For now anyway.
Category: Markets
Trump Delays Tariffs On $250 Billion In Chinese Goods Citing China’s Anniversary Celebrations
Incrementally positive – until the next escalation.
Here’s The Important Subtext Of Marko Kolanovic’s Latest Market Outlook
“Uncertainty has erased confidence built over a decade”.
‘Even Short-Lived Rotations Could Be Powerful’: Goldman Weighs In On Momentum Massacre, Factor Turmoil
“The triggers in the short run could be geopolitical”.
German Economy To Enter Recession This Quarter As Trump ‘Poisons’ Investment: IfW
“The German economy is facing one of the weakest years since the financial crisis”.
Trump Demands Negative Rates, Calls Jay Powell, Fed ‘Boneheads’ In Wild Screed
“The USA should always be paying the the lowest rate”.
It’s ‘August In Reverse’ As Bond Selloff Worsens
This comes with the obligatory caveat that a single tweet could send everyone scurrying to safety, pushing yields back lower.
Marko Kolanovic Weighs In On This Week’s Dramatic Factor Rotations, Delivers Near-Term Market Outlook
“By just looking at the price of the S&P 500 one cannot see the true state of equity markets”.
US, China Discussing Text Of Trade Agreement, Beijing May Buy Farm Goods: Report
Take it all with a grain – or maybe a whole shaker – of salt.
Nomura’s McElligott On Monday Momentum Massacre: ‘One Of The More Stunning Trades In Modern Market History’
“And yet HILARIOUSLY, Joe Schmoe retail investor looking at simple Index returns wouldn’t have had ANY idea of the calamity occurring”.
Liquidity Is Improving In Stressed Markets, Goldman Says – But Don’t Let Down Your Guard
“Markets dominated by computers have different characteristics than those run by people”.
The Ride Of The Valkyries: SocGen’s Juckes Has Visions Of ‘Bond Vigilante Gun-Ships’
Don’t get too excited – it’s a correction, “not a turn in the trend”.
What Happens If The Nascent Bond Selloff Has Legs?
Don’t burst my bubble.
Massive Momentum Factor Unwind Triggers ‘Epic’ 7 Z-Score Performance Bleed
Needless to say, this isn’t the best news for some folks.
Turkish Lira Warily Eyes US Sanctions Threat, Erdogan Rate Cut Promises
“We’re looking at that”.
Dear AT&T, Paul Singer Is Coming And Donald Trump Is Tweeting – Enjoy!
But hey, at least the shares are up.
Nomura’s McElligott Talks The ‘Pain Trade’ And What More Bearish Rates Action Would Mean For Equities
“…the current consensus / ‘Momentum’ positioning construct is a pure reflection of the ‘Duration Trade'”.
‘Less Growth, More Inflation’: Goldman Sees Stagflationary Trend For Trump’s Economy
“The tariffs are about to show up more clearly”.
Behold! JPMorgan Unveils The ‘Volfefe’ Index
“Trade talk, political campaigning and tweets have contributed to volatility, from China to Fed policy
Expect More Late-Night Tweets, Because China Will Be Cutting Another Key Rate Soon
Friday’s RRR cut presages more easing – it’s just a question of timing.
Traders To Ponder Bonds, Key Data In New Week As ‘This Guy Jerome’ Goes Quiet
Although Europe will make headlines, there’s plenty to focus on in the US.
As ‘Super Mario’ Steps Up To Bat, ‘Markets Are Vulnerable To A Correction’
Let’s see if he has one more rabbit in the hat.
China’s Export Machine Slams Into Reverse In August Amid New Trade Threats
We’re going to need more easing.
Khalid Al-Falih Ousted As Saudi Energy Minister – MBS Half-Brother Will Take It From Here
This was his third demotion in two weeks.
US Bond Yields Will Keep Falling Unless One Of These 3 ‘Disruptors’ Comes Calling
This should sound familiar.
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