“How much is priced in?” Whenever something bad happens (or looks like it might happen
Author: therealheisenberg
Putin Recognizes Separatist Republics
In an inauspicious development, Vladimir Putin on Monday recognized separatists in Ukraine. “I consider it
Is Xi Prepping A New Crackdown On Chinese Mega-Tech?
The regulatory headwinds are picking up again in China. Not that they ever dissipated. In
Concrete Principles
The Kremlin on Monday said there are “no concrete plans” for a summit between Vladimir
Frayed Nerves, Lit Fuse
Barring some manner of good news on the geopolitical front, it’ll be another challenging week
‘Since 1945’
Update: Late Sunday (or early Monday, depending on where you reside), AFP reported that Emmanuel
Go With The Flows
Stocks should be fine. Sort of. That’s a (deliberately) colloquial way of summarizing Goldman’s take
This Is Not A Drill
This is not a drill. That’s the message emanating from economists, policymakers and analysts who,
Something Wicked This Way Comes: Redux
Back on January 14, in “Something Wicked This Way Comes,” I wrote that “it’s becoming
We Built The World Wrong
Two days after publication, Zoltan Pozsar’s latest “dispatch” was still circulating and otherwise prompting discussion
Flows Just Turned ‘Recessionary’
“Recessionary.” That’s the word BofA’s Michael Hartnett used to describe a somewhat inauspicious juxtaposition in
Retail Investors Are Still Buying, Goldman Says
Contrary to the notion that retail investors may have lost some of their joie de
State It Clearly
Risk appetite remained subdued at the end of another tenuous week. Russian-backed separatists and the
Zoltan Pozsar Has An Idea…
“We need a Volcker moment,” Zoltan Pozsar declared, in a positively rollicking note published February
Disappearing Playgrounds
The playground is shrinking. In fact, it just disappeared. Over the past several weeks, market
McElligott On Market’s ‘Reservoir Dogs Standoff’
The standoff in eastern Europe is a “buzzkill” for what may have otherwise been a
Different Day, Same Story
A hodgepodge of second-tier US economic data released Thursday offered nothing definitive. Initial jobless claims
Danger: Tape Bombs
First, Russian-backed separatists claimed Ukrainian forces fired mortars, heavy machine guns and grenade launchers. Then,
Indecision Time
To be sure, the January Fed minutes were stale. Quite a bit transpired since last
East-West Divide
It’s hard to know what’s worth highlighting these days when it comes to inflation in
‘I’m Not Dead Yet,’ Shouted The US Consumer
“I’m not dead yet!”, shouted the US consumer. Retail sales rose more than expected in
‘Too Complex To Follow’
Traders were “treated” to more conflicting Ukraine headlines on Wednesday, as global equities attempted to
Spin Class
Risk was on the front foot Tuesday, as speculation about the timing of Russian military
Where’s The Powell Put? $1.1 Trillion Answers
We all know the vaunted “Fed put” is struck far lower than it was before
Bear Sightings On The Rise In Key Survey
“We remain bearish,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett said, in the second bullet point atop the February
Huge PPI Overshoot Suggests Inflation Isn’t Moderating
US producer prices rose far more than expected in January, closely-watched data out Tuesday showed.

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