It’s starting to feel like August all over again for markets.
Category: Markets
Look, Green Shoots! And Just In Time For Viral Roundup
The question is whether it’s durable.
GDP Beats, But Consumption Slows Sharply, Business Investment Falls Third Straight Quarter
As we’re fond of putting it: It’s good, but not “great”. “Again” or otherwise.
BOE Gambles, Stands Pat In ‘Knife-Edge’ Call
If this ends up looking misguided in retrospect…
It Wasn’t Priced In: Taiwan’s Epic Tumble Prompts Asia Rout As Yuan Breaches 7
That’s a lot of masks.
A Corona(virus) Gets Its Lime
It’s not contained. Or at least not yet.
Fed Commits To Repos Through April, Keeps Main Rate On Hold, Raises IOER
Quite a bit to digest, but perhaps not much to move markets other than at the very front-end.
Just How Stretched Is This Rubber Band, Anyway?
Normally, the market would have pulled back by now.
Insouciant Stocks Back In The Gamma Pocket As Earnings Roll In, Betting Markets ‘Bern’
Define nebulous: “It’s a good time to be in the market”.
Risk Aversion Lingers As Virus Deaths Climb Ahead Of Fed
The number of confirmed cases is approaching 6,000.
Harley Bassman On QE, Demographics, MMT And Flying Pigs
“I will caveat that although I am certain of the denouement, it is possible its date is vastly longer than my career”.
Buy The Viral-Apocalypse-Dip (Bern Victims)
On the off chance the world doesn’t end this month or next…
As One Bank Takes Profits In Bond Long, Have Yields Fallen Too Far, Too Fast?
Too rich for some folks’ liking.
Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Classic Short Gamma’ And $62 Billion In Potential Vol. Target Fund De-Risking
Just another example of why it’s crucial to understand the dynamics driving the price action.
3M Euphemistically Touts Exciting ‘Transformation Journey’ As Shares Slide On Job Cuts, Forecast Miss
“As a result of these actions, 3M initiated a restructuring that will reduce approximately 1,500 positions”.
Coronavirus Threatens To Shutter Hong Kong, May Delay Recovery In South Korea’s Export Machine
“Given the gravity of the epidemic”.
$1 Trillion+ Surge In Negative Debt Pile Is Fillip For Yellow Paperweights, Digital Chuck E. Cheese Tokens
That “blip” is worth about $1.5 trillion – with a “t”.
‘Stability Breeds Instability’: ‘Extreme’ Positioning From CTAs, Vol.-Targeters Raises Virus Contagion Risk
While timeless, it’s become even more germane over the last decade…
Oil Plunges, Saudi Shares In Rout As Kingdom Says Don’t Panic About Deadly Mystery Virus
“Psychological factors and extremely negative expectations”.
Coronavirus Black Swan Infects China’s Yuan To Start Week
“Risk aversion is contagious”.
Treasury Yields Erase Entire ‘Phase One’ Trade Deal Bounce Amid Virus Scare
It was risk-off out of the gate Monday.
(Still) The Most Underappreciated Tail Risk
It seems far-fetched now, but it’s always the ones you don’t see coming that are a problem.
Pandemic Fears Meet Fed, Impeachment, Tech Earnings With Stocks In Stratosphere
A little trepidation.
Where Were You When The World Didn’t End?
When the US House rejected the Wall Street bailout bill on September 29, 2008, I
‘Parabolic’ Tech And The ‘Good’ Idea Misnomer
Too often, we conflate getting in lower than the next person in a “greater fool” market with making a “good” decision.
After Worst Week For US Stocks Since August, The Big Story Is Actually Bonds
This really wasn’t supposed to happen.

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