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‘Before It’s Too Late’
Iran wants to talk. Mayday, mayday, mayday!
On Monday, multiple reports indicated the Khamenei regi
“…should talk immediately”. How much is there left to talk about. China would rather not have the Strait of Hormuz and oil exports interrupted. That’s more important to them than propping up the Ayatollah. So who are the opportunists who are in position to control parts of Iran ?? There are several countries that border Iran. They are almost all basket cases, close to being failed states with the exception of Turkey. Would Turkey benefit from moving into Northwest Iran ? Is there any military leader or faction within Iran that is viable because the regime seems de facto powerless. Is there any secular non-theocratic alternative that can effectively govern some part of Iran ??
Dick Cheney can run it in a caretaker capacity until such a time as suitable alternatives emerge.
Finally, an actual proposal that could work – just make sure he brings his shotgun in case anyone gets out of line and he needs to take them duck hunting.
I didn’t think there was a way to improve Miller’s Crossing, other than to make it mandatory viewing for college students, if not high schoolers. But by God, Dick Cheney would have fit right in with a juicy cameo. Too bad the Coens decided to make the movie when Dick was busy gobbling up Dresser and getting cozy with George W, on his way to Iraq.
Are we convinced that Israel wants a strong government in Iran? Or would they prefer another chaotic mess like Iraq, Lebanon and even Syria?
Well, Turkey is a NATO member and a likely future EU member. I imagine EU would be pleased if Turkey took over western Iran all the way down to the Persian Gulf including all oil export infrastructure to maintain steady export of oil. Turkey has the military firepower in the region to not be challenged. The remainder of Iran that isn’t relevant to exporting oil,… can continue with daily prayers etc. Even simpler would be to have Big oil pay the unemployed remnants of the Revolutionary Guard to control the oil export terminals with our carrier groups offering benevolent supervision and a peacekeeping role.
Well, that solution might not go over all that well with the Shia population of Iran.
Nor is it likely that Israel would welcome that outcome. I’ve already seen well or ill-founded commentary on how the next big conflict in the region is now likely to be between Israel & Turkey. Our Dear Leader is better qualified to comment on that.
I say empower Narges Muhammad, Shirin Ebadi, and Marjane Satrapi to run the new Iran! Three strong women….
Larry Bird….one of the best sh!t talkers of all time lol
Qatar would like the whole South Pars gas field, if you’re not going to use it, thank you very much.
No, seriously, it is hard to imagine Turkey trying to take over Iran for its oil fields – too far from Turkey and it would be their Vietnam and Afghanistan rolled up into one and cubed. Iran’s other neighbors aren’t military powers and/or are basket cases. Russia is busy in Ukraine. China will be busy in Taiwan. The US doesn’t have the attention span and will be busy in Taiwan. Israel is a destroyer not a picker-up-of-the-pieces.
I think Iran gets to muddle through, fragment into warring chaos, or enjoy some improbable secular resurgence, on its own.
Agreed. Chaotic neighbors which cannot deter occasional military strikes are good neighbors as far as Israel in concerned. With an added plus of no expenditures to support them. It’s a “win” all around.
Try to find them a new Shaw.
As we know, our star pupil skipped the big class. He had some kind of foot ailment. Whatever. In my years as a prof, the normal result for students who cut critical classes was that they generally flunked the upcoming test.