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Category: Markets

The Shock That Surely Isn’t ‘Priced In’

May 21, 2022May 22, 2022

If you were so inclined, you might argue that two of this year’s three shocks

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8 Comments on The Shock That Surely Isn’t ‘Priced In’

Bulls, Bears And Animal Spirits

May 21, 2022May 22, 2022

It’s not technically a bear market. At the worst levels on Friday, the S&P was

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10 Comments on Bulls, Bears And Animal Spirits

S&P Bear Market: What If Jeremy Grantham Was Right?

May 20, 2022May 27, 2022

I’ve talked quite a bit about valuations lately. Specifically: How far and how fast they’ve

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4 Comments on S&P Bear Market: What If Jeremy Grantham Was Right?

The Week Retail Died

May 20, 2022May 21, 2022

This week will go down as one of the most abysmal stretches ever for US

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6 Comments on The Week Retail Died

China’s ‘Record’ Rate Cut And Xi’s Mission Impossible

May 20, 2022May 21, 2022

“China cuts a mortgage reference rate by most on record.” Sounds dramatic, no? Unfortunately, the

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7 Comments on China’s ‘Record’ Rate Cut And Xi’s Mission Impossible

‘Unambiguous’ Buy Signal Overshadowed By Stagflation Reality

May 20, 2022May 21, 2022

The stock market “basically dropped by one US economy in six months,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett

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8 Comments on ‘Unambiguous’ Buy Signal Overshadowed By Stagflation Reality

US Stocks Could Fall 40% In Worst Case, Deutsche Bank Says

May 19, 2022May 25, 2022

If the current malaise on Wall Street is a non-recession correction, it’s an unusually long

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5 Comments on US Stocks Could Fall 405 In Worst Case, Deutsche Bank Says

Goldman’s Clients ‘Constantly’ Asking About Recession

May 19, 2022May 20, 2022

“A recession is not inevitable,” Goldman’s David Kostin reiterated, in a new note. “But clients

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6 Comments on Goldman’s Clients ‘Constantly’ Asking About Recession

Fed’s George Talks Stock Selloff. McElligott Sees ‘Real-Time Downshift’

May 19, 2022May 20, 2022

“Bleeders all over the place,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Thursday, as the recession choir sang.

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8 Comments on Fed’s George Talks Stock Selloff. McElligott Sees ‘Real-Time Downshift’

Kohl’s Mine Canary

May 19, 2022May 19, 2022

Normally, I wouldn’t dedicate space to Kohl’s earnings, but considering this week’s retail wipeout and

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Leave a Comment on Kohl’s Mine Canary

Fatalism Sets In: ‘It No Longer Makes Sense To Own Stocks’

May 19, 2022May 20, 2022

“This call has proved wrong,” said Eric Johnston, head of equity derivatives at Cantor. “It

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6 Comments on Fatalism Sets In: ‘It No Longer Makes Sense To Own Stocks’

‘Aha!’ Moment Razes Fed’s Soft Landing Fable

May 18, 2022May 19, 2022

“Hedge fund hell.” “$34 chicken wings?” “El-Erian says US can’t avoid stagflation.” “Americans more stressed

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10 Comments on ‘Aha!’ Moment Razes Fed’s Soft Landing Fable

Target’s ‘Since 1987’ Collapse Sends Macro Warning

May 18, 2022May 24, 2022

On Tuesday, Walmart suffered what I described as a “black swan” moment, when the company’s

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11 Comments on Target’s ‘Since 1987’ Collapse Sends Macro Warning

Why The S&P May Have ‘25% Upside’ By Year-End

May 18, 2022May 18, 2022

If you believe the bond market speaks to us through the curve, the recession clock

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7 Comments on Why The S&P May Have ‘257 Upside’ By Year-End

Powell Or Pozsar?

May 17, 2022May 20, 2022

Jerome Powell is going to “keep pushing” until US inflation abates in “a clear and

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11 Comments on Powell Or Pozsar?

Walmart’s Black Swan Moment

May 17, 2022May 23, 2022

Walmart follows a simple corporate creed: Everyday low prices. Other retailers purport to follow a

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7 Comments on Walmart’s Black Swan Moment

$900 Billion Is The Most Pessimistic Ever

May 17, 2022May 18, 2022

The outlook for global growth has never been worse. That was one, among several, key

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1 Comment on $900 Billion Is The Most Pessimistic Ever

Stock Melt-Up May Be Imminent. Careful What You Wish For

May 17, 2022May 17, 2022

This is a “precarious time for bears,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Tuesday, as calls for

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5 Comments on Stock Melt-Up May Be Imminent. Careful What You Wish For

Musk, Twitter And The Art Of The Propaganda Coup

May 17, 2022May 23, 2022

Elon Musk submitted more evidence on Tuesday attesting to the notion that when you’re the

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13 Comments on Musk, Twitter And The Art Of The Propaganda Coup

Cash Levels Highest Since 9/11 As Investors Abandon Stocks, Short Tech

May 17, 2022May 25, 2022

“Extremely bearish.” That’s how BofA’s Michael Hartnett described the May vintage of the bank’s Global

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7 Comments on Cash Levels Highest Since 9/11 As Investors Abandon Stocks, Short Tech

Treasury Market Risks ‘Vicious Liquidity Feedback Loop’

May 16, 2022May 17, 2022

“For risk-free assets to be so risky is bound to be problematic,” SocGen’s Andrew Lapthorne

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3 Comments on Treasury Market Risks ‘Vicious Liquidity Feedback Loop’

Why Stocks And Bonds Could Lose Another $20 Trillion

May 16, 2022May 17, 2022

“[It’s] rare to see both bonds and equities losing so much at the same time,”

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9 Comments on Why Stocks And Bonds Could Lose Another $20 Trillion

‘Not There Yet’: Top Strategist Says S&P May Fall To 3,400

May 16, 2022May 17, 2022

Stocks are oversold and Treasury yields may have stabilized after running sharply higher, setting the

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1 Comment on ‘Not There Yet’: Top Strategist Says S&P May Fall To 3,400

Bernanke Grabs Headlines With Sorkin On Eve Of Book Release

May 16, 2022May 17, 2022

“I think in retrospect, yes, it was a mistake,” Ben Bernanke told Andrew Ross Sorkin,

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3 Comments on Bernanke Grabs Headlines With Sorkin On Eve Of Book Release

‘Necessary’ Slowdown Doesn’t Mean Massive Job Losses, Goldman Says

May 16, 2022May 25, 2022

Last week, Bill Dudley said the Fed should stop “sugarcoating” the message. He meant that

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9 Comments on ‘Necessary’ Slowdown Doesn’t Mean Massive Job Losses, Goldman Says

China’s Retail Sales Plunge As Key Data Highlights Lockdown Cost

May 15, 2022May 23, 2022

Chinese economic activity decelerated sharply in April, data out Monday showed. Despite near daily assurances

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1 Comment on China’s Retail Sales Plunge As Key Data Highlights Lockdown Cost

Stocks, Bonds, Sentiment Enter New Week At Breaking Point

May 15, 2022May 19, 2022

Traders and investors enter the back half of May in decidedly poor spirits. Ironically, that

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5 Comments on Stocks, Bonds, Sentiment Enter New Week At Breaking Point

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