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Category: central banks
Suspension Of Disbelief And ‘The Largest Vol Seller In The Market’
Suspension of disbelief, on the other hand, implies an active effort on the part of the person or persons in question to avoid common sense in favor of a more convenient explanation of reality.
The End Of Money.
What’s implicit there is that if the dynamics that “saved” the fiat regime were to reverse course, well then the untethered system could face an existential crisis.
‘Reluctant’ Bulls And The ‘Psychological Risk’ Of QT
“But market narratives may dominate our rational analysis. If markets believe that global QE has been an important driver of the current rally, then its impending removal may nonetheless pose a psychological risk to investor sentiment.”
Trick Or Treat.
Boo!
Trader: ‘Everyone Else Is Going To Be Left Holding The Bag’
” There’s a real possibility that the Fed celebrates that its balance sheet is getting in order but everyone else is left holding the bag. Central banks have created a vicious positive, which functions as a dangerous negative, feedback loop.”
Everything But The Kitchen Sink: Full Week Ahead Preview
Well, there’s not a lot going on in the week ahead and by that I mean there’s so much going on that you couldn’t plan for it even if you wanted to.
Minksy 2017.
” The question is whether this will be amplified or not?”
In 2019, It Turns Negative.
Plan accordingly.
Trader: ‘Stocks Are Overvalued And We All Know It’
“The debate continues to rage over whether and why equities are overvalued. Ultimately, it’s a waste of time.”
‘But What If’?
“Wherever you come out on what will happen later this week, the shift is that all four banks will be on hold or hawkish. No one is talking about cuts. And that’s an appropriate change.”
One Trader Would Appreciate It If You’d Pull Your Head Out Of Your Ass On Monday
“Show a little spirit and giddy up.”
Super Mario: Full Week Ahead Preview
As usual, the docket is full and the risks are multiplying.
Trader Warns (Again): The Next Crisis Won’t Be Like The Last One
“Well for me it’s no contest. Slick youtube presentations warning about Danger Ahead (that looks exactly like the Danger Behind!) are like an investor in 2007 warning about tech stocks because the 2000 DotCom crash was still ringing in their head.”
Blood Orgy Of The Central Banker Devils
“These policies, which are also being followed by the other world central banks, will lead to disaster.”Â
One Trader Thinks Everyone Has Found Religion – Here’s Why
“This is really just one manifestation of the more earthly, you can’t fight city hall. A twist in a post-vigilante world, which can’t bear not to believe that the authorities will deliver what our financial market investing thesis requires, while at the same time being utterly incompetent.”
‘Good Luck Out There’: Full Week Ahead Preview
Oh, boy. Try to wrap your head around all of this.
One Trader Calls It: This Is The Day When It All Changes
“I’m talking about good old fashioned two-way flow and nascent trends galore.”
This Is ‘The Most Intriguing, Worrying’ Factor For Volatility (Hint: It’s The Flow, Stupid)
“We are likely to be nearing a low point for major market bond and equity vol, and if the catalyst is policy it will likely come from positive volatility QE ‘flow effect’ being more powerful than the vol depressant ‘stock effect’.”
‘The Biggest ETF In Town’
“And with CSPP holdings at €116bn and growing, a big ETF at that!”
The Everything Bull Market.
“In the end, however, there may be no escape for investors”…
What Are You Thinking?
Simply put: if the idea is to communicate that the hawkish shift is going to be “coordinated”, market participants aren’t getting the message.
It’s A Volatility Trap!
“Investors face a conundrum.”
There Are No Bears Left. None. Not A Soul.
“Stocks were being pushed higher because everything was so FUBAR’d. Central Bank balance sheet expansion was pushing risk assets higher, and for the longest time, everyone wanted to fade it.”
‘Cue The Return Of The Dour Mood’
“The glass half-full approach. But caution, mistrust, the search for competitive advantage or outright blunders by the powers-that-be risk exacting a very steep cost. Unless, of course, all the alleged bubbles people rail about are your bread and butter.”
How We Got Here – For Dummies.
“The further on we get from the crisis while still operating in a regime characterized by crisis-era policies, the more difficult it becomes for investors to remember a time”…
Bubbles, Bubbles, Everywhere…
“Bubbles, bubbles, every where, Nor any one to pop.”
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