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Category: Markets

‘Bear Market Rally Over’: Wilson Unplugs Stock Rebound

April 4, 2022April 11, 2022

I hope you enjoyed the bear market rally. Because it’s over now. Or at least

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4 Comments on ‘Bear Market Rally Over’: Wilson Unplugs Stock Rebound

Bassman: Here’s What’s Happening With The Curve

April 4, 2022April 5, 2022

Indeed the Fed has been slow in shutting down the money printing; and the market

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4 Comments on Bassman: Here’s What’s Happening With The Curve

Jamie Dimon Talks ‘Human Existence,’ ‘Explosive Situations’

April 4, 2022April 5, 2022

JPMorgan is prepared for anything “in all times,” Jamie Dimon declared on Monday, in his

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1 Comment on Jamie Dimon Talks ‘Human Existence,’ ‘Explosive Situations’

Fed’s Rate Hikes May Shatter 14-Year Dream State

April 3, 2022April 4, 2022

Bill Dudley thinks a US recession is “inevitable.” Not everyone agrees. Asset prices, for example,

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9 Comments on Fed’s Rate Hikes May Shatter 14-Year Dream State

Cathie Wood Castigates Fed. Says Powell ‘Playing With Fire’

April 3, 2022April 4, 2022

On Saturday evening, someone told me they were headed to their first cocktail party in

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10 Comments on Cathie Wood Castigates Fed. Says Powell ‘Playing With Fire’

What ‘Usually’ Happens To The S&P After Curve Inversions

April 3, 2022April 15, 2022

Stocks are looking past rising yields in part because the move in reals merely marks

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1 Comment on What ‘Usually’ Happens To The S&P After Curve Inversions

Zoltan Pozsar’s Fairy Tale

April 2, 2022April 17, 2022

Zoltan Pozsar scarcely needs to exalt himself. The financial media does that for him. In

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15 Comments on Zoltan Pozsar’s Fairy Tale

Assets Not Pricing ‘Inevitable’ Recession, Former Dudley Employer Says

April 2, 2022April 3, 2022

Inevitably, Bill Dudley’s “inevitable” recession call prompted pushback from some market participants and served as

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7 Comments on Assets Not Pricing ‘Inevitable’ Recession, Former Dudley Employer Says

Inversions And Reversions

April 1, 2022April 3, 2022

It’s a good thing the yield curve doesn’t matter. If it did, we’d be in

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7 Comments on Inversions And Reversions

Tiny Homes, Large Bubbles And The Biggest Picture

April 1, 2022April 17, 2022

Earlier this week, shares of Toll Brothers fell sharply amid a broad decline in homebuilders

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10 Comments on Tiny Homes, Large Bubbles And The Biggest Picture

Jobs Report Clears Path For Fed To Hike US Into Recession

April 1, 2022April 5, 2022

The US economy added 431,000 jobs in March, the BLS said Friday. It was another

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3 Comments on Jobs Report Clears Path For Fed To Hike US Into Recession

Goldman Has 7 Reasons Why Stocks Didn’t Crash

March 31, 2022April 1, 2022

Although the S&P just logged its first losing quarter since the onset of the pandemic,

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2 Comments on Goldman Has 7 Reasons Why Stocks Didn’t Crash

Biden’s ‘Shock And Awe’ Oil Gambit Faces Long Odds

March 31, 2022April 1, 2022

Frustrated by a recalcitrant OPEC and wary of ongoing, energy-driven inflation ahead of the US

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14 Comments on Biden’s ‘Shock And Awe’ Oil Gambit Faces Long Odds

Bassman: Fed ‘Backed Into A Corner’

March 30, 2022March 31, 2022

Long-term US rates at ~2.50% are not consistent with ~5% inflation unless the Fed invokes

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6 Comments on Bassman: Fed ‘Backed Into A Corner’

These ‘Crucial’ Levels Matter Most In News-Driven Market

March 30, 2022March 31, 2022

In early February, one bank’s equity derivatives team suggested market participants were assigning too much

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1 Comment on These ‘Crucial’ Levels Matter Most In News-Driven Market

Revenge Of The Meme Stock Mania

March 29, 2022March 30, 2022

Late last week, Goldman noted that retail investor activity was picking back up, with animal

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7 Comments on Revenge Of The Meme Stock Mania

As 2s10s Inverts, Dudley Says US Recession ‘Inevitable’

March 29, 2022March 30, 2022

Two days ago, in “Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock,” I wrote that

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16 Comments on As 2s10s Inverts, Dudley Says US Recession ‘Inevitable’

McElligott On ‘Burning’ Macro And Stocks ‘Just Winning On All Fronts’

March 29, 2022March 30, 2022

“Stuff is breaking,” macro assets are chaotic and “burning,” but “goofy-ol’” stocks continue to press

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Dramatic Moves, Someone To Hang

March 29, 2022March 29, 2022

Recep Tayyip Erdogan himself presided over the latest round of peace talks between Ukraine and

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5 Comments on Dramatic Moves, Someone To Hang

Breaking: Fed Finds Cause Of Soaring Inflation

March 28, 2022April 13, 2022

The Fed knows who to blame for the highest US inflation in a generation. Spoiler

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7 Comments on Breaking: Fed Finds Cause Of Soaring Inflation

‘Public Enemy Number One’ And Why Stocks Are Vulnerable

March 28, 2022March 29, 2022

Equity investors need to answer one simple question: Will Jerome Powell follow through? Weeks of

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7 Comments on ‘Public Enemy Number One’ And Why Stocks Are Vulnerable

G-7 Answers Putin’s Rubles-For-Gas Demand: No

March 28, 2022March 29, 2022

Last week, Vladimir Putin had an idea. Like most of his ideas lately, it wasn’t

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1 Comment on G-7 Answers Putin’s Rubles-For-Gas Demand: No

VIX ‘Too Low’ As Data, Seasonal Buyback Lull Loom

March 28, 2022March 29, 2022

Markets may lose a key pillar of support just as equities appeared to find their

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4 Comments on VIX ‘Too Low’ As Data, Seasonal Buyback Lull Loom

‘Literally Parabolic’: Historic Bond Rout Worsens, Yen Plunges

March 28, 2022March 28, 2022

The hyperbole flowed freely Monday as the worst global bond rout in modern history accelerated.

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7 Comments on ‘Literally Parabolic’: Historic Bond Rout Worsens, Yen Plunges

Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock

March 27, 2022March 28, 2022

Fatalism pervades much of the macro commentary, and you don’t need to listen too closely

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4 Comments on Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock

Traders Await Crucial US Data As Biden Confronts Dismal Polls

March 27, 2022April 1, 2022

A slate of top-tier US data greets market participants in the new week, as equities

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7 Comments on Traders Await Crucial US Data As Biden Confronts Dismal Polls

‘Diamond Hands And Buybacks’ To Drive Stock Demand: Goldman

March 26, 2022March 28, 2022

One of the many “mysteries” of recent US equity strength is the solid performance of

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3 Comments on ‘Diamond Hands And Buybacks’ To Drive Stock Demand: Goldman

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