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Category: Markets

Bubble Watching In US Housing

June 16, 2021June 23, 2021

Housing starts rose in May, but missed estimates on the heels of April’s lackluster showing.

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4 Comments on Bubble Watching In US Housing

China’s Recovery Is Rolling Over

June 16, 2021June 16, 2021

All the usual questions lingered ahead of the June Fed meeting. The balance of evidence

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Tell Me Again About Your Models

June 15, 2021June 16, 2021

Despite (and often because of), my overtly pessimistic take on the plight of humanity, I

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6 Comments on Tell Me Again About Your Models

The Economic Question Of Our Time

June 15, 2021June 26, 2021

Have we entered a “high inflation regime”? At this point, asking that question feels like

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6 Comments on The Economic Question Of Our Time

As ‘K-Shaped’ Inflation Fears Worsen, $650 Billion Says It’s Transitory

June 15, 2021June 25, 2021

You may not be buying the Fed’s “transitory” characterization of inflation, but nearly three quarters

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1 Comment on As ‘K-Shaped’ Inflation Fears Worsen, $650 Billion Says It’s Transitory

A Depressing Conjuncture That Will Change No Minds

June 15, 2021June 16, 2021

In what may well be further evidence to support the view that the US economy

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Counting Days While Waiting On Nothing

June 15, 2021June 15, 2021

Traders were “unruffled” Tuesday, ahead of the Fed and key data. That was Bloomberg’s adjective.

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2 Comments on Counting Days While Waiting On Nothing

One Bank Asks: ‘What Bubble?’

June 14, 2021June 26, 2021

What’s the definition of a “bubble” in the market context? That’s a question I’ve explored

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12 Comments on One Bank Asks: ‘What Bubble?’

Paul Tudor Jones And The Celebrity Fixation

June 14, 2021June 17, 2021

Do you ever wonder why we (as a society) care about celebrity endorsements? In a

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19 Comments on Paul Tudor Jones And The Celebrity Fixation

Topic Du Jour

June 14, 2021June 15, 2021

Headed into the June Fed meeting, analysts and strategists were keen to dissect last week’s

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4 Comments on Topic Du Jour

An Important Non-Event

June 13, 2021June 14, 2021

Outside of the geopolitical realm, the June Fed meeting will get top billing this week,

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1 Comment on An Important Non-Event

Bitcoin And Donald Trump Have A Lot In Common

June 12, 2021June 14, 2021

Time and again over the years, I’ve argued that the volatility associated with Bitcoin makes

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10 Comments on Bitcoin And Donald Trump Have A Lot In Common

Stars May Be Out Of Alignment For Market’s Favorite Trade

June 12, 2021June 18, 2021

Hopefully, you don’t find yourself in the unenviable position of being forced to say, definitively,

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3 Comments on Stars May Be Out Of Alignment For Market’s Favorite Trade

Summers, Druckenmiller And Two People I’ve Never Heard Of

June 12, 2021June 14, 2021

I suggested Friday that “incredulous” was probably too strong a word for how market participants

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11 Comments on Summers, Druckenmiller And Two People I’ve Never Heard Of

Back To Goldilocks?

June 11, 2021June 13, 2021

I’d say you could feel the incredulity in the room, but I’d be lying. Months

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3 Comments on Back To Goldilocks?

The Biggest Risk To The Inflation Trade Is… Inflation?

June 11, 2021June 12, 2021

The inflation trade is in jeopardy from… inflation. That’s one takeaway from the latest installment

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5 Comments on The Biggest Risk To The Inflation Trade Is… Inflation?

For US Consumers, Inflation Woes Persist Despite Sentiment Bump

June 11, 2021June 11, 2021

Fortunately for everyone other than headline writers, inflation expectations fell in the preliminary read on

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Who Are America’s Real ‘Lazy Freeloaders?’

June 11, 2021June 12, 2021

I’ve variously argued that to the extent imbalances in the labor market are the result

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14 Comments on Who Are America’s Real ‘Lazy Freeloaders?’

They’re Buying It

June 11, 2021June 12, 2021

They’re buying it. Figuratively and literally. Global equities looked for a fourth consecutive weekly gain

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16 Comments on They’re Buying It

Do You Feel $5 Trillion Richer Than You Were In December?

June 10, 2021June 19, 2021

US households are $5 trillion richer than they were at the end of 2020. In

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2 Comments on Do You Feel $5 Trillion Richer Than You Were In December?

Stop The Presses: Albert Edwards Agrees With The Fed

June 10, 2021June 11, 2021

“Albert Edwards agrees with the Fed” isn’t something you hear very often, but it’s applicable

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7 Comments on Stop The Presses: Albert Edwards Agrees With The Fed

Jobless Claims And Scarce Cake Pops

June 10, 2021June 10, 2021

376,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, down 9,000 from the previous week to

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8 Comments on Jobless Claims And Scarce Cake Pops

En’Core’

June 10, 2021June 14, 2021

The most important CPI print in recent memory (according to the hype machine) didn’t disappoint.

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7 Comments on En’Core’

ECB Keeps ‘Significantly Higher’ Language As Hawks Routed

June 10, 2021June 10, 2021

The ECB reiterated Thursday that asset purchases under its emergency pandemic program (PEPP) will continue

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Another ‘Most Important Since’ Moment

June 9, 2021June 10, 2021

Over the years, one becomes almost completely desensitized to macro data billed ahead of time

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Return Of The Raging Retail Party

June 9, 2021June 15, 2021

Over the past two weeks, the assumption that the meme stock mania ended in the

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Were We Too Quick To Write The Bond Bull’s Obituary?

June 9, 2021June 10, 2021

Don’t look now, but the Treasury ETF is nearly overbought (figure below). I say “the”

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4 Comments on Were We Too Quick To Write The Bond Bull’s Obituary?

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Monthly Letters

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Hell Or High Fashion

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