‘I’m Not Dead Yet,’ Shouted The US Consumer
"I'm not dead yet!", shouted the US consumer.
Retail sales rose more than expected in January, perhaps allaying some fears of a sharp slowdown in spending across the world's largest economy which, like me during the Balvenie years, lives and dies by consumption.
Sales rose 3.8% in January, nearly double consensus (figure below). The range of forecasts, from six-dozen economists, was 0.3% to 5.5%.
December's already poor showing was revised lower still, to a 2.5% drop. But fears of Omicron s
As our Dear Leader suggests, the correlation between Consumer Confidence surveys and actual retail spending is rather low. As it has been for quite a while.