CPI unchanged vs est. 0.1%, according to the BLS.
Ex. food, energy up 0.1% vs est. 0.2%
So yeah, another day, another largely fruitless effort to figure out what exactly the message
“But they seem to cling to the notion that they must do so without any knock-on effects to the broader category of assets. They do so love the calming sounds from the trickle-down effect.”
Well, the message from Yellen was heard loud and clear and amusingly, so was the
“I see roughly equal odds that the U.S. economy’s performance will be somewhat stronger or somewhat less strong than we currently project.”
Well, the overnight session was described as “listless” by at least one Asia-based trader as
Well, I’d say “it’s quiet out there,” but that’s cliché. So how about this: “ain’t
Right, so first thing Thursday morning we noted that 10Y JGB yields had risen to
Well, the won is at four-month low against the dollar on Thursday because, well, because
“The last thing I want to be doing the day after July 4th is making any kind of assault on free speech. But I’m going to propose a ban on certain words that no longer pass the plain-speaking test.”
We just hit technical levels that were a bridge too far at this stage. That’s
There’s never a dull moment in a world that’s lost its mind. North Korea celebrated
If you’re out there looking for contrarian indicators, it’s probably worth noting that investors flipped
“One of the things we hear discussed a lot is that an inverted yield curve tends to be a good predictor of recessions, but that’s because it comes at the same time as peak Fed Funds, and ‘peak tight money’ is a good predictor of recessions for more obvious reasons.”
Ok, so Shinzo Abe’s LDP suffered a stunning loss in Tokyo assembly elections over the weekend,
If you were following along last week, then you already know what to look for
“It’s been a week filled with hyperbole. Trial balloons dressed up as pre-commitments. A little volatility described in cataclysmic terms and compared to jarring historical market upsets.”
It’s Friday and God said, “let there be data: and there was data.” Let’s start
“All the king’s soldiers”…
It will take more than anonymous ECB sources to cool the desire to bet on
“It was no small feat. And the fact that it was very much a global phenomenon makes it all the more significant. Investors should have been jolted into the realization that we just might be about to enjoy the healthy benefits of a two-way market.”
Well, the overnight action was predictable under the circumstances, but it’s nevertheless unnerving for anyone
Boy, I’ll tell you what, if you’re a central banker and you’re going to say
“In fact it’s odd how fatalistic people seem to be. We used to furiously debate where and when we’d find the canary in the coal mine warning of an imminent market reversal to pounce on. Now, there seems to be blanket resignation that the trend is your master.”
Well, gold plunged $18 in seconds on surging volume (18k contracts in a one-minute window)
“The dictionary speaks of facts and specifics. But in reality it includes, biases, positions and a whole lot of other subjective factors. You and I can, quite properly, look at the same data and react differently.”
It’s Russell reshuffle day, which means equities will likely be jarred out of any summer
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