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Featured

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

China’s Key October Data Is Good Enough. PBOC Moves To Quell Liquidity Concerns

November 15, 2020November 16, 2020

China’s economic recovery remained largely on track in October, activity data out Monday suggested. Retail

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1 Comment on China’s Key October Data Is Good Enough. PBOC Moves To Quell Liquidity Concerns

New Week, Same Virus

November 15, 2020November 16, 2020

Markets will kick off the new week confronted with more disconcerting news flow around the

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3 Comments on New Week, Same Virus

Head-Fakes And One ‘Giant Logistical Project’

November 15, 2020November 16, 2020

Some would probably tell you the dramatic rotation that played out in the equities space

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5 Comments on Head-Fakes And One ‘Giant Logistical Project’

Gather ‘Round Children, It’s Time For A Liquidity Ghost Story

November 15, 2020November 16, 2020

“If Democrats take control of the Senate after the January 5th Georgia runoff elections, our

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1 Comment on Gather ‘Round Children, It’s Time For A Liquidity Ghost Story

While You Were Watching The Election Soap Opera, Earnings Season Was ‘Stellar’

November 15, 2020November 16, 2020

You may not have noticed, but Q3 earnings season went remarkably well. In fact, it

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3 Comments on While You Were Watching The Election Soap Opera, Earnings Season Was ‘Stellar’

Everything In Between

November 14, 2020November 15, 2020

On Saturday morning, I offered a take on America’s economic future that was simultaneously optimistic

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12 Comments on Everything In Between

Profits And The Lonely Barber

November 14, 2020November 14, 2020

“The vaccine development means corporate America’s earnings power may be greatly under-appreciated,” Bloomberg’s Lu Wang

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10 Comments on Profits And The Lonely Barber

‘Get Ready’ (Red Alert Freeze)

November 13, 2020November 14, 2020

“People should get ready,” Bill de Blasio said Friday. He was referring to the distinct

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5 Comments on ‘Get Ready’ (Red Alert Freeze)

Investors Just Rushed Back Into Junk

November 13, 2020

Earlier this week, US junk bond yields hit all-time lows amid the rampant euphoria that

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Leave a Comment on Investors Just Rushed Back Into Junk

‘Game Changers’ (Crashes & Squeezes)

November 13, 2020November 13, 2020

This will be a week remembered for the largest one-day momentum crash and the biggest

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11 Comments on ‘Game Changers’ (Crashes & Squeezes)

Election Blues For Red Consumers

November 13, 2020November 13, 2020

Consumer sentiment unexpectedly declined in the preliminary read on the University of Michigan survey for

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1 Comment on Election Blues For Red Consumers

‘Sell The Vaccine’ (And The Biggest Ever Inflow Into Global Equities)

November 13, 2020November 13, 2020

“We are sellers” into vaccine strength, BofA’s Michael Hartnett said, in the latest edition of

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24 Comments on ‘Sell The Vaccine’ (And The Biggest Ever Inflow Into Global Equities)

Lukewarm Congratulations

November 13, 2020November 13, 2020

Global equities were mixed and Wall Street looked to end a rollercoaster week with gains

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1 Comment on Lukewarm Congratulations

Cancel Thanksgiving

November 12, 2020November 13, 2020

If you’re wondering how it’s going in the US when it comes to containing COVID-19,

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1 Comment on Cancel Thanksgiving

Trump Abandons Stimulus Push With 10 Million Americans Jobless. Focuses On Election Litigation

November 12, 2020November 15, 2020

Donald Trump has given up on passing another virus relief bill. Or, if you like

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10 Comments on Trump Abandons Stimulus Push With 10 Million Americans Jobless. Focuses On Election Litigation

From ‘We’re All Gonna Die’ To 15-Sigma ‘Hope’ Shocks (And Beyond)

November 12, 2020November 12, 2020

Nothing is certain in life besides truisms, tautologies, death, and taxes, and even the latter

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10 Comments on From ‘We’re All Gonna Die’ To 15-Sigma ‘Hope’ Shocks (And Beyond)

Disinflation Dominates. Historic Surge In Used Car Prices Ends

November 12, 2020November 12, 2020

If it’s signs of inflation in the US you’re looking for, you won’t find them

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1 Comment on Disinflation Dominates. Historic Surge In Used Car Prices Ends

Jobless Claims On Verge Of Falling Below Pre-Pandemic Record. But…

November 12, 2020

709,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, in what’s either a “new pandemic low”

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims On Verge Of Falling Below Pre-Pandemic Record. But…

Hope. But Also Fear.

November 12, 2020November 12, 2020

Risk appetite abated a bit on Thursday, and markets were broadly mixed as investors took

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8 Comments on Hope. But Also Fear.

Can The S&P 500 Perform Without FAAMG? Here’s The Answer

November 11, 2020November 12, 2020

On the one-week anniversary of US tech shares’ post-election surge, America’s favorite mega-caps were buoyant.

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1 Comment on Can The S&P 500 Perform Without FAAMG? Here’s The Answer

In This Market, ‘Good News Can Actually Lose You Money’

November 11, 2020November 11, 2020

“Why comment on the past?,” SocGen’s Andrew Lapthorne and Solomon Tadesse wondered, in a note

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1 Comment on In This Market, ‘Good News Can Actually Lose You Money’

Gullibility Knows No Bounds: Lira, Turkish Banks Stage Absurd Rally On Erdogan Promises

November 11, 2020

Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan is ready to take his medicine. Don’t believe me? Just ask

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4 Comments on Gullibility Knows No Bounds: Lira, Turkish Banks Stage Absurd Rally On Erdogan Promises

‘Sure,’ The World’s On Fire. But Strats Controlling $1 Trillion Will Still Buy Stocks

November 11, 2020November 12, 2020

I love reading copy sometimes. Whenever the world is going to hell in a handbasket,

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6 Comments on ‘Sure,’ The World’s On Fire. But Strats Controlling $1 Trillion Will Still Buy Stocks

Goldman Sees ‘Roaring ‘20s Redux.’ S&P To Hit 4,600 In 2022

November 11, 2020November 11, 2020

“A vaccine is a more important development for the economy and markets than the prospective

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13 Comments on Goldman Sees ‘Roaring ‘20s Redux.’ S&P To Hit 4,600 In 2022

Chinese Tech Is Imploding

November 11, 2020November 12, 2020

Chinese tech shares are in trouble. Beijing’s abrupt blitz to rein in Alibaba, Tencent, and

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5 Comments on Chinese Tech Is Imploding

Withdrawal Symptoms

November 10, 2020November 10, 2020

What was truly remarkable about the first two days of trading in the new week

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5 Comments on Withdrawal Symptoms

America’s Government Is Failing

November 10, 2020November 11, 2020

It’s exceedingly difficult to know what is and isn’t “worth” mentioning these days when it

Read More

20 Comments on America’s Government Is Failing

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • T-Dog on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • Mountain Economist on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • SeaTurtle on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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