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Category: Markets

‘It’s All About The Future’ (Here Comes The Pain Trade)

June 5, 2020

Famous last words?

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6 Comments on ‘It’s All About The Future’ (Here Comes The Pain Trade)

Stock Surge Set To Become Greatest Bear Market Rally In History. Sell At S&P 3,250?

June 5, 2020

We could see 3,250 within days.

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3 Comments on Stock Surge Set To Become Greatest Bear Market Rally In History. Sell At S&P 3,250?

‘I Fell Off My Chair. We Need To Massively Revise Projections’: Market Stunned By US Jobs Report

June 5, 2020June 5, 2020

“There will naturally be some doubt lingering about these figures”.

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7 Comments on ‘I Fell Off My Chair. We Need To Massively Revise Projections’: Market Stunned By US Jobs Report

Rewrite The Script: Unemployment Rate Drops, As US Labor Market Stages Dramatic Rebound

June 5, 2020June 5, 2020

An astonishing turnaround.

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21 Comments on Rewrite The Script: Unemployment Rate Drops, As US Labor Market Stages Dramatic Rebound

Carte Blanche.

June 5, 2020June 5, 2020

“The mood remains ‘risk on'”.

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oil3 Comments on Carte Blanche.

Betting On The Fed: Tsunami Into Credit Funds Smashes Records

June 4, 2020

Insatiable.

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6 Comments on Betting On The Fed: Tsunami Into Credit Funds Smashes Records

Red Ink, Too Much Cash, And A Witches’ Brew

June 4, 2020June 5, 2020

The chances of meaningful change are slim. I can’t disagree. But “there are plenty of things to buy”.

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18 Comments on Red Ink, Too Much Cash, And A Witches’ Brew

A Record-Shattering Collapse In US Trade And Globalization’s ‘Nail In The Coffin’ Moment

June 4, 2020June 4, 2020

“Without being melodramatic”…

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3 Comments on A Record-Shattering Collapse In US Trade And Globalization’s ‘Nail In The Coffin’ Moment

‘Silver Lining’ Disappears In Jobless Claims (Imagine That)

June 4, 2020June 4, 2020

42.6 million and counting.

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3 Comments on ‘Silver Lining’ Disappears In Jobless Claims (Imagine That)

ECB Adds €600 Billion To Pandemic QE Facility, Bringing Firepower To €1.35 Trillion

June 4, 2020June 4, 2020

The bazooka gets larger.

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Pause For Reset

June 4, 2020June 4, 2020

It’s not surprising to see a bit of a regime flip, if only for a day.

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2 Comments on Pause For Reset

Six Months From Now, We’ll Know Who Was Disastrously Wrong

June 3, 2020June 4, 2020

Extreme scenarios and the peril of screwing it all up.

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7 Comments on Six Months From Now, We’ll Know Who Was Disastrously Wrong

Socialism For The Rich: The Biggest Names In Finance Are Stone, Cold Hypocrites

June 3, 2020June 3, 2020

Where’s your damn free lunch? 

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30 Comments on Socialism For The Rich: The Biggest Names In Finance Are Stone, Cold Hypocrites

Nomura’s McElligott On The ‘True Accelerant’ For An ‘Outright Rotation’

June 3, 2020June 3, 2020

“Many of these previously ‘left for dead’ equities have beta/convexity to upside in economic growth or inflation”.

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oil1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott On The ‘True Accelerant’ For An ‘Outright Rotation’

In 2020, ‘Winning’ Means Only Losing 2.8 Million Jobs In A Month

June 3, 2020June 3, 2020

Another reason to believe in a “V-shaped” recovery?

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2 Comments on In 2020, ‘Winning’ Means Only Losing 2.8 Million Jobs In A Month

Green Shoots From The Smoldering Ashes

June 3, 2020June 15, 2020

A few visuals help explain cautious optimism.

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1 Comment on Green Shoots From The Smoldering Ashes

Rally Mode.

June 3, 2020June 3, 2020

“At the moment nothing seems to tire this equity market”.

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4 Comments on Rally Mode.

Everything Is Wrong In The World. Except For Stocks. The Stocks Seem Fine.

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

74% say America is on the wrong track. But the stocks are fine. Thanks for asking.

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oil3 Comments on Everything Is Wrong In The World. Except For Stocks. The Stocks Seem Fine.

It All Burns Down.

June 2, 2020June 3, 2020

“A red flag to a bull, even if it is bullish for assets”.

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17 Comments on It All Burns Down.

Euphoric ‘Mothers’ And ‘Giant Painkillers’

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

“…symptomatic of a euphoric stock market”.

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While You Weren’t Looking, China Launched A Little Soft QE

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

It’s “not QE” in a precise sense.

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Dollars, Defiance And Democracy

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

“I can’t think of any market crash brought on by civil unrest”.

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26 Comments on Dollars, Defiance And Democracy

2018 Flashbacks And Upside Down Bond Market Dynamics

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“We hold the opposite view”.

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1 Comment on 2018 Flashbacks And Upside Down Bond Market Dynamics

Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Big Deal’ Trend Inflections And June Sequencing

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“…a broader distribution of outcomes [and] a wider range thereafter”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Big Deal’ Trend Inflections And June Sequencing

Manufacturing Gauges Rendered Meaningless In COVID Crisis Suggest Economy Still Pretty Bad

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“Two cautious comments for every one optimistic comment”.

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‘Still Plenty Of Room For Stocks To Rise Further From Here,’ JPMorgan Says

June 1, 2020

“…collectively, investors are still underweight equities”.

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4 Comments on ‘Still Plenty Of Room For Stocks To Rise Further From Here,’ JPMorgan Says

China Mocks America For Violent Protests, Begins Canceling US Farm Imports

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“Why does the US beautify the so-called Hong Kong independence and violent elements as heroes?”

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5 Comments on China Mocks America For Violent Protests, Begins Canceling US Farm Imports

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Monthly Letters

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