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Category: Markets

Earnings Season Shows Corporate America Just Refuses To Roll Over

November 9, 2019November 9, 2019

With nearly 90% of companies reporting, earnings season was better than feared.

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2 Comments on Earnings Season Shows Corporate America Just Refuses To Roll Over

One-Percenters Now Control As Much Wealth As Middle-, Upper-Middle Classes Combined

November 9, 2019November 10, 2019

The benefits of this don’t accrue linearly, but rather exponentially.

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4 Comments on One-Percenters Now Control As Much Wealth As Middle-, Upper-Middle Classes Combined

PBoC Policy Headache Gets Worse As China’s Inflation Soars To Seven-Year High

November 9, 2019

A bad mix.

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‘2019 Has Been A Rollercoaster’: Duration ‘Round Trip’ Now Complete, Risk Is Trade Deal Falls Through

November 8, 2019November 9, 2019

This may mean that the market has become too comfortable with the trade outlook.

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Marko Kolanovic On ‘Groupthink’, Crowding And Why The Rotation Will Continue

November 8, 2019November 23, 2019

“Two strategies that in theory should have little to do with each other” have been “nearly 100% correlated” recently.

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2 Comments on Marko Kolanovic On ‘Groupthink’, Crowding And Why The Rotation Will Continue

China Responds: Phase One Deal Without Tariff Rollbacks Is Nonstarter

November 8, 2019

“What’s certain is that”…

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Spare A Thought For Gold. This Was A Terrible Week

November 8, 2019

Yellow doorstops are in the dumpster amid an otherwise stellar 2019.

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3 Comments on Spare A Thought For Gold. This Was A Terrible Week

‘Yellow Brick Road’ Or ‘Rabbit Hole’? Bonds In ‘No Man’s Land’

November 7, 2019November 8, 2019

So, which is it going to be?

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1 Comment on ‘Yellow Brick Road’ Or ‘Rabbit Hole’? Bonds In ‘No Man’s Land’

3-Sigma Bond Rout Sees Yields Erase August Plunge, While Front-End Prices Out Trump’s Rate Cut Hopes

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

Rampant optimism is now reinforcing the Fed’s message that rate cuts are done.

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1 Comment on 3-Sigma Bond Rout Sees Yields Erase August Plunge, While Front-End Prices Out Trump’s Rate Cut Hopes

Stocks Are Levitating, But Nomura’s McElligott Says Backtest Shows Potential For Pullback Amid Options ‘Extremes’

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

The longer we linger ‘up here’…

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Split BOE Decision Wrong-Foots Markets, 2020 Rate Cut Now Seen Likely

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

“They’re closer to cutting rates than we think”.

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Tariff Rollbacks Imminent, China Says. US Confirms

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

It would be the first time the Trump administration has removed duties since the beginning of the trade war.

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3 Comments on Tariff Rollbacks Imminent, China Says. US Confirms

Happy Times And ‘Manna From The Printing Press Heaven’

November 6, 2019November 6, 2019

“The wealth effect on global plutonomists will be massive”.

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US-China ‘Phase One’ Deal Seen Delayed, Could Be Signed In Famous US Farm State Switzerland

November 6, 2019November 6, 2019

Who’s surprised?

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11 Comments on US-China ‘Phase One’ Deal Seen Delayed, Could Be Signed In Famous US Farm State Switzerland

‘A Weak Start To Q4’: JPMorgan Global PMI Prints Lowest Since February 2016, Employment Dives Into Contraction

November 6, 2019

“…the pace of job losses at manufacturers was the joint-fastest for over a decade”.

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1 Comment on ‘A Weak Start To Q4’: JPMorgan Global PMI Prints Lowest Since February 2016, Employment Dives Into Contraction

Armageddon Scenarios, Willful Ignorance And ‘Bond Risk Everywhere’

November 5, 2019November 6, 2019

What could go wrong?

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3 Comments on Armageddon Scenarios, Willful Ignorance And ‘Bond Risk Everywhere’

Reflation Narrative Gets Another Boost As ISM Non-Manufacturing Rebounds From Trump-Era Low

November 5, 2019

All told, the headline beat will likely be enough to bolster the rosy economic story.

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1 Comment on Reflation Narrative Gets Another Boost As ISM Non-Manufacturing Rebounds From Trump-Era Low

As ‘Tantrum’ Risk Comes Calling, Nomura’s McElligott Flags CTA Bond Selling As Legacy Long Unwound

November 5, 2019November 23, 2019

Trade optimism is running rampant and crowded positioning looks set to unwind.

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Who Needs An Economy When You’ve Got Stocks? Markets On Fire In Two Recession-Hit Locales

November 5, 2019

Two recession-ravaged economies are enjoying large rallies in domestic equities.

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2 Comments on Who Needs An Economy When You’ve Got Stocks? Markets On Fire In Two Recession-Hit Locales

China Cuts MLF Rate In Nod To Sagging Economy

November 4, 2019

With officials still reluctant to countenance broad-based, “kitchen sink” stimulus, some worry stagflation is imminent.

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Market In ‘Sweet Spot’ As Trump Said To Consider Removing Some Tariffs Just As Stocks Hit Highs

November 4, 2019November 5, 2019

It’s all going right, just two months on from a growth scare that sent yields to doomsday lows.

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2 Comments on Market In ‘Sweet Spot’ As Trump Said To Consider Removing Some Tariffs Just As Stocks Hit Highs

As Stocks ‘Dance’ To Records, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Looks Ahead

November 4, 2019

“Short-term ‘contrarian’ positioning signals be damned”.

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1 Comment on As Stocks ‘Dance’ To Records, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Looks Ahead

Chasing Your Own Tail And ‘Zombies At Dawn’

November 4, 2019

Price discovery lives – even as zombies make a comeback.

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1 Comment on Chasing Your Own Tail And ‘Zombies At Dawn’

‘Bah! Humbug!’ Not Everyone Is Taking A Glass Half-Full Approach To Markets This Week

November 4, 2019

“Americans are naturally upbeat people.”

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Goldman Declares ‘Tariffs Have Peaked’ As Trade Optimism Runs Wild

November 4, 2019November 4, 2019

“Managing differences on the basis of equality and mutual respect”.

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1 Comment on Goldman Declares ‘Tariffs Have Peaked’ As Trade Optimism Runs Wild

‘It’s Hard To See How Trump Can Call This A Victory’, And Other Highlights From SocGen’s Latest ‘Swans’ Update

November 3, 2019

The “Swan Chart” is back…

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Economy Now More Important Than Ever For Trump As Impeachment Probe Goes Public

November 3, 2019November 4, 2019

“Good” is a relative term.

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