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Author: therealheisenberg

Peak Apple? And FAAMG As World’s 3rd Largest Country

January 8, 2022January 9, 2022

“I never thought I’d see a $3 trillion market cap,” one incredulous PM said this

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4 Comments on Peak Apple? And FAAMG As World’s 3rd Largest Country

Rate Shock Shakes Wall Street Money Tree

January 8, 2022January 13, 2022

The 2022 rates shock is here. Already. Maybe it’ll be gone before most market participants

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1 Comment on Rate Shock Shakes Wall Street Money Tree

The Bears Have It (And A Word On Crypto’s ‘Crash’)

January 7, 2022January 9, 2022

For months, BofA’s Michael Hartnett warned that the first half of 2022 would likely be

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17 Comments on The Bears Have It (And A Word On Crypto’s ‘Crash’)

Keeping Up With The Waltons

January 7, 2022January 8, 2022

More pressure on the Fed to hike rates. That was the consensus takeaway from the

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2 Comments on Keeping Up With The Waltons

Wild Jobs Miss Comes With Super-Hot Wages, 3.9% Unemployment

January 7, 2022January 11, 2022

The US economy added just 199,000 jobs last month, the government’s hotly anticipated December payrolls

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4 Comments on Wild Jobs Miss Comes With Super-Hot Wages, 3.94 Unemployment

2022’s ‘Most Underappreciated Risk’ As Euro-Area Inflation Hits Record

January 7, 2022January 8, 2022

Inflation in Europe was supposed to slow in December. It didn’t. Prices rose a record

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Leave a Comment on 2022’s ‘Most Underappreciated Risk’ As Euro-Area Inflation Hits Record

How Delightful Was 2021? Ask Bentley

January 6, 2022January 8, 2022

The world’s richest 10 people saw their collective net worth rise by almost $400 billion

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3 Comments on How Delightful Was 2021? Ask Bentley

Where To Now For America’s Housing Bubble?

January 6, 2022January 8, 2022

Home prices are through the roof, mortgage rates are rising alongside US yields and the

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2 Comments on Where To Now For America’s Housing Bubble?

The Hidden Risk From QT 2022

January 6, 2022January 7, 2022

The extension of 2022’s burgeoning rates selloff in the wake of the December Fed minutes

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7 Comments on The Hidden Risk From QT 2022

Familiar Tales From A Warped Economy

January 6, 2022January 8, 2022

US jobless claims edged up last week and a gauge of services sector activity suggested

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2 Comments on Familiar Tales From A Warped Economy

‘End Of An Era’: Sea Change Seen In Abruptly Hawkish Fed

January 6, 2022January 14, 2022

Risk sentiment took a hit Thursday, as global equities responded to a Fed which, by

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9 Comments on ‘End Of An Era’: Sea Change Seen In Abruptly Hawkish Fed

Verbose And Ill-Organized

January 5, 2022January 11, 2022

A picture of a despondent looking floor trader was situated next to a file photo

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2 Comments on Verbose And Ill-Organized

Ray Dalio And The Folly Of Claiming Too Much For Oneself

January 5, 2022January 6, 2022

“At the risk of boring you by repeating myself,” Ray Dalio began, in the first

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5 Comments on Ray Dalio And The Folly Of Claiming Too Much For Oneself

Where We Are, And What (May) Be Coming Next

January 5, 2022January 6, 2022

There’s quite a bit of nuance to the US rates story. As I’ve attempted (with

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Leave a Comment on Where We Are, And What (May) Be Coming Next

Head Fake? Monster ADP Beat Raises Bar For December Jobs Report

January 5, 2022January 8, 2022

Private sector employers in the US added twice as many jobs as expected in December,

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Another Chinese Tech Wipeout Underscores Hidden Risk

January 5, 2022January 5, 2022

Hong Kong’s inauspicious start to the new year continued Wednesday, as tech shares were bludgeoned

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1 Comment on Another Chinese Tech Wipeout Underscores Hidden Risk

Goldman On How Bitcoin Gets To $100,000

January 4, 2022January 14, 2022

Bitcoin came into 2022 nursing what, for any regular asset, would count as a grievous

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1 Comment on Goldman On How Bitcoin Gets To $100,000

Explaining 2022’s Burgeoning Bond Bear

January 4, 2022January 5, 2022

By Tuesday afternoon in the US, “Treasury selloff” had replaced “stock rally” in headlines documenting

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4 Comments on Explaining 2022’s Burgeoning Bond Bear

A Record 4.5 Million Americans Quit A Job In November

January 4, 2022January 14, 2022

4.5 million Americans quit their jobs in November, 370,000 more than the previous month and

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2 Comments on A Record 4.5 Million Americans Quit A Job In November

‘Something That Resembles Normal’

January 4, 2022January 4, 2022

Perhaps there’s a light at the end of the tunnel after all. Two key gauges

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2 Comments on ‘Something That Resembles Normal’

‘Confident, Hungry Bulls’ And One Very Rich Man

January 4, 2022January 4, 2022

“Stay bullish,” that was the message from JPMorgan’s Mislav Matejka on Tuesday. “Positive catalysts are

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Leave a Comment on ‘Confident, Hungry Bulls’ And One Very Rich Man

1 Million. But Who’s Counting?

January 4, 2022January 10, 2022

Headed into 2022, the US was averaging 300,000 new COVID cases per day, more than

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3 Comments on 1 Million. But Who’s Counting?

Message To Active Managers: ‘Alpha Potential Always Exists’

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Late last month, while revisiting the idea that US equities are a “perpetual motion machine”

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3 Comments on Message To Active Managers: ‘Alpha Potential Always Exists’

Stocks May Enter ‘Prototypical Feedback Loop’

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Systematic strats and the vol-control universe are “in motion” as 2022 gets underway, Nomura’s Charlie

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Why Smaller Gains May Hold The Key For Stocks In January

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Early Monday, in “Stocks May Enter ‘Prototypical Feedback Loop,’” I outlined familiar dynamics that could

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Leave a Comment on Why Smaller Gains May Hold The Key For Stocks In January

‘Mad Cult’ Of Erdogan Begets Impossible Inflation Surge In Turkey

January 3, 2022January 9, 2022

“We’re cutting interest rates. And we will all see how inflation will start falling within

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1 Comment on ‘Mad Cult’ Of Erdogan Begets Impossible Inflation Surge In Turkey

Tesla Looks To Electrify S&P As Engine Starts On 2022

January 3, 2022January 3, 2022

Notwithstanding a somewhat unfortunate smattering of headlines out of Hong Kong, risk sentiment was buoyant

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2 Comments on Tesla Looks To Electrify S&P As Engine Starts On 2022

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