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Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Rasputin Presiding

    November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

Sarah Huckabee Sanders Is Not Your Go-To Gal For Porn Star Payoff Coverups

March 8, 2018

“To be fair, the case is confusing. Here’s Sarah Huckabee Sanders right after she admitted that her boss was party to a contract that involved a payment of $130,000 to keep a pornstar quiet.”

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2 Comments on Sarah Huckabee Sanders Is Not Your Go-To Gal For Porn Star Payoff Coverups

One Bank Sees Volatility ‘Spilling All Over The Place’

March 8, 2018March 8, 2018

“…volatility across various asset classes can be at times highly correlated and hence the extraordinary growth of short volatility strategies might create risks.”

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Trump Goodbye To Gary Cohn Erases All Doubt That Gary Cohn Needs To Go

March 8, 2018

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One Trader Revisits The Inflation Scare Of 2012

March 8, 2018

“The hawks went ape-shit. They screamed and yelled. They warned about Weimar Republic style hyper-inflation. But Bernanke hung tough.”

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2 Comments on One Trader Revisits The Inflation Scare Of 2012

Draghi Talks Up Goldilocks, Trims 2019 Inflation Forecast, Ups Near-Term Growth Outlook

March 8, 2018March 8, 2018

Again, those highlighted bits are a clear effort to massage the message – they’re trying to preserve the Goldilocks narrative by telegraphing a still-subdued outlook for inflation while underscoring the near-term upbeat growth picture.

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Euro, Bund Yields Jump As ECB Changes Language On QE

March 8, 2018March 8, 2018

This is obviously bond bearish and probably bearish for risk assets as well depending on how Draghi manages the message.

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ECB Removes Dovish Slant On QE From Statement

March 8, 2018March 8, 2018

Aaaand it’s gone.

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1 Comment on ECB Removes Dovish Slant On QE From Statement

Hello, This Is President Dennison, Turn My Trade War Down To ‘Simmer’ For Now

March 8, 2018March 8, 2018

A bit of calm amid the still-brewing storm.

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Here Are The ‘Real World’ Implications Of Tariffs For The Dollar

March 7, 2018March 7, 2018

“Usually speaking,” of course.

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Trader: ‘The Next Big Surprise Is Gold’

March 7, 2018November 13, 2018

“The only scenario that really hurts gold is a strengthening economy that has the Fed continuing to try to get ahead of the curve. I don’t know about you, but I am a seller of both of those possibilities.”

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4 Comments on Trader: ‘The Next Big Surprise Is Gold’

(Trade) War And Peace.

March 7, 2018March 7, 2018

Ok, let’s just step back for a second and take stock of everything that’s happened in the past 72 hours.

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With Trump Trailing ‘Generic Democrat’ In Polls, Tariffs Are Desperate Political Gambit

March 7, 2018March 7, 2018

And hell, can you blame him? After all, if the presidential election were held today, Politico’s polling suggests he’d lose to this “guy”…

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2 Comments on With Trump Trailing ‘Generic Democrat’ In Polls, Tariffs Are Desperate Political Gambit

Navarro Says He’d Short Navarro In Cohn Replacement Race

March 7, 2018March 7, 2018

If the best thing Peter said was that he wasn’t in the running to take Gary’s position, the worst thing he said was this…

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1 Comment on Navarro Says He’d Short Navarro In Cohn Replacement Race

Wilbur Ross Refutes Popular Misconception: ‘We’re Not Trying To Blow Up The World’

March 7, 2018

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Strategist: ‘Cohn’s Departure Will Weigh On Stocks And Keep A Bid To Vol. For Weeks’

March 7, 2018March 7, 2018

It looks you’re all The Bruce Dickinson and Gary Cohn is your “cowbell” on Wednesday.

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3 Comments on Strategist: ‘Cohn’s Departure Will Weigh On Stocks And Keep A Bid To Vol. For Weeks’

‘This Is An Important Development’: Lael Brainard Turns Hawkish, You’re All Fucked

March 7, 2018

“Risks are moving toward five.”

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3 Comments on ‘This Is An Important Development’: Lael Brainard Turns Hawkish, You’re All Fucked

Goldman: This Is ‘Unlikely To Stop At Steel’

March 7, 2018March 7, 2018

U.S. trade policy is “on a troubling path.”

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18 Comments on Goldman: This Is ‘Unlikely To Stop At Steel’

Global Markets React To Gary Cohn News

March 7, 2018March 7, 2018

Ignoring this would be “a mistake”.

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Donald Trump Proves Immune To Gary Cohn

March 7, 2018March 7, 2018

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That’s All, Folks: Gary Cohn Out At White House

March 6, 2018March 6, 2018

You can expect this to weigh heavily on risk sentiment.

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13 Comments on That’s All, Folks: Gary Cohn Out At White House

Trump Said To Consider Broad Crackdown On Chinese Imports Including Shoe, Electronics Tariffs

March 6, 2018March 6, 2018

And the hits just keep coming after hours. 

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2 Comments on Trump Said To Consider Broad Crackdown On Chinese Imports Including Shoe, Electronics Tariffs

Goldman Rips Trump’s Tariffs With Point-By-Point Takedown

March 6, 2018March 6, 2018

And the hits just keep comin’. 

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1 Comment on Goldman Rips Trump’s Tariffs With Point-By-Point Takedown

You’re Not Wrong Walter, You’re Just An Asshole.

March 6, 2018March 6, 2018

“Am I wrong?”

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1 Comment on You’re Not Wrong Walter, You’re Just An Asshole.

New From Epsilon Theory: ‘But What Is It, Really?’

March 6, 2018

“The name of the thing being sold isn’t always a very good representation of what the thing is, sometimes for innocent reasons, and sometimes because crunchy, raw, unboned, real, dead frog doesn’t sound very appetizing.”

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Of Chimps And Dictators.

March 6, 2018

Believe it or not, that’s actually an “in defense of Trump” comment.

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Rise And Fall Of The ‘Zombies’

March 6, 2018March 6, 2018

What happens to the zombies (so to speak)?

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Trader: ‘That’s Not A Bond Bear Market’…

March 6, 2018November 13, 2018

“And you would think that this might be bullish for bonds, but no, far from it. A Central Bank that is not willing to invert the curve and take the economic hit from forcing a recession is a bond investor’s nightmare. After all, apart from default, inflation is the absolute worse thing out there.”

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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