With the broad dollar sinking… …and the euro hitting six week highs (well on its
Category: dollar
It’s Quiet Out There: G-20 Leaves Markets Feeling “Damp And Grey”
It feels quiet out there. Maybe a little too quiet. There’s plenty of G-20 banter
4 Days Later: Previewing The Week Ahead
Well, it’s Sunday which, at last check, means tomorrow will be Monday and that means a
Finally Friday: Oil Looks For Weekly Gain; EM, Euro Surge; Merkel Meets America’s Useful Idiot
Well, it’s quiet out there as an exceptionally eventful week (finally) winds down. As we
A Good Bottle Of Scotch Would Be Nice: Making Sense Of Market Nonsense
Thank God for four months of sobriety because the old Heisenberg would have been at the bottom of a good bottle of scotch right now…
Trader: “Much More To Come” For Treasury Rally, Dollar Slump
“Everything about this meeting that could surprise dovishly, managed to do so. U.S. yields and the dollar have much further to fall as a result.”
A Good News Type Of Day
Well damned if this wasn’t a good news type of day. We’d wager the only people
“That’ll Work”: CPI Beats Ahead Of Fed
U.S. Feb. CPI Rose 0.1%, Above Est.
Retail sales less autos rose 0.2% in Feb., est. 0.1%
Behind The Curve? “Pussy-Cat” Yellen Confronts “Largest Dovish Policy Deviation Since The 70s”
Some folks will be talking about the Fed today. In just a few hours we’ll
“What Blizzard? It’s A Couple Of Flakes”: Markets In Cryosleep Ahead Of Snow, Fed, Geert
Welcome to day 2 of 2 in the pre-Fed, pre-Dutch election market cryosleep. Overnight we
The First Week Of The Rest Of Your Life
Welcome to the first week of the rest of your life. By now you all
“This Is Goldilocks Data”: Was The Jobs Number Just Right?
“This is Goldilocks data – just right for Fed to hike, but not enough to accelerate what is already priced in.”
Please Fasten Your Seat Belts, Jobs Report Ahead
So obviously it was a relatively quiet overnight session as the entire world focuses on
This Is The “Linchpin” For The Dollar
“Friday’s U.S. payrolls report might have little bearing on next week’s Federal Reserve decision, after top officials clearly indicated readiness to raise rates March 15. But…”
More Trouble
I don’t know if maybe you noticed, but this is playing out exactly like I
Dammit, Who’s “Sherlock” Here? BofAML Weighs In On A Fed That’s Behind The Curve
“While this has allowed the Fed to have its cake and eat it too at the March meeting, in our view there could be a bigger sign from the markets to the Fed: financial conditions could be at the cusp of signaling that policy is behind the curve.”
Goldman’s Warning: “The ‘Yellen Call’ Is Back In The Money”
“As Fed speak over the past few weeks makes clear, the ‘Trump rally’ has aggressively pushed the ‘Yellen call’ back into the money, as we feared.”
Trump To Fed: “Bow Down To Caesar” Or Risk “Horrifying Misstep”
“The institutional threats they face make the thought of any misstep horrifying. With all of the sniping from other parts of Washington and the looming new appointments, they understand the need to be the perfect Caesar’s wife. A lot to ask as they disengage the policy auto-pilot of the last eight years.”
No Trouble In Little China And Nothing Doing In Oz
It was a relatively quiet overnight session on the news front, although you wouldn’t know
Don’t Be A “Killjoy”, Richard
“I feel like a bit of a killjoy. I can’t quite bring myself to try to play the hero and call the end of recent moves. But I’m close.”
7 Signs Of The (Market) Apocalypse
“While we’re not (yet!) expecting the equivalent of the fall of the Roman Republic, we are nevertheless very suspicious of the presumption that recent technical strength can continue.”
The Queen Bee Speaks: Full Yellen Summary
“Fed Chair Janet Yellen says an increase in fed funds rate will likely be appropriate at FOMC’s March 14-15 meeting if policy makers determine that employment, inflation continue to evolve in line with expectations.”
One Bank Asks: “Where Have All The Doves Gone”?
One of the things you might have noticed is that the Fed is looking at a
“It’s The Reflation Trade, Baby!” These Are The Levels To Watch On Friday
“If two-year Treasury yields close above 1.3% but 10-year yields linger below 2.5%, then a hike is expected but it’s being perceived as a potential policy mistake. If we close above both levels, it’s the reflation trade, baby.”
“All Eyez On Me”: Yellen, Fischer Are Up To Bat
It kind of feels like everyone is ready to get this week on the books.
“The Data Doesn’t Even Matter”
So just a few minutes ago, I said that “basically, the message is that unless
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