Fade The Neon Swans?
There's "neon swan" potential lurking in America's debt ceiling crisis.
Notwithstanding one former president's unorthodox views on the matter, most believe a US default would be unequivocally and unavoidably disastrous, and that such a catastrophe, were it to occur, would risk transforming recent adverse developments in the banking sector into an overlapping crisis.
If a worst-case scenario were to unfold, the Fed would pretty clearly be compelled to cut rates, which explains the persistence o
Not systematically tracking it, but seeing weakness in industries with high federal government revenue mix – defense, life science, etc. I’d imagine that will provide a trade when the debt ceiling is resolved.
We’ve discussed the merits of mega-tech in a debt ceiling crisis. Another trade?
Long-duration, large-cap as well.
I’ve heard Judy Collins sing this here in KC, twice.
” … Send in the clowns
Don’t bother they’re here …”