All of your hands should be raised…
Author: therealheisenberg
A “Tantrum” By Any Other Name…
“The main difference between where we are today and where we were in previous tantrum episodes is positioning”…
1967: Turning Point Or Just One Moment In A Cycle That “Always Ends With Military Men In Power”?
“So was 1967 a turning point, or was it just one of several key moments in a long cycle – a cycle that always ends with military men in power?”
One Trader Doesn’t Like Your “Hyperbole,” But He’ll Let It Slide As Long As You Don’t Mistake A Passing Pigeon For “Paree”
“It’s been a week filled with hyperbole. Trial balloons dressed up as pre-commitments. A little volatility described in cataclysmic terms and compared to jarring historical market upsets.”
Mika Brzezinski, Joe Scarborough: “Donald Trump Is Not Well”
” This year, top White House staff members warned that the National Enquirer was planning to publish a negative article about us unless we begged the president to have the story spiked. We ignored their desperate pleas.”
“Quick! Staring Contest, Me And You”: Who Blinks First, OPEC Or US Energy?
“You win, you always do”…
And God Said “Let There Be Data: And There Was Data.”
It’s Friday and God said, “let there be data: and there was data.” Let’s start
Key Calls (Friday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
You need an upgrade.
Is Risk Parity Deleveraging The Biggest Risk To Markets?
“However, relative to CTAs there is much less transparency on the total size of assets in risk parity and equity vol control strategies let alone the subset of which is completely rules-based.”
Marcus: “Authoritarianism Does Not Announce Itself. It Creeps Up On You”
“But other shifts, equally audacious and equally troubling, take a more subtle form. They unfold slowly until, perhaps too late, the change becomes blindingly apparent.”
Will This Be The Longest Expansion In US History? Spoiler Alert: Pray For Tax Cuts
“Beneath this optimism, however, we are struggling with narrowing profit margins and a flattening yield curve. These factors typically occur at the later stages of a business cycle.”
“Death By A Thousand Cuts”: 8 Ways Trump Could Wiggle Out Of Special Counsel Investigation
“Members of Congress should not sit back and hope that Mueller’s investigation will proceed free from interference, especially given statements by the president and his supporters indicating an interest in derailing Mueller.”
A Better Way To Short The Bond Market
“This morning I have decided to write about US swap spreads. I know, you are already reaching for the delete key, but wait”…
OPEC’s Next Move Should Be “Shock And Awe”: Goldman
OPEC can influence the outcome with a “shock and awe†cut and a bearish guidance…
Nedbank: “The Risk-On Phase Is Very Close To Being Over”
“The Fed might be the trigger for tighter financial conditions, but not the cause (as we believe the risk-on phase is very close to being over).”
“What The Hell Happened?!” Goldman Slashes Oil Target Amid Market “Madness”
“How did it go so wrong?”…
“This Isn’t Hyperbole: The GOP Is Turning Into The Party Of Putin
“This isn’t hyperbole; in fact, it’s hard to overstate just how serious this issue is. Yet President Trump continues to sow doubt about whether Moscow even interfered in the 2016 presidential elections and to suggest the question’s insignificance by ignoring it all together.”
Trump Says ‘Crazy’, ‘Low IQ’, ‘Psychos’ Who ‘Bleed Badly From The Face’ Not Welcome At Mar-a-Lago
Wake up, America, it’s time for your “covfefe“! And President Crazy-Orange-Juice-Man is servin’ that shit
Trader: “Black Swan Events Happen A Lot More Often Than They’re Supposed To”
“The Fed has enjoyed free-ridership of doing so while everyone else is still printing away. This has meant that financial market conditions have taken it wholly in stride. To assert that this will be the case when everyone else join is making a big assumption about the efficacy of the cure.”
Yo, They’re Selling The Shit Out Of Some Government Bonds
Yeah, so the cacophony of hawkish commentary from central bankers has triggered a global selloff
A Nightmare On Wall Street – Updating The Feedback Doom Loop
Remember “Investigating The Market’s ‘Nightmare Scenario’”? Of course you don’t. That post is from May
Humpty Dumpty And The Euro…
“All the king’s soldiers”…
Euro, Euro, Euro
It will take more than anonymous ECB sources to cool the desire to bet on
Key Calls (Thursday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
You need an upgrade.
The Only Government System That Actually Works Is The One With No Populism In Its Design
” At a time of rock-bottom confidence in public institutions, it is notable that the intelligence oversight system, a system with hardly a trace of populism in its design, actually works effectively at its core purpose: assuring the public that the intelligence community is doing its job within the law.”
Bank Of Japan Breaks Bond Market As Holdings Rise To Hilarious 387,000,000,000,000 Yen
“Most central banks are playing at 10, all the way up, all the way up, you’re on ten, where can you go from there?”Â
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