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US Inflation Update, ECB Rate Cut On Deck As Stocks Try To Recover
I'd say the size of the first Fed rate cut will be decided this week, except that I said that last week and it turned out to be wrong. "Fool me once," as they say.
Instead, I'll just offer the banal observation that Wednesday's US inflation update has the potential to tip the scales for or against a half-point move at the September FOMC meeting which, following an inconclusive jobs report, is still a toss up between a "regular" 25bps cut and a "super-size" 50bps move.
As discussed in the lates
Clarification question: BoP = Balance of Payments?
Yeah.
H-Man, if you assume rate cuts are inevitable and rate cuts are good for the consumer, 50 makes a great deal of sense and even more sense, if you believe the economy is slowing like a cruise ship when it docks. Bottom line, 50 helps a lot more people who need it now rather than later.
P.S. I am not a communist.
Why not do 30bp? What’s all this 1/4 point stuff. I remember when UST’s were priced in 1/32 and 1/64’s rather than decimals and that didn’t last. We spent the whole time translating 1/32 and 1/64 into decimals. That is a sign of a misspent you!
.375 is 3/8 and would be a great compromise. Market pundits would have something new to pontificate about too.