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Author: therealheisenberg

Bank Of America ‘Chugs Along,’ Closing Book On Wall Street Earnings

April 18, 2022April 18, 2022

Bank of America turned in a decent set of quarterly results Monday, and said it

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Lost Lives, Lost Money. In That Order

April 18, 2022April 19, 2022

Markets felt tentative and vacant Monday, as traders eyed a sparse docket in the US,

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2 Comments on Lost Lives, Lost Money. In That Order

Chinese Retail Sales Slump May Overshadow GDP Beat

April 17, 2022April 21, 2022

China’s economy held up in the first quarter, according to official growth figures released Monday,

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US Small Businesses Face Big Problems

April 17, 2022April 18, 2022

Last week, markets were treated to the worst read on NFIB small business optimism since

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2 Comments on US Small Businesses Face Big Problems

US Rates In Search Of Consensus As Fed Leans In

April 17, 2022April 21, 2022

“There’s no consensus on the inflation outlook, or prospect of one in sight,” Bloomberg’s Liz

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1 Comment on US Rates In Search Of Consensus As Fed Leans In

Twin Bubbles And Something That’s Never Happened Before

April 16, 2022April 17, 2022

So far, 2022 hasn’t been the best year for humanity. Ukraine isn’t the world’s only

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2 Comments on Twin Bubbles And Something That’s Never Happened Before

Why Zoltan Pozsar’s ‘Bretton Woods III’ Won’t Work

April 16, 2022April 27, 2022

A fairy tale. That’s what I called Zoltan Pozsar’s Bretton Woods III framework earlier this

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8 Comments on Why Zoltan Pozsar’s ‘Bretton Woods III’ Won’t Work

Fed Researchers Channel Pozsar, Warn On Margin Calls, EU Utilities

April 15, 2022April 17, 2022

“Pozsar proceeded to speculate on a tsunami of margin calls for market participants long physical

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1 Comment on Fed Researchers Channel Pozsar, Warn On Margin Calls, EU Utilities

Strategist Who Nailed S&P Last Cycle Talks ‘Altogether New Regime’

April 15, 2022April 17, 2022

“Our view has (always) been that crossing an imaginary red line can’t be a sufficient

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4 Comments on Strategist Who Nailed S&P Last Cycle Talks ‘Altogether New Regime’

No Bazooka: China Underwhelms With Timid RRR Cut

April 15, 2022April 16, 2022

China cut the reserve requirement ratio for all banks by 25bps on Friday, in a

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Is A US Recession ‘More Fear Than Fact’?

April 14, 2022April 15, 2022

Not everyone agrees a US recession is “inevitable,” as Bill Dudley put it a few

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2 Comments on Is A US Recession ‘More Fear Than Fact’?

The Gods Musk Be Crazy

April 14, 2022April 30, 2022

Analysts, reporters, investors and netizens in general spent most of Thursday asking (and answering) questions

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8 Comments on The Gods Musk Be Crazy

Traders Rescue Goldman, Morgan As IB Suffers Equity ‘Standstill’

April 14, 2022April 15, 2022

Morgan Stanley fell short in investment banking during the first three months of the new

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Lagarde, Working From Home, Says It’s Dicey Out There

April 14, 2022April 15, 2022

When it comes to the process of normalizing monetary policy, the ECB is “really very

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1 Comment on Lagarde, Working From Home, Says It’s Dicey Out There

Retail Sales Loiter As Nervous Americans Eye Prices

April 14, 2022April 14, 2022

Markets escaped the last of this week’s top-tier US data mostly unscathed. Retail sales in

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‘You Had One Job’

April 14, 2022April 14, 2022

The absence of a governor didn’t stop South Korea from hiking rates on Thursday, when

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12 Comments on ‘You Had One Job’

Germany Is Asking Itself The Wrong Questions

April 13, 2022April 23, 2022

We’re probably asking the wrong questions about the German economy. Since the onset of hostilities

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3 Comments on Germany Is Asking Itself The Wrong Questions

‘This Is Concerning’: PPI Scorcher Torches CPI Relief Narrative

April 13, 2022April 30, 2022

A day on from another generationally high read on US consumer prices, data suggested pipeline

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4 Comments on ‘This Is Concerning’: PPI Scorcher Torches CPI Relief Narrative

UK’s ‘Cost Of Living Crisis’ Spirals

April 13, 2022April 30, 2022

Wholly predictable outcomes are scarcely worth mentioning. But when it comes to pervasive inflation in

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JPMorgan Takes Half-Billion Russia Loss, Mortgage Volumes Plunge

April 13, 2022April 15, 2022

JPMorgan delivered mixed first quarter results on Wednesday, as earnings season kicked off in the

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7 Comments on JPMorgan Takes Half-Billion Russia Loss, Mortgage Volumes Plunge

‘Path Of Least Regret’: New Zealand, Canada Send A Message

April 13, 2022April 19, 2022

New Zealand took “the path of least regret” on Wednesday, when RBNZ opted for a

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‘If Not By Accident, By Design’: Why One Bank Sees US Recession

April 12, 2022April 13, 2022

The Fed is on the brink of a policy error. You’ve probably heard that at

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4 Comments on ‘If Not By Accident, By Design’: Why One Bank Sees US Recession

For Main Street, March’s US Inflation Report Is Disastrous

April 12, 2022April 21, 2022

Depending on your perspective, March’s report on consumer prices in the US was no worse

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12 Comments on For Main Street, March’s US Inflation Report Is Disastrous

America’s Inflation Problem Worsened In March

April 12, 2022April 13, 2022

Core US consumer prices rose less than expected in March, closely watched data out Tuesday

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Small Business Optimism Sinks. Outlook Worst Ever

April 12, 2022April 13, 2022

A key gauge of small business optimism sank to the worst levels since the onset

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Treasury Yields Test Downtrend With Inflation Genie ‘Out Of The Bottle’

April 12, 2022April 12, 2022

Investor angst remained palpable Tuesday, as bonds threatened to extend losses on persistent inflation fears

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4 Comments on Treasury Yields Test Downtrend With Inflation Genie ‘Out Of The Bottle’

Would You Like Context With Your Kolanovic?

April 11, 2022April 12, 2022

Quite often, I’m compelled to emit a wry chuckle at the headlines emanating from mainstream

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