Expect a reprieve, but beware 2019.
Category: Markets
Psychological Overhang: Full Week Ahead Preview
U.S. politics and trade are likely to dominate the headlines this week.
BIS: Trump’s Trade Policies Could Create ‘Perfect Storm’, Cause Global Financial Crisis
“Protectionism could set off a succession of negative consequences. If all the elements were to combine, we could face a perfect storm.”
There’s News On NAFTA, And For Once It Isn’t Terrible
Anything that isn’t bad news is great news.
Turkish Tech Minister Says Maybe Digital ‘Barter System’ Might Work If Trump Weaponizes Dollar
“…this war has turned into a financial war.”
This Simple Measure Suggests Investors Are The Least Myopic They’ve Been In 20 Years
Let’s see what happens over the next couple of years when equity volatility resets to some semblance of normal.
Trump Will Now Bail Out Italy In Honor Of Closest Historical Analog
“I laughed quite a lot, when I saw the report.”
One Bank’s Model Spit Out A Lower S&P Target, So Naturally, They Changed The Model
If at first you don’t succeed…
‘It’s Still Bleeding Over’: Strategist Warns On All-Important Chinese Credit Impulse
Remember, credit creation in China is a key piece of the macro puzzle…
Liquidity Drain And The ‘Still Playing Non-Stop Event Risk Cabaret’
The tide is going out.
Fed’s Esther George Says Trump Can Tweet Until The Doves Come Home For All She Cares
“I don’t tell him what to say”.
Bad News For That Massive Treasury Short As Goldman Slashes Bond Yield Forecasts
“We note that there has been no change to our view of Fed policy tightening, but”…
Fed Minutes Show ‘Many’ Officials Think Another Hike Is ‘Appropriate’ – And ‘Soon’
“…it would likely soon be appropriate to take another step in removing policy accommodation.
Saudi Arabia Calls Off ‘Zombie’ Aramco IPO
Turns out “black box” and “public company” aren’t consistent with one another.
‘MEGA’? Citi Economic Surprise Index Now More Negative For U.S. Than For Europe
A shift in the narrative?
‘Con’ Job: World’s Second-Largest Car-Parts Maker Drives Off A Cliff
Don’t worry, tariffs will fix it.
Marko Kolanovic Flags An ‘Unprecedented Divergence’, Says ‘Something Has To Give’
“The recent divergence in the performance of US Equities vs. the rest of the world is unprecedented in history.”
As The S&P Hits All-Time Highs, Here’s What You Should Be Watching
Hint: it’s the dollar.
‘The Wrong Kinda Heater’: Hedge Fund ‘Consensus’ Trade Suffers Dastardly Run
“Another day for U.S. equities funds, another sizable underperformance.”
Do Not Underestimate Donald Trump When It Comes To The Fed
“You see what’s happening.”
On Monday, Donald Trump Accused Jerome Powell Of Acting Against The Interests Of America
“Am I happy with my choice? I’ll let you know in seven years.”
A ‘Stealth’ Rate Hike From Turkey And A ‘Pick Your Poison’ Quandary For Europe
How to hike without hiking and what to do when there are no “good” options.
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