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Category: Markets

Here’s The Important Subtext Of Marko Kolanovic’s Latest Market Outlook

September 11, 2019

“Uncertainty has erased confidence built over a decade”.

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5 Comments on Here’s The Important Subtext Of Marko Kolanovic’s Latest Market Outlook

‘Even Short-Lived Rotations Could Be Powerful’: Goldman Weighs In On Momentum Massacre, Factor Turmoil

September 11, 2019November 23, 2019

“The triggers in the short run could be geopolitical”.

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3 Comments on ‘Even Short-Lived Rotations Could Be Powerful’: Goldman Weighs In On Momentum Massacre, Factor Turmoil

German Economy To Enter Recession This Quarter As Trump ‘Poisons’ Investment: IfW

September 11, 2019September 11, 2019

“The German economy is facing one of the weakest years since the financial crisis”.

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Hu Xijin Tips Stimulus, Mocks Trump’s ‘Hilarious Analysis’ As China Doesn’t Exempt US Farm Products In Tariff Waivers

September 11, 2019September 11, 2019

“Odd and hilarious analysis”.

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Trump Demands Negative Rates, Calls Jay Powell, Fed ‘Boneheads’ In Wild Screed

September 11, 2019September 11, 2019

“The USA should always be paying the the lowest rate”.

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4 Comments on Trump Demands Negative Rates, Calls Jay Powell, Fed ‘Boneheads’ In Wild Screed

It’s ‘August In Reverse’ As Bond Selloff Worsens

September 10, 2019September 10, 2019

This comes with the obligatory caveat that a single tweet could send everyone scurrying to safety, pushing yields back lower.

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2 Comments on It’s ‘August In Reverse’ As Bond Selloff Worsens

Marko Kolanovic Weighs In On This Week’s Dramatic Factor Rotations, Delivers Near-Term Market Outlook

September 10, 2019November 23, 2019

“By just looking at the price of the S&P 500 one cannot see the true state of equity markets”.

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4 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Weighs In On This Week’s Dramatic Factor Rotations, Delivers Near-Term Market Outlook

US, China Discussing Text Of Trade Agreement, Beijing May Buy Farm Goods: Report

September 10, 2019September 10, 2019

Take it all with a grain – or maybe a whole shaker – of salt.

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Nomura’s McElligott On Monday Momentum Massacre: ‘One Of The More Stunning Trades In Modern Market History’

September 10, 2019November 23, 2019

“And yet HILARIOUSLY, Joe Schmoe retail investor looking at simple Index returns wouldn’t have had ANY idea of the calamity occurring”.

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7 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On Monday Momentum Massacre: ‘One Of The More Stunning Trades In Modern Market History’

Liquidity Is Improving In Stressed Markets, Goldman Says – But Don’t Let Down Your Guard

September 10, 2019

“Markets dominated by computers have different characteristics than those run by people”.

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The Ride Of The Valkyries: SocGen’s Juckes Has Visions Of ‘Bond Vigilante Gun-Ships’

September 10, 2019September 10, 2019

Don’t get too excited – it’s a correction, “not a turn in the trend”.

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2 Comments on The Ride Of The Valkyries: SocGen’s Juckes Has Visions Of ‘Bond Vigilante Gun-Ships’

What Happens If The Nascent Bond Selloff Has Legs?

September 9, 2019September 9, 2019

Don’t burst my bubble.

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1 Comment on What Happens If The Nascent Bond Selloff Has Legs?

Massive Momentum Factor Unwind Triggers ‘Epic’ 7 Z-Score Performance Bleed

September 9, 2019September 9, 2019

Needless to say, this isn’t the best news for some folks.

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3 Comments on Massive Momentum Factor Unwind Triggers ‘Epic’ 7 Z-Score Performance Bleed

Turkish Lira Warily Eyes US Sanctions Threat, Erdogan Rate Cut Promises

September 9, 2019

“We’re looking at that”.

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Dear AT&T, Paul Singer Is Coming And Donald Trump Is Tweeting – Enjoy!

September 9, 2019September 9, 2019

But hey, at least the shares are up.

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1 Comment on Dear AT&T, Paul Singer Is Coming And Donald Trump Is Tweeting – Enjoy!

Nomura’s McElligott Talks The ‘Pain Trade’ And What More Bearish Rates Action Would Mean For Equities

September 9, 2019

“…the current consensus / ‘Momentum’ positioning construct is a pure reflection of the ‘Duration Trade'”.

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‘Less Growth, More Inflation’: Goldman Sees Stagflationary Trend For Trump’s Economy

September 9, 2019September 9, 2019

“The tariffs are about to show up more clearly”.

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Behold! JPMorgan Unveils The ‘Volfefe’ Index

September 8, 2019September 24, 2020

“Trade talk, political campaigning and tweets have contributed to volatility, from China to Fed policy

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1 Comment on Behold! JPMorgan Unveils The ‘Volfefe’ Index

Expect More Late-Night Tweets, Because China Will Be Cutting Another Key Rate Soon

September 8, 2019

Friday’s RRR cut presages more easing – it’s just a question of timing.

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1 Comment on Expect More Late-Night Tweets, Because China Will Be Cutting Another Key Rate Soon

Traders To Ponder Bonds, Key Data In New Week As ‘This Guy Jerome’ Goes Quiet

September 8, 2019November 21, 2021

Although Europe will make headlines, there’s plenty to focus on in the US.

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As ‘Super Mario’ Steps Up To Bat, ‘Markets Are Vulnerable To A Correction’

September 8, 2019

Let’s see if he has one more rabbit in the hat.

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1 Comment on As ‘Super Mario’ Steps Up To Bat, ‘Markets Are Vulnerable To A Correction’

China’s Export Machine Slams Into Reverse In August Amid New Trade Threats

September 8, 2019

We’re going to need more easing.

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Khalid Al-Falih Ousted As Saudi Energy Minister – MBS Half-Brother Will Take It From Here

September 7, 2019November 21, 2021

This was his third demotion in two weeks.

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on Khalid Al-Falih Ousted As Saudi Energy Minister – MBS Half-Brother Will Take It From Here

US Bond Yields Will Keep Falling Unless One Of These 3 ‘Disruptors’ Comes Calling

September 7, 2019

This should sound familiar.

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1 Comment on US Bond Yields Will Keep Falling Unless One Of These 3 ‘Disruptors’ Comes Calling

The Great War Of Attrition: 5 Reasons Why The US-China Trade Conflict Won’t End Soon

September 7, 2019September 8, 2019

“Stay tuned”.

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9 Comments on The Great War Of Attrition: 5 Reasons Why The US-China Trade Conflict Won’t End Soon

On One Read, Stocks And Credit May Be Perilously Disconnected From Economic Reality

September 6, 2019September 7, 2019

The glass-half-empty take.

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2 Comments on On One Read, Stocks And Credit May Be Perilously Disconnected From Economic Reality

S&P Can (And Probably Will) Rally Despite US Manufacturing Contraction, Goldman Says

September 6, 2019September 7, 2019

Fingers crossed.

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7 Comments on S&P Can (And Probably Will) Rally Despite US Manufacturing Contraction, Goldman Says

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