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Category: geopolitics

Turkey’s Erdogan Doesn’t Need No Stinkin’ IMF, ‘Hopes’ Saudis Didn’t Kill Missing Journalist

October 7, 2018October 19, 2021

“As president, I am pursuing.”

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Russia’s Notorious GRU Exposed In Choreographed Announcements From UK, Netherlands, Australia, U.S.

October 4, 2018October 5, 2018

“The GRU’s actions are reckless and indiscriminate.”

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Something For Everybody: Full Week Ahead Preview

September 23, 2018September 23, 2018

Whether you’re a geopolitics buff, a Beltway junkie or a market addict, the week ahead has you covered.

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Trump Officials Held Secret Maduro Coup Talks With Rogue Venezuelan Military Officers

September 8, 2018October 17, 2021

Secure radios could have changed the country’s history.

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The Wrong Side Of History.

June 23, 2018June 24, 2018

Of populism, propaganda, Salvini and the Trump TIME cover.

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11 Comments on The Wrong Side Of History.

Hold My Beer While I Poke This Hornet’s Nest.

May 8, 2018

Well, he did it.

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oil1 Comment on Hold My Beer While I Poke This Hornet’s Nest.

What Is The Probability Of ‘Something Bad’ Happening? Of Geopolitics And Policy Gamblers

May 6, 2018

Fault lines, 90th percentile risks and the probability of stepping on a land mine.

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Around The World In 1,200 Words: Full Week Ahead Preview

April 22, 2018April 22, 2018

As usual, lots on the docket.

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Pick A Fire, Any Fire!

April 15, 2018April 15, 2018

“Annette, Annette”…

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For Markets, Geopolitics Grabs Center Stage – Who’s Excited?!

April 13, 2018April 13, 2018

After all, the market’s muted response to geopolitical turmoil in 2016 and 2017 was in large part down to the central bank put, which is now in question. And it goes without saying that the low vol. regime seems to have come to an end over the past couple of months. 

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oil5 Comments on For Markets, Geopolitics Grabs Center Stage – Who’s Excited?!

‘Had He Acted Like Trump Markets Would Have Been Upset’: Xi Tries To Put Out Trump’s Dumpster Fire

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

“It’s a good thing Xi is bringing this tone to it because markets would be very upset if he played it like Trump.”

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6 Comments on ‘Had He Acted Like Trump Markets Would Have Been Upset’: Xi Tries To Put Out Trump’s Dumpster Fire

Bad Moon Rising.

April 9, 2018April 9, 2018

Can you feel the tension?

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oil4 Comments on Bad Moon Rising.

War And (No) Peace: Full Week Ahead Preview

April 8, 2018

Say your prayers.

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Of Rocket Men, Chinese Hegemony, And Populism Run Amok: 3 Visual Guides

December 27, 2017December 27, 2017

You wouldn’t know it from looking at any market-based measures of volatility, but 2017 was a hugely consequential year. I assume that goes without saying. 

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Risky Business.

December 11, 2017December 11, 2017

But the survey wasn’t all rainbows and sunshine.

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What Can Stop This Party?

November 23, 2017November 23, 2017

Obviously, nothing could go wrong here.

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Watch The Throne.

November 10, 2017November 10, 2017

What happens over the weekend no longer remains confined to the weekend.

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Can You Feel The Tension?

November 7, 2017

Nobody strike a match.

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Geopolitics & Wild Cards: Full Week Ahead Preview

November 5, 2017

Geopolitics is back in the spotlight to start the week.

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These Are The ‘Critical Geopolitical Threats To The Equity Bull Market’

October 17, 2017October 17, 2017

Yes, “a central feature” of the prevailing order (or maybe “disorder” is better) is chaotic uncertainty – and a “central feature” of markets is suppressed vol.

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One Trader Thinks Everyone Has Found Religion – Here’s Why

October 16, 2017October 16, 2017

“This is really just one manifestation of the more earthly, you can’t fight city hall. A twist in a post-vigilante world, which can’t bear not to believe that the authorities will deliver what our financial market investing thesis requires, while at the same time being utterly incompetent.”

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You Ignore Geopolitical Firestorms At Your Own Peril: Chief Economist

October 16, 2017October 16, 2017

This kind of complacency is in the face of multiple flashpoints and powder kegs is “unwelcome.”

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Bears Crying Wolf And China As Machiavelli (Revisited)

October 10, 2017October 10, 2017

“When asked their worst trades this year, they mostly cited buying volatility, credit protection, or equity puts.”

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The Great Disconnect: 5 Reasons Why Volatility Is Detached From ‘Chaotic Uncertainty’

October 8, 2017October 8, 2017

After all, “shouldn’t greater uncertainty about key economic policy issues lead to a larger dispersion of likely potential outcomes for companies?”

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The Austin Powers World.

October 8, 2017October 8, 2017

“There’s real danger but at the same time, the central figures are so laughable that it’s difficult to accept it as reality”…

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2 Comments on The Austin Powers World.

‘Maybe Volatility Is The Answer.’

October 2, 2017

“All this combines to suggest a volatile fourth quarter. Year-end themes remain elusive.”

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‘A Fly In The Ointment’ But Nothing To Worry About, Apparently…

October 1, 2017October 1, 2017

“We would characterize existing political risks as of the run-of-the-mill variety that investors always face and a far cry from the high-stakes political events of the past several quarters (events that markets navigated with aplomb.”

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