“I’d settle for here’s what were going to do because it’s the right thing to do. And we’ll deal with what comes if necessary, that’s how we roll.”
Category: 10Y
Yields, Dollar Fall As Yellen Seen Timid
“I see roughly equal odds that the U.S. economy’s performance will be somewhat stronger or somewhat less strong than we currently project.”
‘Beware Global Tapering’: Behold The ‘Safe Bond Supply Shock’
What effect will Fed balance sheet normalization have on Treasury yields? That’s quickly becoming something
One Trader Won’t Tell About The Aliens In His Basement, But He’ll Talk About Price Sensitivity
“Rather, as we ponder the notion of a global regime change in monetary policy, and rates more broadly, it’s a big mistake not to consider that at some point issuers will be fighting to tap into a far more selectively inclined investor base.”
‘They Immediately Bought Dollars’: Traders Get Confused, Drive Yen To March Lows
Well, the overnight session was described as “listless” by at least one Asia-based trader as
Goldman Is Going To Explain What’s Next For Bonds And You’re Going To Listen
Remember what I wrote last night in “Why We’re Vulnerable: CTAs’ ‘Oversized Loss’ Betrays Extreme
One Trader Is Already ‘Outraged’ And It’s Only Monday
“I’m also outraged.”
Large Block Trade Triggers Bund Rally
Since everyone is laser focused on DM yields and, more specifically, on German bunds and whether we’ll get a repeat of the 2015 bund “tantrum”…
Global Stocks Are Happy. Gold Is Sad. China! I Found Some Inflation In Norway.
Well, I’d say “it’s quiet out there,” but that’s cliché. So how about this: “ain’t
O, Canada! China?! Yellen Yellin’: Full Week Ahead Preview
Ok, well this should be an interesting week. We’ll get the BoC, which will make
Why We’re Vulnerable: CTAs’ ‘Oversized Loss’ Betrays Extreme Positioning
“Recent oversized loss in response to a relatively minor sell off suggests a substantial overweight: A 20bp rise in rates has produced comparable losses as a 50bp sell off across the presidential elections in November.”
‘Rout,’ ‘Tantrum,’ ‘Debacle,’: One Trader Says ‘This Is All A Bunch Of Tripe’
“And we have newspaper people on the payroll, don’t we, Tom?â€
Hedge Funds Now Most Net Short 2Y Since 2007
Yeah so, this is worth noting as you ride off into the weekend sunset..
Treasury Yields Dive (And Then Bounce) After AHE Miss
Aaaand knee-jerk, then reverse plz. Ok thnx. Bye.
Yen, Pound Nosedive, BoJ Reminds You Who’s In Charge Here
Right, so first thing Thursday morning we noted that 10Y JGB yields had risen to
Trader: ‘Stocks Might Even Go Down. Stranger Things Have Happened’
“So the question you need to be asking isn’t whether something is mispriced, but what are the catalysts that will convince the market that it’s time to recognize it as so.”
‘Chain Reaction’ Strikes: Stocks Dive As Sudden Bund Selloff Triggers Bond Bloodbath
“The magnitude of the sell-off is excessive”…
Geopolitics! Won At 4-Month Low, Lira Sinks, Trump Says ‘Very Severe’ Shit Is Goin’ Down
Well, the won is at four-month low against the dollar on Thursday because, well, because
One Trader Bans ‘Certain Words’ Until You Can ‘Pass His Plain-Speaking Test’
“The last thing I want to be doing the day after July 4th is making any kind of assault on free speech. But I’m going to propose a ban on certain words that no longer pass the plain-speaking test.”
Crude Crashes Abruptly, North Korea Vows More ‘Good-Looking Boys’ For ‘American Bastards’
We just hit technical levels that were a bridge too far at this stage. That’s
Fireworks: North Korea Launches “Anywhere” ICBM, Trump Ponders “Heavy Move,” Central Banks Ahoy!
There’s never a dull moment in a world that’s lost its mind. North Korea celebrated
With Investors Now Short, Is Dollar Sentiment Too Bearish?
If you’re out there looking for contrarian indicators, it’s probably worth noting that investors flipped
Mind The ‘Transatlantic Convergence’ Theme
“One of the things we hear discussed a lot is that an inverted yield curve tends to be a good predictor of recessions, but that’s because it comes at the same time as peak Fed Funds, and ‘peak tight money’ is a good predictor of recessions for more obvious reasons.”
“A Major, Serious” Situation In Japan, PMIs Galore, And A Deadline For Qatar
Ok, so Shinzo Abe’s LDP suffered a stunning loss in Tokyo assembly elections over the weekend,
Jobs Report, Chilled Urine, And Kashkari’s Rib Roast: Full Week Ahead Preview
If you were following along last week, then you already know what to look for
“Where It All Goes Wrong”
” Ultimately it all depends on inflation and growth but whether or not these are structurally driven or endogenous to the Fed’s and other central banks policy rhetoric remains to be seen. We remain skeptical!”
“Every Time The Market Has Moved Up To This Trendline” There’s Trouble
“Our fair value model indicates these pressures will push the US10yr up to 3.00%. The latter level is also the major support line coming all the way from the late 1980s.”
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