025

Well, it was inevitable. And even saying that’s a testament to just how far afield

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19 Comments on The End Of Fed Independence May Be Nigh

It’s Raining Money In Goldman’s Equities Business

July 16, 2025July 17, 2025

As you might imagine given the volatility on display at the beginning of the quarter,

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Bank Of America Remains Going Concern, Results Suggest

July 16, 2025July 17, 2025

Bank of America on Wednesday reported trading results that easily topped estimates, and like JPMorgan

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Burning Questions

July 15, 2025July 16, 2025

Are stocks a bubble? Is it too late to jump aboard the moving train? Did

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9 Comments on Burning Questions

Smart Money Hasn’t Been This Bullish Since Trump Was Good For Stocks

July 15, 2025July 16, 2025

Fund managers haven’t been this bullish since they were under the impression that Donald Trump

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3 Comments on Smart Money Hasn’t Been This Bullish Since Trump Was Good For Stocks

Things Are Going Just Fine At JPMorgan, Thank You Very Much

July 15, 2025July 16, 2025

The House of Dimon marked the unofficial start of earnings season in the US on

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Should You Fear Narrow Markets And ‘Euphoric’ Valuations?

July 14, 2025July 15, 2025

Regular readers know I have a love-hate relationship with narrow market laments. The same’s true

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8 Comments on Should You Fear Narrow Markets And ‘Euphoric’ Valuations?

Meanwhile, In Japan…

July 14, 2025July 15, 2025

Japan’s often described as a kind of paragon when it comes to the contention that

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2 Comments on Meanwhile, In Japan…

‘The Currency And Bond Market Can Collapse’: Powell Exit Fears Spread

July 13, 2025July 14, 2025

Late last week, I said big banks need to begin pondering the consequences and fallout

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7 Comments on ‘The Currency And Bond Market Can Collapse’: Powell Exit Fears Spread

Gold And The Sinking Dollar Ship

July 11, 2025July 13, 2025

Gold. It’s — umm — shiny. I’ll say that for it. Whenever I run out

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10 Comments on Gold And The Sinking Dollar Ship

One Bank Goes There: ‘What If Powell Leaves?’

July 11, 2025July 13, 2025

After this week, Wall Street’s obliged to seriously consider the possibility that Jerome Powell might

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11 Comments on One Bank Goes There: ‘What If Powell Leaves?’

The Problem With A Buyback-Dependent Equity Market

July 10, 2025July 11, 2025

Dividend yields for US stocks are nearing levels last seen a quarter century ago around

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5 Comments on The Problem With A Buyback-Dependent Equity Market

Hedge When You Can, Not When You Have To

July 9, 2025July 10, 2025

You hedge downside when you can, not when you have to. That was the friendly

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4 Comments on Hedge When You Can, Not When You Have To

Central Banks Were Polled On Trump Risks. The Results Were Terrifying

July 8, 2025July 9, 2025

“We should get somebody in there that’s going to lower interest rates,” Donald Trump said

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2 Comments on Central Banks Were Polled On Trump Risks. The Results Were Terrifying

BofA Lifts S&P Target. Apologizes For ‘Underestimating Corporate America’

July 8, 2025July 9, 2025

Early Tuesday, while editorializing around Goldman’s new year-end S&P target, I wrote that other house

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Goldman’s Kostin Knows How To Play The Game

July 8, 2025July 9, 2025

If you’re a sell-sider with responsibility for the official house S&P call, there’s really only

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Fiat Money And The Bonds

July 7, 2025July 8, 2025

How bad of an investment are bonds? I’m not making an especially profound observation when

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3 Comments on Fiat Money And The Bonds

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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