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Category: Markets

Choose Your Own Adventure

April 1, 2021April 1, 2021

Global equities looked to kick off the second quarter with gains as market participants weighed

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1 Comment on Choose Your Own Adventure

A Quarter For Your Thoughts

March 31, 2021April 8, 2021

The first quarter of 2021 had no chance of one-upping the first three months of

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5 Comments on A Quarter For Your Thoughts

In Archegos Aftermath: Questions, Collateral And Bullet Dodgers

March 31, 2021April 1, 2021

Days on from the first position unwinds, there were still (far) more questions than answers

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5 Comments on In Archegos Aftermath: Questions, Collateral And Bullet Dodgers

$2.25 Trillion And ‘The Need To Really Deliver’

March 31, 2021April 7, 2021

Joe Biden wants to tax corporations at a higher rate in order to help offset

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6 Comments on $2.25 Trillion And ‘The Need To Really Deliver’

Just Print The Money

March 31, 2021April 1, 2021

“People may have different ideas about how to pay for it,” Jen Psaki said Tuesday,

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13 Comments on Just Print The Money

‘The Groundwork Is Being Laid,’ As Private Employers Add Half-Million Jobs

March 31, 2021March 31, 2021

Private sector employers added 517,000 positions in March (figure below), ADP said Wednesday, in what

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Archegos Had ‘All The Makings Of A Dangerous Situation’

March 30, 2021April 9, 2021

Over the last 72 hours, I’ve variously suggested that while the Archegos saga wasn’t likely

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3 Comments on Archegos Had ‘All The Makings Of A Dangerous Situation’

Surging Home Prices, Plunging Refis Make For Good Headlines

March 30, 2021March 31, 2021

Tuesday offered an amusing juxtaposition of housing headlines across various media outlets, all vying for

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4 Comments on Surging Home Prices, Plunging Refis Make For Good Headlines

Why The Archegos Blow-Up Failed To Trigger Instant Mayhem

March 30, 2021March 31, 2021

There was confusion (feigned and otherwise) to start the week around what I called the

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The US Consumer Suddenly Feels Much, Much Better

March 30, 2021March 30, 2021

Consumer confidence came in well ahead of expectations for March on the Conference Board’s gauge,

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1 Comment on The US Consumer Suddenly Feels Much, Much Better

Bonds Reclaim Limelight As Yields Hit Fresh Pandemic Highs

March 30, 2021March 31, 2021

The Treasury selloff showed signs of wanting to extend on Tuesday, as bonds looked poised

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‘Argh Chaos!’ And The Biggest Margin Call Of All Time

March 29, 2021April 5, 2021

“This is a challenging time for Archegos Capital Management, our partners and employees,” Karen Kessler,

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4 Comments on ‘Argh Chaos!’ And The Biggest Margin Call Of All Time

Sometimes, You Blow Up

March 29, 2021April 4, 2021

There’s more to worry about than the (latest) trials and tribulations of Tiger Cub Bill

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9 Comments on Sometimes, You Blow Up

Panic Goes Missing In Archegos Flameout. Fed, Alcoholics Blamed

March 29, 2021March 30, 2021

Monday was supposed to be the day when the purportedly systemic nature of Tiger Cub

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1 Comment on Panic Goes Missing In Archegos Flameout. Fed, Alcoholics Blamed

Tetris

March 29, 2021March 30, 2021

The prospect of “significant losses” tied to soured positions at the heart of a margin

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1 Comment on Tetris

Dragons, Tigers And Bears, Oh My

March 28, 2021March 29, 2021

US nonfarm payrolls may be this week’s marquee event, but it’s hardly the only thing

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May God Protect Our Bottom Lines

March 28, 2021March 29, 2021

Return on equity plunged 373bps in 2020, closing the year at 14.6%. That, Goldman’s David

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‘Tipping Point’: What To Know About Good Friday’s Jobs Report

March 28, 2021April 2, 2021

Another blockbuster jobs report is coming. Or so we’re told. Employers likely added 643,000 positions

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If Enough People Read This, Hyperinflation Is Coming Next Week

March 27, 2021March 28, 2021

Pernicious fictions You can feel the ground shifting. The pandemic forced the issue. Around this

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19 Comments on If Enough People Read This, Hyperinflation Is Coming Next Week

The ‘New Goldilocks’: Goldman’s Four Macro Scenarios

March 27, 2021April 2, 2021

If you ask BofA’s Michael Hartnett, the S&P is “more likely” to drop to 3,400

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Rocket Science And Sacrilege

March 26, 2021March 28, 2021

US equities stormed higher into the weekend, as another late afternoon surge propelled shares to

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2 Comments on Rocket Science And Sacrilege

BofA’s Hartnett Says Odds Favor Correction As Private Clients Exit Stocks

March 26, 2021March 28, 2021

“Cautious.” That’s how one popular strategist is feeling right now, as traders turn the page

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6 Comments on BofA’s Hartnett Says Odds Favor Correction As Private Clients Exit Stocks

Vol Control Plunge Protection, Gamma Gravity & April’s ‘Impulse Turn’

March 26, 2021April 1, 2021

If there’s “extra” equity supply out there due to any rebalancing away from stocks and

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2 Comments on Vol Control Plunge Protection, Gamma Gravity & April’s ‘Impulse Turn’

Consumers Feel Better. But Rich Worry They Won’t Get Richer

March 26, 2021March 27, 2021

US consumers are becoming more confident by the day, apparently, even as it will likely

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2 Comments on Consumers Feel Better. But Rich Worry They Won’t Get Richer

Between Two Stimulus Checks

March 26, 2021March 26, 2021

Not surprisingly, given the lackluster read on retail sales the market choked down earlier this

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‘Just Get In The Boats And Go’

March 26, 2021March 26, 2021

Equities looked to close out the week on a high note, as traders and investors

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Marko Kolanovic: Don’t Fear The ‘Broadly Advertised’ Rebalancing Story

March 25, 2021March 31, 2021

“There will be no monthly selling, and indeed there could be buying of equities into

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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