A Little Reminder About Macro, Ca. 2010

A Little Reminder About Macro, Ca. 2010

Just to underscore why, as a macro guy, I focus so much on tail risk, here's a little reminder from Dylan Grice ca. 2010: Most people would see the macro strategist’s role as timing macro events … switching between defensives and cyclicals, adjusting duration, risk-on/risk-off trades, and so on ... the only problem is that most of us are rubbish at seeing macro events coming, let alone timing them, as our evolutionary programming blinds us to events which are forecastable (and many are not e
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