The ECB removed a key inflation warning from its policy statement on Thursday, even as
Author: therealheisenberg
Strong Retail Sales, Low Jobless Claims Clash With Fed Cut Narrative
Initial jobless claims dropped sharply and US retail sales topped estimates in a one-two data
A Weary Bank Of England Tries To Dissuade Rate Cut Bets
The Bank of England kept rates on hold Thursday, as expected. The vote split was
No Hawks Here
The Fed’s policy rate is “likely at or near its peak for this hiking cycle,”
Fed Signals Three Rate Cuts For Next Year At Final 2023 Gathering
The Fed kept rates on hold for a third consecutive meeting on Wednesday, as widely
About That ‘Sell SPX In Every Scenario’ Headline
Headed into the December FOMC meeting, there was some (ok, a lot) of chatter to
The American Dream Has Never Been Less Affordable
Houses: People need them, but people can’t afford them. It’s a problem when you need
Doves Get Small Break With Benign Read On US Producer Prices
In an incrementally dovish development, US producer prices were flat last month from October, data
Core Priorities
Xi Jinping’s China continues to raise more questions for investors than the Party is capable
Fearless Fear Gauge?
Headed into the final FOMC meeting of 2023, there was a bull market in allegations
The Big Impact Of A $60 Billion Options ETF Trend
On a number of occasions over the past — I don’t know — call it
Fed In ‘Unenviable’ Position. Risks ‘Potentially Incoherent’ Messaging
This time last month, US financial conditions, as measured by various Wall Street gauges, were
Is There A Silver Lining In China’s Deflationary Doom Loop?
“Some of us sell-side macro commentators might be more predisposed to hyperbole than others.” So
Inflation Report Sends Mixed Message Ahead Of FOMC
Overall consumer prices edged higher in the US last month from October, while core price
Snapshotting The Shifting Buyer Base For US Treasurys
Beginning in early August, market participants began to obsess over the shifting buyer base for
Too Quiet?
Is it too quiet? That question came up again and again over the past two
Grin And Bear It
By now, it’s well understood that corporates took full advantage of the inflationary macro environment
Why Marko Kolanovic Expects Higher Volatility In 2024
The same factors which’ve mitigated the impact of the Fed’s hiking cycle on corporates and
Marking Time
This week started out like every other week in the world’s conflict zones and across
Is The Optimistic Scenario Already In The Price?
“We believe much of the optimistic scenario is already reflected in US equity prices today.”
The Last Week Of The Year
This may as well be the last week of the year for macro observers. The
What To Expect From The Final FOMC Meeting Of 2023
Headed into the final FOMC meeting of 2023, a few observers were anxious about Jerome
US Courts ‘Total Collapse’ In Gaza
“There does remain a gap,” Antony Blinken said this week, between Israel’s assurances to the
US Stocks See More Santa Flows Amid Sentiment Shift
US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds enjoyed an eighth straight inflow over the latest weekly
The ‘Waller Doctrine’ And The History Of First Cuts
The past six weeks were defined by growing conviction in Fed rate cuts. Although that
Inflation Expectations Drop Most Since 2009, Sentiment Soars
If markets needed a dovish offset for a warm US jobs report, a meaningful deceleration
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