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Category: Markets

‘Why Would Anyone Expect Stocks To Price Rationally?’ The State Of Exception Is Now Permanent

May 22, 2020May 22, 2020

They say it promotes “transparency.” It’s important, they say, for the public to understand “the process.”

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9 Comments on ‘Why Would Anyone Expect Stocks To Price Rationally?’ The State Of Exception Is Now Permanent

Meanwhile, In The UK: Retail Apocalypse, Record Deficit, Negative Rates And A Possible ‘Pound’ing

May 22, 2020May 22, 2020

“We may be in an era where financial markets have become desensitized to big percentages, but…”

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4 Comments on Meanwhile, In The UK: Retail Apocalypse, Record Deficit, Negative Rates And A Possible ‘Pound’ing

Beginning Of ‘The End’ For Hong Kong Sparks Massive Rout In Preview Of Coming Showdown

May 22, 2020May 22, 2020

This is the end, my only friend, the end.

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9 Comments on Beginning Of ‘The End’ For Hong Kong Sparks Massive Rout In Preview Of Coming Showdown

China Abandons GDP Target For 2020 As Virus Reality Sets In

May 21, 2020May 21, 2020

The abandonment of the target speaks volumes about the scope of the damage inflicted by the pathogen.

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1 Comment on China Abandons GDP Target For 2020 As Virus Reality Sets In

Just Two Things.

May 21, 2020May 22, 2020

“We are now experiencing a whole new level of uncertainty”.

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6 Comments on Just Two Things.

Meanwhile, In Turkey…

May 21, 2020May 21, 2020

Of “foiled” plots and valuable, gas-rich allies.

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Nomura’s Charlie McElligott On The Rally And The Future Of Macro

May 21, 2020May 21, 2020

“…we would need to see an unprecedented marriage where both monetary and fiscal policy align in a magnitude not previously experienced”.

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As Virus Jobless Claims Total Nears 40 Million, Let’s Make Sure We’re Asking The Right Questions

May 21, 2020May 21, 2020

The question is not whether “the worst is over”. Nor is the question about the “pace” of the rebound.

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8 Comments on As Virus Jobless Claims Total Nears 40 Million, Let’s Make Sure We’re Asking The Right Questions

In Europe, Light At Tunnel’s End Still Just Faint Glimmer

May 21, 2020May 21, 2020

Williamson cautioned that a full recovery in Europe may “take several years”.

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Knife’s Edge: China Plans Serious Hong Kong Escalation As Trump Accuses Xi Of Letting ‘Plague’ Spread

May 21, 2020May 21, 2020

“The market is taking this news negatively”.

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10 Comments on Knife’s Edge: China Plans Serious Hong Kong Escalation As Trump Accuses Xi Of Letting ‘Plague’ Spread

‘Some Wackos’ Are Pushing US-China Relations To The Brink

May 20, 2020May 20, 2020

“I would not turn my back on the Chinese Communist Party if they were two days dead”, he said.

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8 Comments on ‘Some Wackos’ Are Pushing US-China Relations To The Brink

Marko Kolanovic: Virus Politics Poses ‘New And Significant Risk To Markets’

May 20, 2020May 21, 2020

“While the epidemic and markets largely followed our forecasts, politics emerged as a new and significant risk”.

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Why You Have No Choice But To Buy Corporate Bonds Despite Black Swan Bankruptcy Spiral

May 20, 2020

Wicker giraffes and decorative plates.

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4 Comments on Why You Have No Choice But To Buy Corporate Bonds Despite Black Swan Bankruptcy Spiral

Minutes Show Fed Palpably Concerned Second Virus Wave Could Trigger ‘Pessimistic Projection’

May 20, 2020May 20, 2020

“…the staff judged that a more pessimistic projection was no less plausible than the baseline forecast.”

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7 Comments on Minutes Show Fed Palpably Concerned Second Virus Wave Could Trigger ‘Pessimistic Projection’

‘No Doubt Global Trade Is About To Fall Off A Cliff,’ One Bank Says, As Global Trade Falls Off A Cliff

May 20, 2020May 20, 2020

There is “no sign of the trade slump bottoming out”.

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3 Comments on ‘No Doubt Global Trade Is About To Fall Off A Cliff,’ One Bank Says, As Global Trade Falls Off A Cliff

Richard Koo Details ‘The Many Irreversible Impacts Of COVID-19’

May 20, 2020May 20, 2020

“…these differences mean we cannot expect the sort of V-shaped recovery seen after the SARS outbreak.”

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20 Comments on Richard Koo Details ‘The Many Irreversible Impacts Of COVID-19’

The Virus Is Changing, It’s Bad In Brazil And Mike Pompeo Pokes The Dragon (Again)

May 20, 2020May 20, 2020

“How can the market invest in a nation that does this?”

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5 Comments on The Virus Is Changing, It’s Bad In Brazil And Mike Pompeo Pokes The Dragon (Again)

Behold: The ‘Powell Effect’ On The World’s Most Popular Investment Grade Credit ETF

May 19, 2020May 20, 2020

The Fed found what transpired in late March to be wholly distasteful.

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8 Comments on Behold: The ‘Powell Effect’ On The World’s Most Popular Investment Grade Credit ETF

Harley Bassman’s ‘State’ Of Mind

May 19, 2020May 19, 2020

“Call me crazy, but I have always liked paying income taxes; the more the better”.

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3 Comments on Harley Bassman’s ‘State’ Of Mind

Martha McSally Educates Jerome Powell On China, Communists And ‘An Investment Bank Called BlackRock’

May 19, 2020May 19, 2020

“But none of us as Americans wants to see China prospering”.

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16 Comments on Martha McSally Educates Jerome Powell On China, Communists And ‘An Investment Bank Called BlackRock’

‘Zeitgeist Bearish’

May 19, 2020

“Investors”, he writes, are “still extremely bearish”.

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Don’t Fear The Zombies.

May 19, 2020May 19, 2020

What happens after that? How do you sort that out? Spoiler alert: You can’t.

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12 Comments on Don’t Fear The Zombies.

Jamie Dimon: Coronavirus Is ‘Wake-Up Call’. America Isn’t Inclusive Enough

May 19, 2020

The “social fabric” is “frayed”, Dimon says.

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12 Comments on Jamie Dimon: Coronavirus Is ‘Wake-Up Call’. America Isn’t Inclusive Enough

WHO, Nasdaq Crackdown Are Double-Barreled Reality Check On Simmering International Tensions

May 19, 2020May 19, 2020

All is not well.

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12 Comments on WHO, Nasdaq Crackdown Are Double-Barreled Reality Check On Simmering International Tensions

Here’s A Thought: What If (Almost) Everybody Is Wrong?

May 18, 2020May 19, 2020

“This would be perhaps the biggest surprise to markets.”

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8 Comments on Here’s A Thought: What If (Almost) Everybody Is Wrong?

Caveat Emptor.

May 18, 2020May 18, 2020

Of course, all the usual disclaimers apply.

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9 Comments on Caveat Emptor.

Morgan’s Mike Wilson On The Rally: This Looks Like 2009 With ‘One Major Outlier’

May 18, 2020May 18, 2020

With financial repression alive and well, “it really isn’t different this time”.

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4 Comments on Morgan’s Mike Wilson On The Rally: This Looks Like 2009 With ‘One Major Outlier’

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