August can be an unruly beast for markets. The seasonal is daunting and liquidity is
Category: Markets
Small Firms Haven’t Been This Worried About Inflation Since 1979
Small businesses have scarcely ever been this worried about inflation. 37% of owners who participated
New Tech Bull Market? Surely Not
The bull is back in big-cap US tech. Or was back. And could be back
Critical ‘Nuance’ On Fed Path
In a sea of Fata Morganas, at least one trade was better than chasing ghosts.
Bears, Bulls And The People In-Between
It’s “premature to sound the all-clear,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson said, of US equities, which
If They’d Just Shut Up…
Fed officials need to stop talking. Or at least dial it down. Back in February,
Odysseus And The Sirens
Larry Summers is worried. About good news. Headline US inflation likely decelerated in July, which,
Buffett Buys $3.8 Billion In Stocks, Loses 10 Times That On Paper
Warren Buffett bought more stock for his hedge fund and logged a massive paper loss
Goldman’s 2023 Recession EPS Case Is BofA’s Base Case
“The larger risk to 2023 EPS is a recession,” Goldman’s David Kostin said, in the
The Honor’s In The Dollar, Kid
An already convoluted outlook for markets was complicated further on Friday by a jobs report
Fed Pivot Math Seen Wildly Implausible
According to one popular sell-side strategist, a string of “very hot” US economic data could
Careful! It Could Be A Trap
Fade it at 4,200. That’s still the mantra for some strategists convinced the nascent rebound
Delaying The Inevitable (Enigmatic Dreams Of A Better Future)
Enigmatic. That’s the best way to describe second quarter earnings season in the US, where
Chasing Ghosts: The Rally That Wasn’t There
For weeks, 4,200 on the S&P was bandied about by some top-down strategists as a
2023 Rate Cut Standoff Puts Fed, Markets On Collision Course
If you ask Mary Daly, a slowdown in the US labor market is “completely worth
Nightmare: BoE Hikes Most In 27 Years, Predicts Recession, 13% Inflation
The Bank of England hiked rates for a sixth consecutive meeting Thursday. The 50bps move
Fed ‘Will Get It Right,’ Bullard Says
The US isn’t in a recession, Jim Bullard told CNBC Wednesday. The labor market, he
‘You Are Here’: ‘Unstable’ Rally Confronts Perilous Seasonal
Fed officials put market participants on notice this week: There was no “dovish pivot” from
Pozsar: Powell Would Risk US Depression To Slay Inflation
Zoltan Pozsar has a subtle suggestion for those attempting to forecast inflation: Consider the possibility
‘Incredibly Uncomfortable’ Fed Hawks Circle Summer Stock Rally
“The Fed is in an incredibly uncomfortable position,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Tuesday, amid a
The Kolanovic Factor
Whenever consensus turns even a semblance of cautious on equities and risk assets more generally,
Zoltan Pozsar: ‘Welcome To The War Economy’
“Welcome to the war economy, where heads of state matter more than heads of central
A Bear Revisits August Of 2008
I think we all get the joke. Or jokes, plural. Earnings are managed, management isn’t
US Tech Rally Won’t Last, One Bank Suggests
If you’re searching for double-digit monthly rallies on benchmark equity indexes, a good place to
‘Wrong’ Trades And Bad Bets
We’ve done it. We’ve jettisoned the two-quarter recession definition. And it didn’t take very long,
If Goldilocks Were A Recession
Manufacturing activity expanded at the slowest pace in two years, the first of this week’s
China Is Probably In A Recession Too
The world’s largest economy is in a recession. Or not. It depends on who you
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