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Category: Markets

A Two-Front War, Tariff Headline Hockey And The Updated ‘SG Swan Chart’

January 17, 2019

The bottom line is that Trump has predictably boxed himself in.

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2 Comments on A Two-Front War, Tariff Headline Hockey And The Updated ‘SG Swan Chart’

‘The Worst Is Yet To Come’: As Federal Workers Tap Retirement Funds, Confidence In Economy Collapses

January 17, 2019

For the GOP, this is an existential crisis.

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4 Comments on ‘The Worst Is Yet To Come’: As Federal Workers Tap Retirement Funds, Confidence In Economy Collapses

Mad Greeks.

January 17, 2019October 24, 2021

“However, a move down through 2575 in SPX”…

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2 Comments on Mad Greeks.

Morgan Stanley Delivers Epic Faceplant, FICC Plunges 30%

January 17, 2019January 17, 2019

Juuust a bit outside.

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Apple’s Main Chipmaker Delivers Dour Outlook, Underscoring Smartphone Worries, Growth Concerns

January 17, 2019January 17, 2019

In case you needed any more evidence…

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1 Comment on Apple’s Main Chipmaker Delivers Dour Outlook, Underscoring Smartphone Worries, Growth Concerns

‘Good’ Trump Isn’t Coming Back, Get Used To ‘Bad’ Trump, One Bank Warns

January 16, 2019October 24, 2021

“The author does not believe markets will come back to the ‘good’ Trump story anytime soon.”

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10 Comments on ‘Good’ Trump Isn’t Coming Back, Get Used To ‘Bad’ Trump, One Bank Warns

Marko Kolanovic Explains The ‘Liquidity-Volatility-Flows Feedback Loop’

January 16, 2019January 8, 2022

“… at times of high volatility, the VIX is almost the sole driver of market
liquidity.”

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3 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Explains The ‘Liquidity-Volatility-Flows Feedback Loop’

Narrative Check: Brexit, Trump, China Stimulus And An Update On Charlie’s CTA Model

January 16, 2019

Ok, it’s time for “narrative” check – as it were.

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1 Comment on Narrative Check: Brexit, Trump, China Stimulus And An Update On Charlie’s CTA Model

Goldman Beats, Market Happy With Advisory Blowout Despite FICC Fail

January 16, 2019January 16, 2019

Lots to digest here, but it looks like the knee-jerk is to “buy”.

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4 Comments on Goldman Beats, Market Happy With Advisory Blowout Despite FICC Fail

Bank Of America Surges As Market Ignores Latest FICC Miss

January 16, 2019October 24, 2021

Benefit of the doubt?

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If Stock Selloff Comes Back, Rich People May Buy Fewer Watches, ‘Pleasure Boats’, Goldman Warns

January 15, 2019October 24, 2021

Bummer.

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1 Comment on If Stock Selloff Comes Back, Rich People May Buy Fewer Watches, ‘Pleasure Boats’, Goldman Warns

‘Bearish Positioning = Rally’: BofAML Fund Manager Survey Shows ‘Macro Crash’, ‘Inflection Point’

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

And without further ado…

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Sophia Don’t Fail Me Now: One Bank Worries ‘Algo Rally’ Will ‘Run Out Of Steam’

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

Who knows – maybe ask Sophia.

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3 Comments on Sophia Don’t Fail Me Now: One Bank Worries ‘Algo Rally’ Will ‘Run Out Of Steam’

JPMorgan Disappoints: FICC Fail Drives First Profit Miss In 15 Quarters

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

“Challenging market conditions.”

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5 Comments on JPMorgan Disappoints: FICC Fail Drives First Profit Miss In 15 Quarters

Surprise: China Tips More Stimulus As Economy Falters

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

We’ll see what the half-life on this is.

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3 Comments on Surprise: China Tips More Stimulus As Economy Falters

Need Another Excuse To Short The Dollar? CTAs’ Extrapolated Longs Will Do!

January 14, 2019

Now if only Trump would let the government open…

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3 Comments on Need Another Excuse To Short The Dollar? CTAs’ Extrapolated Longs Will Do!

Ok, Sure! I’ll Take A Look At That Fed MBS Runoff Vs. S&P Returns Note…

January 14, 2019January 14, 2019

Let’s do some math-ing.

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1 Comment on Ok, Sure! I’ll Take A Look At That Fed MBS Runoff Vs. S&P Returns Note…

Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On China, Stocks And Reflation Skepticism

January 14, 2019

Predictably, markets start the new week torn.

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On China, Stocks And Reflation Skepticism

World Reacts To China’s December Trade Fumble

January 14, 2019January 14, 2019

This will likely get worse before it gets better.

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1 Comment on World Reacts To China’s December Trade Fumble

China’s December Trade Data Is, Well, Not Great…

January 13, 2019January 13, 2019

“Juuust a bit outside.” 

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1 Comment on China’s December Trade Data Is, Well, Not Great…

Politics As Usual: Full Week Ahead Preview

January 13, 2019October 24, 2021

Risk on, but for how long?

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oil4 Comments on Politics As Usual: Full Week Ahead Preview

‘Noise’: One Bank’s Take On US Politics In 2019

January 13, 2019January 13, 2019

The political landscape stateside is a bit fraught right now – maybe you noticed.

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3 Comments on ‘Noise’: One Bank’s Take On US Politics In 2019

Damned If They Do, Damned If They Don’t: Fed May Be Boxed In On Balance Sheet

January 12, 2019October 24, 2021

A lot to ponder.

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7 Comments on Damned If They Do, Damned If They Don’t: Fed May Be Boxed In On Balance Sheet

Trump’s Shutdown Is Now Longest In US History – Are We ‘Great Again’ Yet?

January 12, 2019January 18, 2019

Make shutdowns long again.

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5 Comments on Trump’s Shutdown Is Now Longest In US History – Are We ‘Great Again’ Yet?

Goldman Warns On S&P Earnings Downside From Deteriorating Macro Outlook

January 11, 2019

The coming “litmus test”.

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Increasingly, The Market Believes The ‘State Of Exception’ Has Become Permanent

January 11, 2019

A new status quo.

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6 Comments on Increasingly, The Market Believes The ‘State Of Exception’ Has Become Permanent

Dissecting The ‘Incredible’ Junk Rally And The Case For A 24-Pound Bucket Of Mac-&-Cheese

January 11, 2019

Frantic rallies, tactical bounces and out of stock emergency hedges.

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3 Comments on Dissecting The ‘Incredible’ Junk Rally And The Case For A 24-Pound Bucket Of Mac-&-Cheese

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