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Category: Markets

Let Reason And Science Guide Us. And Stimulus. Lots Of Stimulus.

December 28, 2020December 28, 2020

Equities looked to rise coming off the Christmas break, buoyed by Donald Trump’s decision to

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1 Comment on Let Reason And Science Guide Us. And Stimulus. Lots Of Stimulus.

Ant, Meet Sledgehammer

December 27, 2020December 28, 2020

Jack Ma should have kept his mouth shut. The often flamboyant billionaire was reportedly warned

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11 Comments on Ant, Meet Sledgehammer

Georgia (Still) On My Mind

December 26, 2020December 28, 2020

In the immediate aftermath of the US election, markets cheered what was variously billed as

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5 Comments on Georgia (Still) On My Mind

‘Return-Free Risk’

December 25, 2020December 28, 2020

In a world where some $18 trillion in debt “boasts” a negative yield, bonds no

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5 Comments on ‘Return-Free Risk’

How The Fed Changed And Why One Pro Will Buy The Next Correction

December 24, 2020December 28, 2020

Yet, when I look at the traditional executioner of bull markets (the Fed), I see

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9 Comments on How The Fed Changed And Why One Pro Will Buy The Next Correction

Icarus And His Ant

December 24, 2020December 24, 2020

Shares of Alibaba dove in Hong Kong Thursday, extending a slide that now sums to

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10 Comments on Icarus And His Ant

Once Burned, Twice Steep

December 23, 2020December 23, 2020

One almost hesitates when it comes to dedicating space to incremental Brexit news. And certainly

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4 Comments on Once Burned, Twice Steep

Screeching Tea Kettle Downgraded To Rolling Boil As New Home Sales Miss Badly

December 23, 2020December 23, 2020

A day after the latest read on existing-home sales suggested record-high prices may constrain (or

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Americans’ Income, Spending Fall Much Harder Than Expected As Slowdown Accelerates

December 23, 2020December 23, 2020

Concerns that falling incomes were destined to manifest in slower spending were realized in November,

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2 Comments on Americans’ Income, Spending Fall Much Harder Than Expected As Slowdown Accelerates

Jobless Claims Fall, But Stick Well Above Pre-Pandemic Record As Deadlines Near

December 23, 2020December 23, 2020

803,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, down sharply from a revised 892,000. The

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Darker-er-est Days

December 22, 2020December 22, 2020

Joe Biden wants more stimulus and Walmart found itself in the crosshairs of the Justice

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5 Comments on Darker-er-est Days

Meanwhile, In Housing Bubble News…

December 22, 2020December 23, 2020

Is America’s newly minted housing bubble bursting?! I’m just kidding. The answer is “no.” Or,

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US Consumer Confidence Tumbles In December As ‘No Significant Momentum’ Seen

December 22, 2020December 23, 2020

Not surprisingly, consumer confidence in the US fell again in December, The Conference Board said

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1 Comment on US Consumer Confidence Tumbles In December As ‘No Significant Momentum’ Seen

Mutants And iCars

December 21, 2020December 21, 2020

US equities managed to pare losses Monday, rebounding from fairly steep declines catalyzed by renewed

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4 Comments on Mutants And iCars

‘Pain Point’: Nomura’s McElligott On Dollar Squeeze, Gamma Drop-Off

December 21, 2020December 21, 2020

The dollar jumped the most since March on Monday before eventually trimming gains. The initial

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‘Nightmare Before Christmas’ Grips UK As New Virus Strain Triggers Crisis

December 21, 2020December 21, 2020

Markets were staggered Monday as dour news out of the UK undercut risk sentiment and

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9 Comments on ‘Nightmare Before Christmas’ Grips UK As New Virus Strain Triggers Crisis

Downside Risks And Predictions About The Future

December 20, 2020December 21, 2020

By now, I doubt anyone needs to be reminded about “what could go wrong,” so

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5 Comments on Downside Risks And Predictions About The Future

‘Going Bananas’

December 20, 2020December 20, 2020

There’s a “speculative frenzy sweeping Wall Street and world markets,” an overwrought Bloomberg headline trumpets.

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4 Comments on ‘Going Bananas’

Relatively Speaking

December 19, 2020December 19, 2020

It’s getting pretty stretched out there in equity land, notwithstanding stocks’ “relative” value versus bonds

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4 Comments on Relatively Speaking

The Bank Of Japan At The End Of The Road

December 18, 2020December 18, 2020

I doubt this needed underscoring, but just in case: Years of the easiest monetary policy

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4 Comments on The Bank Of Japan At The End Of The Road

‘A Surge In Global Food Prices Could Trigger Social Unrest Everywhere,’ Albert Edwards Warns

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

Albert Edwards is worried about cereal. Specifically, whether you’ll be able to afford it going

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6 Comments on ‘A Surge In Global Food Prices Could Trigger Social Unrest Everywhere,’ Albert Edwards Warns

‘Whoa’: Minerd, Bloomberg Interrupted Fed Coverage To Detail $400,000 Bitcoin Thesis

December 17, 2020December 18, 2020

On Wednesday, Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd chatted with Bloomberg Television, as he’s wont to do, usually

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13 Comments on ‘Whoa’: Minerd, Bloomberg Interrupted Fed Coverage To Detail $400,000 Bitcoin Thesis

Impact Of Tesla Inclusion On S&P Valuation Greatly Exaggerated, Goldman Says

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

I think it’s fair to say that market participants are obsessed with Tesla index inclusion.

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6 Comments on Impact Of Tesla Inclusion On S&P Valuation Greatly Exaggerated, Goldman Says

Trouble In Philly

December 17, 2020

The latest read on jobless claims wasn’t the only piece of bad economic news in

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1 Comment on Trouble In Philly

Jobless Claims Surge Again As Sirens Blare In US Labor Market

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

In news that should surprise exactly nobody, initial jobless claims surged for a second week

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3 Comments on Jobless Claims Surge Again As Sirens Blare In US Labor Market

Same Narratives. Also, Bitcoin!

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

A largely unchanged narrative greeted traders and investors Thursday as lawmakers in Washington pressed ahead

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5 Comments on Same Narratives. Also, Bitcoin!

Fed Delivers A ‘Substantial’ Dose Of Almost Nothing At Year’s Final Meeting

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

Headed into the last FOMC meeting of the most tumultuous year in modern history, Fed

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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