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Featured

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026
  • Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • An ARM And A Leg

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Pfizer Confirms Pill Prevents Hospitalization. Investors Move On From COVID

December 14, 2021December 14, 2021

Hours after results from one of the first real-world studies of the Omicron variant’s capacity

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Leave a Comment on Pfizer Confirms Pill Prevents Hospitalization. Investors Move On From COVID

Pfizer Stops 70% Of Hospitalizations In Real-World Omicron Study

December 14, 2021December 20, 2021

One of the first major, real-world studies of the Omicron variant’s capacity to evade existing

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8 Comments on Pfizer Stops 708 Of Hospitalizations In Real-World Omicron Study

‘There’s Only One Risk That Matters’

December 13, 2021December 14, 2021

“Are you a buyer of dips?”, an anchor asked a guest, during a painfully generic

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4 Comments on ‘There’s Only One Risk That Matters’

‘Event’ Risk

December 13, 2021December 14, 2021

Most equity forecasts for 2022 are constructive. Even the “bearish” calls aren’t properly bearish. Morgan

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2 Comments on ‘Event’ Risk

Analysts, Investors Will Never Admit The Truth About Turkey

December 13, 2021December 19, 2021

Recep Tayyip Erdogan was back above the fold across mainstream financial media outlets on Monday.

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2 Comments on Analysts, Investors Will Never Admit The Truth About Turkey

Are Fed Critics Overcorrecting For Recency Bias?

December 13, 2021December 15, 2021

Nearly every media article about Fed policy and US inflation is a contradiction. Commentators and

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19 Comments on Are Fed Critics Overcorrecting For Recency Bias?

The QE Addiction Metaphor Revisited

December 12, 2021December 13, 2021

Debates about whether markets can “handle” a Fed tightening cycle and/or a reduction of the

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4 Comments on The QE Addiction Metaphor Revisited

Market Breadth Has Collapsed

December 12, 2021December 13, 2021

While marveling at the disproportionate performance burden shouldered by a handful of index heavyweights, BofA’s

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2 Comments on Market Breadth Has Collapsed

The Short Road To A Policy Error

December 12, 2021December 15, 2021

Jerome Powell may have officially “retired” the word “transitory” as a description of elevated inflation

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6 Comments on The Short Road To A Policy Error

The Infallible Dip-Buyers

December 11, 2021December 13, 2021

The latest swoon for US equities proved to be another opportunity. Once again, investors’ classical

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3 Comments on The Infallible Dip-Buyers

No, ‘Americans’ Didn’t Get $34 Trillion Richer During Pandemic

December 11, 2021January 23, 2022

Earlier this week, one widely-followed reporter at a mainstream financial media outlet took to Twitter

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9 Comments on No, ‘Americans’ Didn’t Get $34 Trillion Richer During Pandemic

‘Our Strategy Is Our Strategy’

December 10, 2021December 12, 2021

It’s time to sell the rips in tech. Hold that thought. “So, if you’ve never

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3 Comments on ‘Our Strategy Is Our Strategy’

Sentiment Survey Reveals Unprecedented Disparities

December 10, 2021December 12, 2021

Consumers’ expectations for inflation were unchanged in early December, the preliminary read on the University

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2 Comments on Sentiment Survey Reveals Unprecedented Disparities

‘The Fed Should Hike Next Week’

December 10, 2021December 11, 2021

The Fed “could” and “should” hike rates next week. That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett,

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3 Comments on ‘The Fed Should Hike Next Week’

Inflation Nation

December 10, 2021December 17, 2021

US inflation accelerated sharply in November, hotly-anticipated data out Friday showed. Headline CPI rose 6.8%

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2 Comments on Inflation Nation

Herd Behavior

December 10, 2021December 10, 2021

“You can’t ignore the policy signals,” Eddie Cheung, an EM strategist at Credit Agricole, said

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Leave a Comment on Herd Behavior

The Great Rotation Fascination

December 9, 2021December 11, 2021

I’ve variously characterized 2021 as a year during which thematic swings and factor reversals became

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1 Comment on The Great Rotation Fascination

What Marko Kolanovic Sees For 2022

December 9, 2021December 10, 2021

“Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an

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US Jobless Claims Plummet To New Half-Century Low

December 9, 2021December 11, 2021

Jobless claims dove again in the week to December 4, hitting a 52-year low for

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1 Comment on US Jobless Claims Plummet To New Half-Century Low

D-Day Arrives For Evergrande

December 9, 2021December 19, 2021

“There has been no announcement from the company or the trustee regarding the coupon payments

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2 Comments on D-Day Arrives For Evergrande

Mark It 5,200

December 8, 2021December 9, 2021

On the heels of a massive three-day rally on Wall Street, analysts are raising their

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4 Comments on Mark It 5,200

‘Great Resignation’ Rolls On As Americans Quit By The Millions

December 8, 2021December 25, 2021

The number of US job openings stood at 11 million on the last business day

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7 Comments on ‘Great Resignation’ Rolls On As Americans Quit By The Millions

How Broken Is The Vol Complex?

December 8, 2021December 9, 2021

I’ve talked at length over the past year about imbalances in the vol complex and

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3 Comments on How Broken Is The Vol Complex?

Pfizer Says Omicron ‘Neutralized’ By Three Doses In Lab Test

December 8, 2021December 12, 2021

With markets on tenterhooks for an update that passes for authoritative vis-à-vis the efficacy of

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15 Comments on Pfizer Says Omicron ‘Neutralized’ By Three Doses In Lab Test

‘Omicron-Like’ Emerges. UK Set For ‘Plan B’ Protocol

December 8, 2021December 9, 2021

Boris Johnson was poised to unveil a new round of COVID restrictions for England as

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2 Comments on ‘Omicron-Like’ Emerges. UK Set For ‘Plan B’ Protocol

S&P 5,000 By June (Or By Friday)

December 7, 2021December 9, 2021

The S&P has a date with 5,000 by… well, by the end of the week

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5 Comments on S&P 5,000 By June (Or By Friday)

‘Tangible Risks’ As ‘2018 Redux’ Worries Grow

December 7, 2021December 8, 2021

“It’s possible we won’t see the same pressure on the Fed to back off if

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2 Comments on ‘Tangible Risks’ As ‘2018 Redux’ Worries Grow

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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