The world moved closer on Saturday to deploying the economic nuclear option against Russia. In
Category: Markets
‘Where Next?’
US equities closed out a truly chaotic week with a spectacular two-day rally, even as
Pozsar Cautions On ‘Market Event’ From ‘Russia’s Vast Financial Surpluses’
Zoltan Pozsar took a break this week from assessing every conceivable angle of Fed balance
Marquee US Data Argues Against Recession, For Fed Hikes
This week’s marquee data out of the US showed a resilient consumer and elevated inflation,
McElligott Explains Thursday’s Epic US Stock Reversal
On Thursday afternoon, following a truly absurd reversal on Wall Street that found US equities
As Putin Moves To Seize Kyiv, Biden Mobilizes King Dollar
The Russian military was poised to take Kyiv on Thursday evening, closing in on the
Meanwhile, Inside America’s Epic Housing Bubble…
Who cares about the data at a time like this?! Nobody, is the answer. Nevertheless,
‘Darkness’
It was impossible to escape dire headlines on Thursday. Neither was it easy to scan
‘The Stagflation Tail Just Picked Up Massive Delta’
The assets most at risk from Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine are Russian assets.
Shell Shock: Markets In Disbelief As Putin Strikes
“Russia treacherously attacked our state in the morning,” Volodymyr Zelenskiy said, in a social media
Putin Invades Ukraine
Hours after the heads of Ukraine’s separatist republics formally requested assistance from the Russian military
S&P 3840 Next Month? 2018 Says Yes
I’m not a fan of visual analogues in the market context. They’re (almost) always “chart
Slowing Profits, Growth To Drive Stocks, Not Ukraine: Wilson
Although you may be inclined to exasperation vis-à-vis the impossibility of trading a market hostage
Institutional Investors Now Trading Like YOLO Crowd
The combination of manic intraday swings and myopia imposed by extreme ambiguity around the long
Americans: A ‘Relatively Confident’ Bunch
Take it with a grain of salt. US consumer confidence held up reasonably well in
$100 Billion In Three Days: China Tech Nightmare Worsens
While the world was fixated on the standoff between the West and Russia following Vladimir
Is Xi Prepping A New Crackdown On Chinese Mega-Tech?
The regulatory headwinds are picking up again in China. Not that they ever dissipated. In
Frayed Nerves, Lit Fuse
Barring some manner of good news on the geopolitical front, it’ll be another challenging week
Go With The Flows
Stocks should be fine. Sort of. That’s a (deliberately) colloquial way of summarizing Goldman’s take
This Is Not A Drill
This is not a drill. That’s the message emanating from economists, policymakers and analysts who,
Something Wicked This Way Comes: Redux
Back on January 14, in “Something Wicked This Way Comes,” I wrote that “it’s becoming
We Built The World Wrong
Two days after publication, Zoltan Pozsar’s latest “dispatch” was still circulating and otherwise prompting discussion
Flows Just Turned ‘Recessionary’
“Recessionary.” That’s the word BofA’s Michael Hartnett used to describe a somewhat inauspicious juxtaposition in
Retail Investors Are Still Buying, Goldman Says
Contrary to the notion that retail investors may have lost some of their joie de
Zoltan Pozsar Has An Idea…
“We need a Volcker moment,” Zoltan Pozsar declared, in a positively rollicking note published February
Disappearing Playgrounds
The playground is shrinking. In fact, it just disappeared. Over the past several weeks, market
McElligott On Market’s ‘Reservoir Dogs Standoff’
The standoff in eastern Europe is a “buzzkill” for what may have otherwise been a

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