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Year: 2022

US Home Prices Won’t Go Gentle Into That Good Night

December 27, 2022December 28, 2022

Data released on Tuesday underscored both the impact of the Fed’s ongoing quest to extinguish

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1 Comment on US Home Prices Won’t Go Gentle Into That Good Night

Goldman’s ‘Most Out-Of-Consensus Call’ For 2023

December 27, 2022December 28, 2022

Goldman’s most out-of-consensus call for 2023 is arguably their most important. Generally speaking, economists and

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6 Comments on Goldman’s ‘Most Out-Of-Consensus Call’ For 2023

When Life Gives You COVID, Make Lemonade

December 27, 2022January 3, 2023

Notwithstanding ongoing tension in the US tech space, market sentiment was cautiously constructive coming off

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5 Comments on When Life Gives You COVID, Make Lemonade

Planes, Missiles, Drills And Drones

December 26, 2022December 27, 2022

Tensions flared in three of the world’s powder kegs Sunday and into Monday, as border

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3 Comments on Planes, Missiles, Drills And Drones

Lessons Not Learned

December 26, 2022January 1, 2023

“This is not war,” Volodymyr Zelensky said on Telegram over the weekend. “It’s terror. It’s

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18 Comments on Lessons Not Learned

US Housing Market Enters 2023 As Bubble-Puzzle

December 25, 2022December 27, 2022

Home sales in the US either tumbled the most on record last month or ran

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4 Comments on US Housing Market Enters 2023 As Bubble-Puzzle

Visualizing Macro History

December 25, 2022December 27, 2022

Anyone with even a passing interest in markets can make a list of 2022’s “top”

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1 Comment on Visualizing Macro History

Existential Questions For 2023

December 24, 2022January 4, 2023

As the curtain closes on 2022, existential questions abound. Is the world headed for a

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6 Comments on Existential Questions For 2023

Memory Lane And The 6.5% Unemployment Threshold

December 24, 2022December 27, 2022

10 years ago this month, the Fed added outcome-based forward guidance to its policy statement.

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Breach Of Contract

December 23, 2022January 1, 2023

I’m not much for normative statements. Words and deeds can be a lot of things,

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22 Comments on Breach Of Contract

Stock Funds See Largest Exodus On Record

December 23, 2022December 25, 2022

Barring a Christmas miracle, 2022 will be the worst year for US equities since 2008.

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3 Comments on Stock Funds See Largest Exodus On Record

More Stagflation

December 23, 2022December 27, 2022

The last of 2022’s notable US economic data came in broadly as expected, albeit with

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1 Comment on More Stagflation

Ghost Of Christmas Past

December 23, 2022December 31, 2022

This time four years ago, Donald Trump was busy berating Jerome Powell’s golf game on

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Hot Data And Tepper’s ‘Short’ Call

December 22, 2022December 23, 2022

“Stocks slump as bearish Tepper amplifies hot data,” one Thursday headline said. I suppose this

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3 Comments on Hot Data And Tepper’s ‘Short’ Call

Surprise US GDP Revisions Blindside Policy Doves

December 22, 2022December 27, 2022

There was more good news of the bad variety out of the US economy on

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5 Comments on Surprise US GDP Revisions Blindside Policy Doves

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Monthly Letter+

  • Lost At Sea

    March 11, 2023March 11, 2023

Week’s News

Book Closes On Credit Suisse After 167 Years

March 19, 2023March 20, 2023

Trump Says He’ll Be Arrested Tuesday

March 18, 2023March 20, 2023

Behind The Scenes Of An American Bank Panic

March 17, 2023March 19, 2023

First Republic Rescued, Dimon Met With Yellen

March 16, 2023March 17, 2023

Credit Suisse Spirals As Bank Crisis Threatens To Claim A SIFI

March 15, 2023March 16, 2023

Most Read

  • Moment Of Truth Arrives For Fed In Crisis Mode
    Moment Of Truth Arrives For Fed In Crisis Mode
  • Book Closes On Credit Suisse After 167 Years
    Book Closes On Credit Suisse After 167 Years
  • Mike Wilson Sees Bank Crisis As Bear Market Crescendo
    Mike Wilson Sees Bank Crisis As Bear Market Crescendo
  • UBS Offers To Buy Credit Suisse For A Song In 2008 Echo
    UBS Offers To Buy Credit Suisse For A Song In 2008 Echo
  • The Swiss Killed The CoCos
    The Swiss Killed The CoCos

Recent Comments

  • Mr. Lucky on Mike Wilson Sees Bank Crisis As Bear Market Crescendo
  • Ethan Fanshel on Big Picture Takeaways From The Credit Suisse Bond Wipeout
  • Btfl on The Swiss Killed The CoCos
  • derek on The Swiss Killed The CoCos
  • Kevin Wood on The Swiss Killed The CoCos

Monthly Letters

Lost At Sea

March 11, 2023March 11, 2023

Exiles On Main Street

February 4, 2023March 11, 2023

That’s Great, It Starts With An Earthquake

January 22, 2023February 4, 2023

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