Biden ‘Not Surprised’ Fed Kneecapped ‘Historic’ Economic Boom
Joe Biden subtly blamed Jerome Powell for the recession both men claim the US isn’t
Don’t Call It A Recession
It’s not a recession. It can’t be. The labor market is too strong. The midterms
Price Discovery. Via Tasseography
Real-time Fed tasseography is a very difficult undertaking. Almost as a rule, asset prices aren’t
You Have One Job
“Restoring price stability is something we have to do,” Jerome Powell said Wednesday, during remarks
Trapped Fed Goes Big Again With Recession Looming
The Fed hiked rates by the most since 1994 for the second consecutive meeting on
A Sturdy Corporate America Defies Doomsayers. So Far
The “profit reckoning” thesis is in jeopardy. Although a tsunami of key reports, including results
‘Tumbling Down’: Pending Home Sales Plunge, Mortgage Activity Evaporates
Another day, another dour read (or two) on the US housing market. Pending home sales
Bear Market Rally: Who’s Buying And Who’s Not Selling
Capitulation in equities is “only partial.” That was the message from Barclays at a critical
Microsoft, Google Still Going Concerns
Investors were on tenterhooks for mega-cap tech earnings, and not just because the “broad” market
Canaries In America’s Housing Bubble
New US home sales figures for June, released on Tuesday, were a veritable compendium of
Fair-Weather Fans
2022 will remembered for a lot things, most of them bad, or at least if
Blistering Pace Of US Home Price Gains Seen Out Of Gas
The rate of US home price appreciation is slowing, data out Tuesday showed. Of course,
Define ‘Pivot’
This is all very simple, really. Markets will bottom when inflation peaks and the Fed
Everyday Low Guidance: Walmart Delivers Another Reality Check
Is an anomaly anomalous if it happens twice in three months? I don’t know. That’s
Something’s In The Price
Given a demonstrable deceleration in various measures of economic activity over the past month, it’s
Nowhere To Turn
There’s nothing you can do. Just as the Fed has no “good” options at a
60:40, Food:Fuel
It’s been a tough year for multi-asset investors, where “tough” means all assets have incurred
Wanted: Plausible Bull Case
“The pause is likely to come too late,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson said Monday. He
Traders Will Drown In Data During Fed Week
The July FOMC meeting isn’t the only big event on the US docket this week
Best Hawkish Behavior
In the anxious aftermath of the June CPI report, among the worst in modern US
Just Don’t Call It Optimism
I’m sympathetic to the possibility that a true reckoning for US corporate profits may still
In Odesa, Strategic Callousness
On Friday, there was “a beacon on the Black Sea.” So said UN Secretary-General Antonio
The ‘Big Low’
The “big low” isn’t in. That’s the overarching (and all too familiar) message from one
‘They Just Kept Coming’: VaR Event Rocks Rates
Although it wasn’t obvious to anyone for whom equity benchmarks are all that matters, Friday
US, Europe Both Risk Imminent Recession, Surveys Suggest
A gauge of US services sector activity tumbled into contraction territory for July, suggesting the
Putin Sinks Uniper
Uniper, Olaf Scholz said Friday in Berlin, was experiencing “great difficulty” from Germany’s gas crisis.
Bond Bulls And Banana Republics
As regular readers know all too well, I harbor something that looks (and feels) quite
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