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Category: Markets

JPMorgan On 2018 Melt-Up Parallel: ‘Any Near-Term Equity Correction Is Buying Opportunity’

December 7, 2020

More than a few analysts and investors have identified what they believe is a parallel

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5 Comments on JPMorgan On 2018 Melt-Up Parallel: ‘Any Near-Term Equity Correction Is Buying Opportunity’

Goldman Sees Big Disconnect In Market Pricing For Dividends

December 6, 2020December 6, 2020

Goldman thinks the market might be too pessimistic on the outlook for dividends. Obviously, the

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3 Comments on Goldman Sees Big Disconnect In Market Pricing For Dividends

Bond Bears In A Pandemic

December 6, 2020December 6, 2020

The new week will be dominated by talk of a “skinny” fiscal stimulus deal in

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3 Comments on Bond Bears In A Pandemic

Benchmarks & The 2018 Melt-Up Parallel

December 5, 2020December 5, 2020

“The bullishness is rampant,” David Rosenberg, who’s always good for a quote or two or

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9 Comments on Benchmarks & The 2018 Melt-Up Parallel

What Risk? None In Junk, Apparently

December 4, 2020December 4, 2020

Well, junk bond yields are at new record lows, which would be surprising if all

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3 Comments on What Risk? None In Junk, Apparently

Emerging Market Optimism Runs Rampant As Stocks, Inflows Surge

December 4, 2020

Optimism around the prospects for emerging markets is building. Developing nation assets have lots of

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1 Comment on Emerging Market Optimism Runs Rampant As Stocks, Inflows Surge

Labor Market Momentum Decelerates Sharply As November Jobs Report Misses

December 4, 2020December 4, 2020

The US economy added 245,000 jobs in November, far fewer than economists anticipated, underscoring concerns

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11 Comments on Labor Market Momentum Decelerates Sharply As November Jobs Report Misses

The Balance Of The News

December 4, 2020December 4, 2020

Global equities moved higher Friday, albeit gingerly as circumspect investors assessed the balance of the

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oil5 Comments on The Balance Of The News

Nomura’s McElligott: Barring Too Much ‘YOLO,’ It’ll Be Hard To Get A ‘Real’ Selloff In The Near-Term

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

Between rising yields, record coronavirus fatalities in the US, and the prospect of a double-dip

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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson Thinks ‘Little Bit Overvalued’ Stocks May Correct

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who’s generally bullish on equities headed into 2021, says stocks may

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US Services Sector Decelerates. Inflation Pressures Build

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

The US services sector expanded at a slower pace last month, ISM said Thursday. The

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1 Comment on US Services Sector Decelerates. Inflation Pressures Build

Jobless Claims Drop In Welcome Reprieve, As Stimulus Talks Ongoing

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

712,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, far fewer than expected, marking a welcome

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Drop In Welcome Reprieve, As Stimulus Talks Ongoing

Record High Stocks. Record Number Of Newly Deceased

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

Global equities were muted Thursday, loitering near records as market participants await the next catalyst,

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Harley Bassman Presents: ‘The Wages of Fear’

December 2, 2020December 3, 2020

In the same way that one “borrows beer” at a party, having the Treasury wash

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18 Comments on Harley Bassman Presents: ‘The Wages of Fear’

Just Ignore This Big ADP Miss, And Don’t Even Bother With The Internals, Ok?

December 2, 2020December 2, 2020

In what’s either a bad omen or nothing to be particularly concerned about given ADP’s

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Sell The Best News In Modern History?

December 2, 2020December 2, 2020

There was some market chatter on Wednesday around the notion that vaccine approval and distribution

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3 Comments on Sell The Best News In Modern History?

It’s Urgent

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

“It’s essential that we move with urgency — inaction will produce a self-reinforcing downturn causing

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7 Comments on It’s Urgent

Cookin’ With Grease And Pushin’ On A String: Nomura’s McElligott On 2021 Outlook

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

On Monday, while documenting what I generically described as “a month to remember” (usually I

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5 Comments on Cookin’ With Grease And Pushin’ On A String: Nomura’s McElligott On 2021 Outlook

‘Let’s Hope’: The OECD’s Latest Outlook And The Absurdity Of The Austrian ‘Reset’

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

Six months after declaring COVID-19 “a global health crisis without precedent in living memory” and

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11 Comments on ‘Let’s Hope’: The OECD’s Latest Outlook And The Absurdity Of The Austrian ‘Reset’

Manufacturing Employment Index Back Below 50 As ISM Decelerates From Peak

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

ISM manufacturing, the first of this week’s top-tier data out of the US, was a

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1 Comment on Manufacturing Employment Index Back Below 50 As ISM Decelerates From Peak

For All The Hyperinflation Talk, There Sure Is A Lot Of Deflation Going Around

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

At a time when too many market participants are seemingly terrified of hyperinflation (or at

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12 Comments on For All The Hyperinflation Talk, There Sure Is A Lot Of Deflation Going Around

Recoveries And Trust Issues

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

Global equities were buoyant to start the final month of 2020, rebounding from an uninspired

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A Month To Remember

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

November 2020 will go down in the history books for a variety of reasons. First,

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2 Comments on A Month To Remember

You Can Add Record-Low Investment Grade Corporate Bond Yields To November’s Milestones

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

November scarcely needed another market milestone, having offered up a veritable cornucopia already, but I’ll

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1 Comment on You Can Add Record-Low Investment Grade Corporate Bond Yields To November’s Milestones

The Biggest Worry For Everyday People Is No Obstacle For ‘Blissful’ Financial Markets

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

It’s probably not a stretch to suggest that outside of some unforeseen mutation in COVID-19

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1 Comment on The Biggest Worry For Everyday People Is No Obstacle For ‘Blissful’ Financial Markets

Wall Of ‘What, Me Worry?’

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

Global equities looked to take a step back Monday, in cautious trading on the last

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4 Comments on Wall Of ‘What, Me Worry?’

It’s All Relative: Stocks And Bonds In A Crazy World

November 29, 2020November 30, 2020

It’s all relative. That universally applicable old adage (you can always find a use for

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6 Comments on It’s All Relative: Stocks And Bonds In A Crazy World

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

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