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Author: therealheisenberg

Russia-Ukraine: How Much Risk Is Priced In?

February 22, 2022February 23, 2022

“How much is priced in?” Whenever something bad happens (or looks like it might happen

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6 Comments on Russia-Ukraine: How Much Risk Is Priced In?

‘Madness’

February 22, 2022February 22, 2022

Vladimir Putin will find he’s “gravely miscalculated,” Boris Johnson said Tuesday, as the world pondered

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12 Comments on ‘Madness’

Putin Recognizes Separatist Republics

February 21, 2022February 27, 2022

In an inauspicious development, Vladimir Putin on Monday recognized separatists in Ukraine. “I consider it

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14 Comments on Putin Recognizes Separatist Republics

Is Xi Prepping A New Crackdown On Chinese Mega-Tech?

February 21, 2022February 22, 2022

The regulatory headwinds are picking up again in China. Not that they ever dissipated. In

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2 Comments on Is Xi Prepping A New Crackdown On Chinese Mega-Tech?

Concrete Principles

February 21, 2022February 22, 2022

The Kremlin on Monday said there are “no concrete plans” for a summit between Vladimir

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2 Comments on Concrete Principles

Frayed Nerves, Lit Fuse

February 20, 2022February 25, 2022

Barring some manner of good news on the geopolitical front, it’ll be another challenging week

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3 Comments on Frayed Nerves, Lit Fuse

‘Since 1945’

February 20, 2022February 21, 2022

Update: Late Sunday (or early Monday, depending on where you reside), AFP reported that Emmanuel

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22 Comments on ‘Since 1945’

Go With The Flows

February 19, 2022February 21, 2022

Stocks should be fine. Sort of. That’s a (deliberately) colloquial way of summarizing Goldman’s take

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3 Comments on Go With The Flows

This Is Not A Drill

February 19, 2022February 26, 2022

This is not a drill. That’s the message emanating from economists, policymakers and analysts who,

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6 Comments on This Is Not A Drill

Something Wicked This Way Comes: Redux

February 18, 2022February 20, 2022

Back on January 14, in “Something Wicked This Way Comes,” I wrote that “it’s becoming

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11 Comments on Something Wicked This Way Comes: Redux

We Built The World Wrong

February 18, 2022February 20, 2022

Two days after publication, Zoltan Pozsar’s latest “dispatch” was still circulating and otherwise prompting discussion

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10 Comments on We Built The World Wrong

Flows Just Turned ‘Recessionary’

February 18, 2022February 19, 2022

“Recessionary.” That’s the word BofA’s Michael Hartnett used to describe a somewhat inauspicious juxtaposition in

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Leave a Comment on Flows Just Turned ‘Recessionary’

Retail Investors Are Still Buying, Goldman Says

February 18, 2022February 18, 2022

Contrary to the notion that retail investors may have lost some of their joie de

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Leave a Comment on Retail Investors Are Still Buying, Goldman Says

State It Clearly

February 18, 2022February 22, 2022

Risk appetite remained subdued at the end of another tenuous week. Russian-backed separatists and the

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14 Comments on State It Clearly

Zoltan Pozsar Has An Idea…

February 17, 2022March 4, 2022

“We need a Volcker moment,” Zoltan Pozsar declared, in a positively rollicking note published February

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17 Comments on Zoltan Pozsar Has An Idea…

Disappearing Playgrounds

February 17, 2022February 18, 2022

The playground is shrinking. In fact, it just disappeared. Over the past several weeks, market

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4 Comments on Disappearing Playgrounds

McElligott On Market’s ‘Reservoir Dogs Standoff’

February 17, 2022February 22, 2022

The standoff in eastern Europe is a “buzzkill” for what may have otherwise been a

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Different Day, Same Story

February 17, 2022February 22, 2022

A hodgepodge of second-tier US economic data released Thursday offered nothing definitive. Initial jobless claims

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Leave a Comment on Different Day, Same Story

Danger: Tape Bombs

February 17, 2022February 20, 2022

First, Russian-backed separatists claimed Ukrainian forces fired mortars, heavy machine guns and grenade launchers. Then,

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4 Comments on Danger: Tape Bombs

Indecision Time

February 16, 2022February 17, 2022

To be sure, the January Fed minutes were stale. Quite a bit transpired since last

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1 Comment on Indecision Time

East-West Divide

February 16, 2022February 22, 2022

It’s hard to know what’s worth highlighting these days when it comes to inflation in

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1 Comment on East-West Divide

‘I’m Not Dead Yet,’ Shouted The US Consumer

February 16, 2022February 22, 2022

“I’m not dead yet!”, shouted the US consumer. Retail sales rose more than expected in

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1 Comment on ‘I’m Not Dead Yet,’ Shouted The US Consumer

‘Too Complex To Follow’

February 16, 2022February 17, 2022

Traders were “treated” to more conflicting Ukraine headlines on Wednesday, as global equities attempted to

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4 Comments on ‘Too Complex To Follow’

Spin Class

February 15, 2022February 16, 2022

Risk was on the front foot Tuesday, as speculation about the timing of Russian military

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10 Comments on Spin Class

Where’s The Powell Put? $1.1 Trillion Answers

February 15, 2022February 27, 2022

We all know the vaunted “Fed put” is struck far lower than it was before

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4 Comments on Where’s The Powell Put? $1.1 Trillion Answers

Bear Sightings On The Rise In Key Survey

February 15, 2022February 16, 2022

“We remain bearish,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett said, in the second bullet point atop the February

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1 Comment on Bear Sightings On The Rise In Key Survey

Huge PPI Overshoot Suggests Inflation Isn’t Moderating

February 15, 2022February 21, 2022

US producer prices rose far more than expected in January, closely-watched data out Tuesday showed.

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9 Comments on Huge PPI Overshoot Suggests Inflation Isn’t Moderating

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